GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 5–0 · SENEGAL 99% · Value: Over 2.5 99%
CONF 98 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · GROUP STAGE - 3 · FRI, 26 JUN · 19:00 LOCAL
SENEGAL
8TH · 3 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L D
FT
5 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
IRAQ
L L L
· 4TH · 0 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 4' H. Diarra ⚽ 56' I. Sarr ⚽ 59' Pape Gueye ⚽ 71' Pape Gueye ⚽ 82' I. Ndiaye
GOALS
Pape Gueye
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Pape Gueye
Senegal · 40 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 🅰 1 assist · 43% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
9.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

3.10
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.18
69%
BALL POSSESSION %
31%
28
TOTAL SHOTS
6
12
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
69%
12
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 20 events
  1. 4'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    H. Diarra · assist Abdoulaye Seck
    SEN
  2. 13'
    Card · Red Card
    Rebin Solaka
    IRA
  3. 16'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ahmed Qasem · assist Munaf Younus
    IRA
  4. 18'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Abdoulaye Seck
    SEN
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ahmed Basil · assist Jalal Hassan Hachim
    IRA
  6. 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    I. Sarr · assist Lamine Camara
    SEN
  7. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    H. Diarra · assist Pape Gueye
    SEN
  8. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ibrahim Mbaye · assist I. Ndiaye
    SEN
  9. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Lamine Camara · assist Nicolas Jackson
    SEN
  10. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    A. Jasim · assist Ahmed Hasan Al Reeshawee
    IRA
  11. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ali Al-Hamadi · assist Ali Yousif
    IRA
  12. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Abdoulaye Seck · assist Pathé Ismaël Ciss
    SEN
  13. 59'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Pape Gueye · assist I. Sarr
    SEN
  14. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Zidane Iqbal · assist Kevin Yakob
    IRA
  15. 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Pape Gueye · assist I. Ndiaye
    SEN
  16. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Amir Al Ammari
    IRA
  17. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    I. Sarr · assist Assane Diao
    SEN
  18. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Pape Gueye
    SEN
  19. 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    I. Ndiaye · assist Pape Gueye
    SEN
  20. 90'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Merchas Doski
    IRA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SENEGAL AVG 8.5
  • Pape Gueye
    40' · 2G · 1A · 4 shots · 43.00% pass
    9.9
  • I. Ndiaye
    40' · 1G · 1A · 2 shots · 21.00% pass
    8.6
  • I. Gueye
    97' · 1 shots · 82.00% pass
    8.3
  • Lamine Camara
    57' · 1A · 1 shots · 36.00% pass
    8.2
  • I. Sarr
    81' · 1G · 1A · 3 shots · 14.00% pass
    7.6
IRAQ AVG 6.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
3.1
xG
0.2
28.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
12.0
ON TARGET
1.0
11.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
5.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
69.0%
POSSESSION %
31.0%
590.0
PASSES
265.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
69.0%
SET PIECES
12.0
CORNERS
3.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
11.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
7.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SENEGAL 11 shots
Pape Gueye
3/4
I. Sarr
2/3
I. Ndiaye
2/2
I. Gueye
0/1
Lamine Camara
0/1
IRAQ 0 shots

No shots recorded.

📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 3.10 – 0.18
2.5 1.9 1.2 0.6 3.1 0.0 HT 4' 56' 59' 71' 82' H 3.10 A 0.18 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 60%
40% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
23
MORY DIAW
14
ISMAIL JA
19
MOUSSA NI
4
ABDOULAYE
15
K. DIATTA
 8.2
8
LAMINE CA
 8.3
5
I. GUEYE
21
H. DIARRA
10
S. MANé
 7.6
18
I. SARR
20
IBRAHIM M
 6.6
22
AHMED BAS
23
MERCHAS D
5
AKAM HASH
2
REBIN SOL
26
F. PUTROS
16
AMIR AL A
14
ZIDANE IQ
 6.3
8
IBRAHEEM
17
A. JASIM
11
AHMED QAS
 6.6
9
ALI AL-HA
SUBSTITUTES · SENEGAL
24
Antoine Mend...
D
25
E. Diouf
D
17
Pape Matar S...
M
22
Bara Ndiaye
M
9
Ahmadou Bamb...
F
3
Kalidou Koul...
D
2
Mamadou Sarr
D
1
Y. Diouf
G
7
Assane Diao
F
6
Pathé Ismaël...
M
11
Nicolas Jack...
F
13
I. Ndiaye
F
26
Pape Gueye
M
12
Cherif Ndiay...
F
COACH: Bouna Thiaw Pape
SUBSTITUTES · IRAQ
25
Mustafa Saad...
D
7
Youssef Amyn
F
20
A. Sher
M
24
Z. Ismaeel
M
21
M. Farji
M
10
Mohanad Ali
F
4
Zayed Tahsee...
D
3
Hussein Ali
D
1
Fahad Talib
G
19
Kevin Yakob
M
13
Ali Yousif
F
15
Ahmed Hasan...
D
12
Jalal Hassan...
G
6
Munaf Younus
D
18
Aymen Hussei...
F
COACH: Graham Arnold
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SEN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

IRA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Anthony Taylor, England
—
SEN MANAGER
Bouna Thiaw Pape
head coach
IRA MANAGER
Graham Arnold
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
SEN WINS
1
DRAWS
0
IRA WINS
100%
SENEGAL LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L D
IRAQ LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 5–0 · result locked
SENEGAL #3
Won · already at 3 pts
Round of 32
IRAQ #4
Lost · already at 0 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Card · Yellow Card · Merchas Doski
    Foul
  • 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal · I. Ndiaye
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · Pape Gueye
    Foul
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · I. Sarr
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · Amir Al Ammari
  • 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Pape Gueye
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Zidane Iqbal
  • 59'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Pape Gueye
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Abdoulaye Seck
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ali Al-Hamadi
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · A. Jasim
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Lamine Camara
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ibrahim Mbaye
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · H. Diarra
  • 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal · I. Sarr
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ahmed Basil
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 18'
    Card · Yellow Card · Abdoulaye Seck
    Foul
  • 16'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ahmed Qasem
  • 13'
    Card · Red Card · Rebin Solaka
    Holding
  • 4'
    Goal · Normal Goal · H. Diarra
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
SENEGAL WIN
1.24
80.6% implied
↑ best 1.29
DRAW
6.45
15.5% implied
↑ best 7.00
IRAQ WIN
11.50
8.7% implied
↑ best 13.00

Market favors Senegal. AI projects SENEGAL 99% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SENEGAL 99% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.22 6.00 11.50 +17.0%
1xBet 1.26 6.82 12.80 +19.6%
888Sport 1.22 5.75 10.00 +17.0%
Bet365 1.25 6.50 11.00 +19.0%
Betano 1.29 6.20 11.50 +21.5%
Betfair 1.25 6.50 11.00 +19.0%
BetVictor 1.20 6.50 13.00 +15.7%
Marathonbet 1.26 6.65 12.25 +19.6%
Pinnacle 1.26 7.00 11.00 +19.6%
SBO 1.22 6.60 12.00 +17.0%
Superbet 1.24 6.60 11.00 +18.4%
Unibet 1.22 6.75 12.50 +17.0%
William Hill 1.22 6.00 10.00 +17.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.16 U 4.95
2.5 O 1.55 U 2.43
3.5 O 2.35 U 1.60
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.06 11 bks
NO
1.71 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 5.81
Away -0.5 4.22
Away -0.75 3.77
Away -1 3.19
Away -1.25 2.51
Away -1.5 2.19
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.