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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · SEVILLA 42%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SAT, 15 AUG · 19:30 LOCAL
SEVILLA
13TH · 43 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W W W
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
RAYO VALLECANO
W W D D W
· 8TH · 50 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 52' Jon Guridi (P) ⚽ 90+7' Peque Fernández (P)
GOALS
⚽ 4' Álvaro García
Odysseas Vlachodimos
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Odysseas Vlachodimos
Sevilla · 102 mins
· 17% pass acc
RATING
7.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.30
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.00
49%
BALL POSSESSION %
51%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
6
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
73%
PASS ACCURACY %
73%
1
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 24 events
  1. 4'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Álvaro García
    RAY
  2. 32'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul
    Isi Palazón
    RAY
  3. 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Isaac Romero
    SEV
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Isaac Romero · assist Robbie Ure
    SEV
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    N. Guilen · assist Peque Fernández
    SEV
  6. 52'
    Goal · Penalty
    Jon Guridi
    SEV
  7. 60'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jon Guridi
    SEV
  8. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Isi Palazón · assist Sergio Camello
    RAY
  9. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Randy Nteka · assist Alemão
    RAY
  10. 67'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Álvaro García
    RAY
  11. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega · assist Rubén Vargas
    SEV
  12. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Álvaro García · assist Fran Pérez
    RAY
  13. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Unai López
    RAY
  14. 76'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Fran Pérez
    RAY
  15. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Oso · assist Chidera Ejuke
    SEV
  16. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Unai López · assist Pedro Díaz
    RAY
  17. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Óscar Valentín · assist Pelayo Fernández
    RAY
  18. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gabriel Suazo
    SEV
  19. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jon Guridi · assist Manu Bueno
    SEV
  20. 88'
    Card · Red Card
    Kike Salas
    SEV
  21. 90'+7
    Goal · Penalty
    Peque Fernández
    SEV
  22. 90'+12
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lucien Agoumé
    SEV
  23. 90'+12
    Card · Yellow Card
    Juan Iglesias
    SEV
  24. 90'+12
    Card · Yellow Card
    Alemão
    RAY
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SEVILLA AVG 7.0
RAYO VALLECANO AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.3
xG
2.0
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
4.0
ON TARGET
3.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
3.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
49.0%
POSSESSION %
51.0%
317.0
PASSES
337.0
73.0%
PASS ACCURACY
73.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
2.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
18.0
FOULS
18.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
1.0
RED CARDS
0.0
2.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SEVILLA 1 shots
Kike Salas
0/1
RAYO VALLECANO 2 shots
Alemão
1/1
Álvaro García
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.30 – 2.00
1.8 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.3 0.0 HT 52' 90' 4' H 2.30 A 2.00 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 54%
46% A
13
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.2
1
ODYSSEAS
 6.9
17
GABRIEL S
 6.9
4
KIKE SALA
12
AROUNA SA
 7.0
2
JUAN IGLE
27
NICO GUIL
6
LUCIEN AG
19
OSO
18
JON GURID
 7.2
30
MIGUEL ÁN
16
ISAAC ROM
13
AUGUSTO B
20
IVáN BALL
 6.7
6
PATHé ISM
24
FLORIAN L
2
ANDREI RA
23
ÓSCAR VAL
 7.0
8
UNAI LóPE
 6.9
18
ÁLVARO GA
 6.9
7
ISI PALAZ
19
JORGE DE
11
RANDY NTE
SUBSTITUTES · SEVILLA
10
Peque Fernán...
F
39
Edu Altozano
M
11
Rubén Vargas
M
9
Robbie Ure
F
37
Ibra Sow
F
28
Manu Bueno
M
34
Iker Muñoz
D
5
Andres Castr...
D
3
Julio Díaz
D
22
José Ángel C...
D
13
Fran Gonzále...
G
21
Chidera Ejuk...
F
COACH: Luis Garcia Plaza
SUBSTITUTES · RAYO VALLECANO
21
Fran Pérez
F
31
Marco Román
M
10
Sergio Camel...
F
9
Alemão
F
4
Pedro Díaz
M
27
Sergio Lozan...
D
26
Marco de las...
D
33
Jozhua Vertr...
D
22
Pelayo Ferná...
D
1
Dani Cárdena...
G
34
Ivan Alonso...
D
COACH: Benat San Jose
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SEV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

RAY · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain
—
SEV MANAGER
Luis Garcia Plaza
head coach
RAY MANAGER
Benat San Jose
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
SEV WINS
5
DRAWS
1
RAY WINS
40%
50%
10%
13 – 8
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
08 Mar 2026
Sevilla
1 – 1
Rayo Vallecano
D
28 Sep 2025
Rayo Vallecano
0 – 1
Sevilla
W
01 Mar 2025
Rayo Vallecano
1 – 1
Sevilla
D
24 Nov 2024
Sevilla
1 – 0
Rayo Vallecano
W
05 Feb 2024
Rayo Vallecano
1 – 2
Sevilla
W
SEVILLA LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W W W
RAYO VALLECANO LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
SEVILLA #13
Won · already at 43 pts
RAYO VALLECANO #8
Lost · already at 50 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 +59 94
L W L W W
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 +42 86
W W W L W
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 +26 72
W L L D W
4 Atletico Madrid 38 21 6 11 +18 69
L W W L W
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 +11 60
W L W D W
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 +5 54
W D L W W
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 -6 51
W L W D L
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 -3 50
W W D D W
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 -9 49
W W D W L
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 -2 46
D L D D L
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 -12 46
D W W L L
12 Athletic Club 38 13 6 19 -15 45
L D L L W
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 -14 43
L L W W W
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 -12 43
L W W D L
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 -8 43
D W L D L
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 -14 42
L W W W L
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 -6 42
L L L L L
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 -10 42
W L L D W
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 -16 41
D L D D L
20 Oviedo 38 6 11 21 -34 29
L L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+12
    Card · Yellow Card · Alemão
  • 90'+12
    Card · Yellow Card · Juan Iglesias
  • 90'+12
    Card · Yellow Card · Lucien Agoumé
  • 90'+7
    Goal · Penalty · Peque Fernández
  • 88'
    Card · Red Card · Kike Salas
    Serious foul
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jon Guridi
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gabriel Suazo
    Roughing
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Óscar Valentín
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Unai López
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Oso
  • 76'
    Card · Yellow Card · Fran Pérez
    Roughing
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · Unai López
    Roughing
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Álvaro García
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega
  • 67'
    Card · Yellow Card · Álvaro García
    Tripping
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Randy Nteka
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Isi Palazón
  • 60'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jon Guridi
    Tripping
  • 52'
    Goal · Penalty · Jon Guridi
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · N. Guilen
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Isaac Romero
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Isaac Romero
    Roughing
  • 32'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul · Isi Palazón
  • 4'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Álvaro García
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
SEVILLA WIN
2.42
41.3% implied
↑ best 2.48
DRAW
3.10
32.3% implied
↑ best 3.25
RAYO VALLECANO WIN
3.17
31.5% implied
↑ best 3.30

Market favors Sevilla. AI projects SEVILLA 42%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SEVILLA 42% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.28 3.05 3.30 -0.8%
1xBet 2.48 3.25 3.29 +1.7%
888Sport 2.40 3.00 3.00 +0.3%
Bet365 2.45 3.00 3.20 +1.2%
Betano 2.42 3.15 3.15 +0.7%
Betfair 2.40 3.10 3.25 +0.3%
BetVictor 2.40 3.20 3.10 +0.8%
Dafabet 2.48 3.10 3.15 +1.7%
Marathonbet 2.44 3.20 3.24 +1.0%
Pinnacle 2.47 3.16 3.26 +1.5%
SBO 2.41 3.04 2.99 +0.5%
Unibet 2.38 3.00 3.30 0.0%
William Hill 2.40 3.00 3.00 +0.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.42 U 2.81
2.5 O 2.33 U 1.62
3.5 O 4.24 U 1.21
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.93 10 bks
NO
1.81 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.81
Away -0.5 1.59
Away -0.75 1.41
Away -1 1.24
Away -1.25 1.18
Away -1.5 1.14
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.