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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · CRYSTAL PALACE 44%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
Europa Conference League · SEMI-FINALS · THU, 30 APR · 19:00 LOCAL
SHAKHTAR DONETSK
6TH · 13 PTS · LAST 5:
L W D W L
FT
1 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
CRYSTAL PALACE
L D L D W
· 10TH · 10 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 47' Oleg Ocheretko
GOALS
⚽ 1' Ismaïla Sarr ⚽ 58' Daichi Kamada ⚽ 84' Jørgen Strand Larsen
D. Kamada
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
D. Kamada
Crystal Palace · 89 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 19% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

109%
BALL POSSESSION %
61%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
10
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
472%
PASS ACCURACY %
158%
13
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 1'
    Goal · 0-1
    Ismaïla Sarr · assist Jean-Philippe Mateta
    CRY
  2. 31'
    Card · Foul
    Oleg Ocheretko
    SHA
  3. 38'
    Card · Foul
    Vinícius Tobias
    SHA
  4. 44'
    Card · Foul
    Yéremy Pino
    CRY
  5. 47'
    Goal · 1-1
    Oleg Ocheretko · assist Kauã Elias
    SHA
  6. 52'
    Card · Foul
    Pedro Henrique
    SHA
  7. 56'
    Card · Foul
    Jaydee Canvot
    CRY
  8. 58'
    Goal · 1-2
    Daichi Kamada · assist Maxence Lacroix
    CRY
  9. 65'
    Subst
    Isaque · assist Marlon Gomes
    SHA
  10. 65'
    Subst
    Jørgen Strand Larsen · assist Jean-Philippe Mateta
    CRY
  11. 73'
    Subst
    Brennan Johnson · assist Yéremy Pino
    CRY
  12. 74'
    Subst
    Artem Bondarenko · assist Pedrinho
    SHA
  13. 74'
    Subst
    Newerton · assist Eguinaldo
    SHA
  14. 83'
    Subst
    Yegor Nazaryna · assist Oleg Ocheretko
    SHA
  15. 83'
    Subst
    Lassina Traoré · assist Kauã Elias
    SHA
  16. 84'
    Goal · 1-3
    Jørgen Strand Larsen · assist Daichi Kamada
    CRY
  17. 90'
    Subst
    Jefferson Lerma · assist Daichi Kamada
    CRY
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SHAKHTAR DONETSK AVG 7.1
CRYSTAL PALACE AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
1.0
ON TARGET
7.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
9.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
109.0%
POSSESSION %
61.0%
517.0
PASSES
217.0
472.0%
PASS ACCURACY
158.0%
SET PIECES
13.0
CORNERS
1.0
10.0
OFFSIDES
26.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
13.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SHAKHTAR DONETSK 1 shots
Oleg Ocheretko
1/1
CRYSTAL PALACE 6 shots
Ismaïla Sarr
2/2
Adam Wharton
2/2
D. Kamada
1/1
Jørgen Strand Larsen
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-1-4-1 vs 3-4-3
4-1-4-1
3-4-3
31
D. RIZNYK
13
PEDRINHO
22
MYKOLA MA
 6.9
5
VALERII B
17
VINíCIUS
 7.9
27
OLEG OCHE
7
EGUINALDO
 6.9
6
MARLON GO
 6.6
10
PEDRINHO
30
ALISSON S
 7.0
19
KAUã ELIA
1
DEAN HEND
23
JAYDEE CA
 7.2
5
MAXENCE L
26
CHRIS RIC
3
TYRICK MI
 8.2
18
D. KAMADA
 7.3
20
ADAM WHAR
2
DANIEL MU
10
YéREMY PI
14
JEAN PHIL
 7.3
7
ISMAïLA S
SUBSTITUTES · SHAKHTAR DONETSK
16
I. Azarovi
D
18
Alaa Ghram
D
37
Lucas Ferrei...
M
49
Luca Meirell...
F
4
Marlon
D
48
Denys Tvardo...
G
2
Lassina Trao...
F
29
E. Nazaryna
M
21
A. Bondarenk...
M
11
Newertton
M
14
Isaque
M
68
Prosper Obah
M
COACH: Arda Turan
SUBSTITUTES · CRYSTAL PALACE
34
Chadi Riad
D
24
Borna Sosa
D
19
Will Hughes
M
55
J. Devenny
M
17
Nathaniel Cl...
D
44
Walter Benít...
G
31
Remi Matthew...
G
8
Jefferson Le...
M
11
B. Johnson
F
22
Jørgen Stran...
F
59
Rio Cardines
M
COACH: Oliver Glasner
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SHA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CRY · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
F. Zwayer
—
SHA MANAGER
Arda Turan
head coach
CRY MANAGER
Oliver Glasner
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
SHA WINS
1
DRAWS
1
CRY WINS
50%
50%
1 – 3
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 2
07 May 2026
Crystal Palace
2 – 1
Shakhtar Donetsk
L
SHAKHTAR DONETSK LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D W L
CRYSTAL PALACE LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–3 · result locked
SHAKHTAR DONETSK #6
Lost · already at 13 pts
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
CRYSTAL PALACE #10
Won · already at 10 pts
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Strasbourg 6 5 1 0 +6 16
W W W W D
2 Raków Częstochowa 6 4 2 0 +7 14
W W W D D
3 AEK Athens FC 6 4 1 1 +7 13
W W W D W
4 Sparta Praha 6 4 1 1 +7 13
W W W D L
5 Rayo Vallecano 6 4 1 1 +6 13
W W L W D
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6 4 1 1 +5 13
D W W W L
7 FSV Mainz 05 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W D L W W
8 AEK Larnaca 6 3 3 0 +6 12
W D D D W
9 Lausanne 6 3 2 1 +3 11
W D L D W
10 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 +5 10
D W L W L
11 Lech Poznan 6 3 1 2 +4 10
W D W L L
12 Samsunspor 6 3 1 2 +4 10
L L D W W
13 Celje 6 3 1 2 +1 10
D L L W W
14 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 1 2 0 10
D W W L W
15 Fiorentina 6 3 0 3 +3 9
L W L L W
16 HNK Rijeka 6 2 3 1 +3 9
D W D D W
17 Jagiellonia 6 2 3 1 +1 9
D L W D D
18 Omonia Nicosia 6 2 2 2 +1 8
L W W D D
19 FC Noah 6 2 2 2 -1 8
L W D L D
20 Drita 6 2 2 2 -4 8
L L W W D
21 KuPS 6 1 4 1 +1 7
D D L W D
22 Shkendija 6 2 1 3 -1 7
L W L D W
23 Zrinjski 6 2 1 3 -2 7
D L W L L
24 Sigma Olomouc 6 2 1 3 -2 7
L L W W D
25 Universitatea Craiova 6 2 1 3 -2 7
L L W W D
26 Lincoln Red Imps FC 6 2 1 3 -8 7
L W L D W
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6 2 0 4 0 6
W L L W L
28 Legia Warszawa 6 2 0 4 0 6
W L L L W
29 Slovan Bratislava 6 2 0 4 -4 6
W L W L L
30 Breidablik 6 1 2 3 -5 5
L W D L D
31 Shamrock Rovers 6 1 1 4 -6 4
W L L D L
32 BK Hacken 6 0 3 3 -3 3
L D L L D
33 Hamrun Spartans 6 1 0 5 -7 3
L L W L L
34 Shelbourne 6 0 2 4 -7 2
D L L L L
35 Aberdeen 6 0 2 4 -11 2
L L D D L
36 Rapid Vienna 6 0 1 5 -11 1
D L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Subst · Jefferson Lerma
    8th Substitution
  • 84'
    Goal · 1-3 · Jørgen Strand Larsen
    4th Goal
  • 83'
    Subst · Lassina Traoré
    7th Substitution
  • 83'
    Subst · Yegor Nazaryna
    6th Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst · Newerton
    5th Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst · Artem Bondarenko
    4th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Brennan Johnson
    3rd Substitution
  • 65'
    Subst · Jørgen Strand Larsen
    2nd Substitution
  • 65'
    Subst · Isaque
    1st Substitution
  • 58'
    Goal · 1-2 · Daichi Kamada
    3rd Goal
  • 56'
    Card · Foul · Jaydee Canvot
    5th Yellowcard
  • 52'
    Card · Foul · Pedro Henrique
    4th Yellowcard
  • 47'
    Goal · 1-1 · Oleg Ocheretko
    2nd Goal
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 44'
    Card · Foul · Yéremy Pino
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 38'
    Card · Foul · Vinícius Tobias
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 31'
    Card · Foul · Oleg Ocheretko
    1st Yellowcard
  • 1'
    Goal · 0-1 · Ismaïla Sarr
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
SHAKHTAR DONETSK WIN
4.09
24.4% implied
↑ best 4.30
DRAW
3.30
30.3% implied
↑ best 3.42
CRYSTAL PALACE WIN
1.96
51% implied
↑ best 2.02

Market favors Crystal Palace. AI projects CRYSTAL PALACE 44%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CRYSTAL PALACE 44% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.75 3.40 1.97 +5.3%
1xBet 4.20 3.42 2.00 +8.2%
888Sport 3.90 3.10 1.95 +6.4%
Bet365 4.20 3.40 1.91 +8.2%
Betano 4.30 3.40 2.00 +8.7%
Betfair 4.20 3.25 1.91 +8.2%
BetVictor 4.10 3.30 1.90 +7.6%
Dafabet 4.10 3.35 2.02 +7.6%
Marathonbet 4.30 3.42 1.98 +8.7%
Pinnacle 4.30 3.38 1.98 +8.7%
SBO 3.90 3.19 1.93 +6.4%
Unibet 3.90 3.20 2.02 +6.4%
William Hill 4.00 3.10 1.95 +7.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.38 U 2.89
2.5 O 2.22 U 1.65
3.5 O 4.06 U 1.22
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.93 10 bks
NO
1.78 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.30
Away -0.5 1.26
Away -0.75 1.18
Away -1 1.05
Away -1.25 1.05
Away -1.5 1.05
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.