Europa League · 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND · TUE, 04 AUG · 19:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
SHAMROCK ROVERS
2'
0 0
EGNATIA RROGOZHINë
⚽ 29' Graham Burke ⚽ 55' Pico ⚽ 57' Aaron Greene
GOALS
⚽ 41' Guillem Jaime ⚽ 41' Aaron Greene
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
LIVE-ADJUSTED
CONF 41/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SHA
1 0
EGN
most likely scoreline · 17.1% probability
AI PICKS SHAMROCK ROVERS TO WIN 52%
LIVE · 2' 0 – 0
🤖 AI PROJECTS FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

LIVE-ADJUSTED
SHA WIN 52%
DRAW 30%
EGN WIN 18%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 82% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 82% 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Match at 1' with no data on lineups or xG; home advantage and form favour Rovers but very uncertain.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY SHAMROCK ROVERS FAVORED
52%
Shamrock Rovers home form WW + home advantage in Europa League
+25.0%
WHY EGNATIA RROGOZHINë CHALLENGED
18%
Egnatia road form DD shows draw-prone travel pattern
+20.0%
Data extremely thin — no season stats, xG, lineups available
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Egnatia road form DD shows draw-prone travel pattern
  • Data extremely thin — no season stats, xG, lineups available
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT 29' GRAHAM BUR 41' GUILLEM JA 41' AARON GREE 55' PICO 57' AARON GREE 2' PROJECTION
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 5 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 17.1%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
11.4
4.3
1.1
0.2
·
·
1
17.1
13.0
4.9
1.3
0.2
·
·
2
9.7
7.4
2.8
0.7
0.1
·
·
3
3.7
2.8
1.1
0.3
·
·
·
4
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 17.1%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.0%
0 — 1 11.4%
2 — 0 9.7%
Top 5 = 66.1% · rest 33.9%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.38
30.0%
3.33
+1.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.20
82.0%
1.22
-1.8%
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.82
52.0%
1.92
-5.4%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.93
48.0%
2.08
-7.2%
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.28
70.0%
1.43
-10.5%
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.34
18.0%
5.56
-21.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.01
38.0%
2.63
-23.7%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.84
28.0%
3.57
-48.4%
18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.