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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–2 · DRAW 52% · Value: Over 2.5 78%
CONF 68 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · THU, 14 MAY · 01:30 LOCAL
SEATTLE SOUNDERS
13TH · 25 PTS · LAST 5:
D L L L L
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
L L L L D
· 4TH · 33 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 43' Albert Rusnák (P) ⚽ 55' Jesús Ferreira ⚽ 89' Osaze De Rosario
GOALS
⚽ 2' N. Fernandez ⚽ 69' Preston Judd
Jesús Ferreira
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Jesús Ferreira
Seattle Sounders · 89 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 32% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Seattle Sounders vs San Jose Earthquakes
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

3.30
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.10
63%
BALL POSSESSION %
37%
23
TOTAL SHOTS
11
9
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
73%
9
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 2'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    N. Fernandez · assist Nonso Adimabua
    SAN
  2. 43'
    Goal · Penalty
    Albert Rusnák
    SEA
  3. 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    R. Roberts
    SAN
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    P. Marie · assist O. Bouda
    SAN
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Nonso Adimabua · assist Preston Judd
    SAN
  6. 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jesús Ferreira
    SEA
  7. 58'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Preston Judd
    SAN
  8. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Noel Buck · assist Beau Leroux
    SAN
  9. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza · assist I. Harkes
    SAN
  10. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Daniel Musovski · assist Jordan Morris
    SEA
  11. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Snyder Brunell · assist Hassani Dotson
    SEA
  12. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jack Skahan · assist J. Ricketts
    SAN
  13. 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Preston Judd
    SAN
  14. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Albert Rusnák · assist Osaze De Rosario
    SEA
  15. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kalani Kossa-Rienzi · assist P. Kingston
    SEA
  16. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Paul Rothrock · assist Paul Arriola
    SEA
  17. 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Osaze De Rosario · assist Nouhou Tolo
    SEA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SEATTLE SOUNDERS AVG 7.5
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
3.3
xG
1.1
23.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
9.0
ON TARGET
3.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
8.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
63.0%
POSSESSION %
37.0%
514.0
PASSES
289.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
73.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
6.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
11.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SEATTLE SOUNDERS 7 shots
Snyder Brunell
2/3
Jesús Ferreira
1/2
Albert Rusnák
2/2
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES 3 shots
Preston Judd
1/2
N. Fernandez
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 3.30 – 1.10
2.6 2 1.3 0.7 3.3 0.0 HT 43' 55' 89' 2' 69' H 3.30 A 1.10 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
26
ANDREW TH
 7.7
5
NOUHOU TO
25
JACKSON R
 7.2
16
ALEX ROLD
85
KALANI KO
7
CRISTIAN
 7.2
37
SNYDER BR
14
PAUL ROTH
 7.2
11
ALBERT RU
 8.3
9
JESúS FER
19
DANIEL MU
 7.5
42
DANIEL
4
DAVE ROMN
18
R. ROBERT
25
MAX FLORI
17
JACK JASI
40
J. A. GON
21
NOEL BUCK
3
P. MARIE
 7.0
20
N. FERNAN
16
JACK SKAH
32
NONSO ADI
SUBSTITUTES · SEATTLE SOUNDERS
13
Jordan Morri...
F
31
Hassani Dots...
M
17
Paul Arriola
F
90
S. Gomez
M
45
P. Kingston
M
20
Kee-hee Kim
D
35
A. Lopez
D
24
Stefan Frei
G
95
Osaze De Ros...
F
COACH: Brian Schmetzer
SUBSTITUTES · SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
7
O. Bouda
F
6
I. Harkes
M
34
Beau Leroux
M
14
R. Vieira
M
2
J. Ricketts
D
5
Daniel Munie
D
28
B. Kikanovic
F
22
Nate Crockfo...
G
19
Preston Judd
F
COACH: Bruce Arena
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SEA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
F. Dujic
—
SEA MANAGER
Brian Schmetzer
head coach
SAN MANAGER
Bruce Arena
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
SEA WINS
4
DRAWS
4
SAN WINS
20%
40%
40%
16 – 19
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
15 Mar 2026
San Jose Earthquakes
0 – 1
Seattle Sounders
W
20 Jul 2025
Seattle Sounders
3 – 2
San Jose Earthquakes
W
30 Mar 2025
San Jose Earthquakes
1 – 1
Seattle Sounders
D
19 Sep 2024
Seattle Sounders
2 – 2
San Jose Earthquakes
D
24 Mar 2024
San Jose Earthquakes
3 – 2
Seattle Sounders
L
SEATTLE SOUNDERS LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L L L
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–2 · result locked
SEATTLE SOUNDERS #13
Won · already at 25 pts
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES #4
Lost · already at 33 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Osaze De Rosario
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Paul Rothrock
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Albert Rusnák
  • 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Preston Judd
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jack Skahan
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Snyder Brunell
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Daniel Musovski
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Noel Buck
  • 58'
    Card · Yellow Card · Preston Judd
  • 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jesús Ferreira
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Nonso Adimabua
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · P. Marie
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · R. Roberts
  • 43'
    Goal · Penalty · Albert Rusnák
  • 2'
    Goal · Normal Goal · N. Fernandez
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SEATTLE SOUNDERS WIN
1.84
54.3% implied
↑ best 1.95
DRAW
3.91
25.6% implied
↑ best 4.08
SAN JOSE EARTHQU WIN
3.81
26.2% implied
↑ best 4.76

Market favors Seattle Sounders. AI projects DRAW 52% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 52% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.81 3.90 3.85 +26.4%
888Sport 1.95 3.50 3.30 +23.4%
Bet365 1.90 4.00 3.70 +27.0%
Betano 1.90 3.95 3.75 +26.7%
Betfair 1.80 3.90 3.90 +26.4%
BetVictor 1.85 3.90 3.70 +26.4%
Dafabet 1.90 4.00 3.75 +27.0%
Marathonbet 1.83 3.92 3.68 +26.5%
Pinnacle 1.89 4.07 3.82 +27.4%
SBO 1.58 4.08 4.76 +27.5%
Unibet 1.82 3.85 3.95 +26.0%
William Hill 1.83 3.80 3.60 +25.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.17 U 4.81
2.5 O 1.58 U 2.33
3.5 O 2.43 U 1.52
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.53 9 bks
NO
2.38 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.30
Away -0.5 2.01
Away -0.75 1.79
Away -1 1.52
Away -1.25 1.40
Away -1.5 1.33
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.