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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · SC BRAGA 46%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Europa League · SEMI-FINALS · THU, 30 APR · 19:00 LOCAL
SC BRAGA
6TH · 17 PTS · LAST 5:
D D L D L
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
SC FREIBURG
L W L W D
· 7TH · 17 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 16' Vincenzo Grifo
Victor Gómez
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Victor Gómez
SC Braga · 90 mins
🅰 1 assist · 34% pass acc
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

105%
BALL POSSESSION %
70%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
10
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
424%
PASS ACCURACY %
281%
3
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 6 events
  1. 16'
    Goal · 1-1
    Vincenzo Grifo · assist Niklas Beste
    SC
  2. 18'
    Card · Foul
    Vincenzo Grifo
    SC
  3. 45'+1
    Card · Foul
    Philipp Lienhart
    SC
  4. 72'
    Card · Foul
    Jordy Makengo
    SC
  5. 81'
    Subst
    Lucas Höler · assist Yuito Suzuki
    SC
  6. 81'
    Subst
    D. Scherhant · assist Vincenzo Grifo
    SC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SC BRAGA AVG 7.5
SC FREIBURG AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
6.0
ON TARGET
2.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
2.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
105.0%
POSSESSION %
70.0%
494.0
PASSES
347.0
424.0%
PASS ACCURACY
281.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
1.0
16.0
OFFSIDES
12.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
14.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
1.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SC BRAGA 7 shots
Mario Dorgeles
1/3
João Moutinho
1/2
Victor Gómez
0/1
E. Tıknaz
1/1
SC FREIBURG 2 shots
Vincenzo Grifo
1/2
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 0%
100% A
0
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-2-1
4-2-3-1
1
LUKáš HOR
6
VíTOR CAR
15
PAULO OLI
 7.2
14
GUSTAF LA
 8.0
2
VICTOR Gó
 7.7
34
E. TıKNAZ
 7.5
8
JOãO MOUT
29
JEAN-BAPT
21
RICARDO H
10
R. ZALAZA
18
PAU VICTO
 7.6
1
NOAH ATUB
33
JORDY MAK
3
P. LIENHA
 6.7
28
M. GINTER
29
PHILIPP T
44
JOHAN MAN
8
MAXIMILIA
 7.7
32
VINCENZO
14
Y. SUZUKI
 7.2
19
JAN-NIKLA
31
I. MATANO
SUBSTITUTES · SC BRAGA
5
Leonardo Lel...
D
41
Yanis da Roc...
M
80
João Vasconc...
M
90
Luís Pinto
M
96
Afonso Sousa
D
70
Rodrigo Silv...
F
53
Jonatás Noro
D
36
A. Bellaarou...
G
12
Tiago Sá
G
39
Fran Navarro
F
20
Mario Dorgel...
M
9
Amine El Oua...
F
COACH: Carlos Vicens
SUBSTITUTES · SC FREIBURG
43
Bruno Ogbus
D
22
Cyriaque Iri...
F
27
Nicolas Höfl...
M
69
Rouven Tarnu...
M
30
Christian Gü...
D
17
Lukas Kübler
D
5
Anthony Jung
D
24
J. Huth
G
21
Florian Müll...
G
9
L. Höler
F
7
D. Scherhant
F
26
Maximilian P...
F
COACH: Julian Schuster
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Taylor
—
SC MANAGER
Carlos Vicens
head coach
SC MANAGER
Julian Schuster
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
SC WINS
1
DRAWS
0
SC WINS
50%
50%
2 – 1
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
1.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 2
07 May 2026
SC Freiburg
3 – 1
SC Braga
L
SC BRAGA LAST 5 OVERALL
D D L D L
SC FREIBURG LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
SC BRAGA #6
Won · already at 17 pts
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
SC FREIBURG #7
Lost · already at 17 pts
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Lyon 8 7 0 1 +13 21
W W W W L
2 Aston Villa 8 7 0 1 +8 21
W W W W W
3 FC Midtjylland 8 6 1 1 +10 19
W D W L W
4 Real Betis 8 5 2 1 +6 17
W L W W W
5 FC Porto 8 5 2 1 +6 17
W D W W D
6 SC Braga 8 5 2 1 +6 17
D W W D L
7 SC Freiburg 8 5 2 1 +6 17
L W W D W
8 AS Roma 8 5 1 2 +7 16
D W W W W
9 Genk 8 5 1 2 +4 16
W W L W W
10 Bologna 8 4 3 1 +7 15
W D W W D
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 5 0 3 +6 15
W L W W W
12 Ferencvarosi TC 8 4 3 1 +1 15
L D W D W
13 Nottingham Forest 8 4 2 2 +8 14
W L W W D
14 Plzen 8 3 5 0 +5 14
W D D D D
15 FK Crvena Zvezda 8 4 2 2 +1 14
D W W W W
16 Celta Vigo 8 4 1 3 +4 13
D W L L W
17 PAOK 8 3 3 2 +3 12
L W D D W
18 Lille 8 4 0 4 +3 12
W L L W L
19 Fenerbahçe 8 3 3 2 +3 12
D L W D D
20 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 +2 12
D D D W W
21 Celtic 8 3 2 3 -2 11
W D L W L
22 Ludogorets 8 3 1 4 -3 10
W L D W L
23 Dinamo Zagreb 8 3 1 4 -4 10
L W L L L
24 Brann 8 2 3 3 -2 9
L D L D D
25 BSC Young Boys 8 3 0 5 -6 9
L L W L L
26 Sturm Graz 8 2 1 5 -6 7
W L L L D
27 FCSB 8 2 1 5 -7 7
D L W L L
28 GO Ahead Eagles 8 2 1 5 -8 7
D L L L L
29 Feyenoord 8 2 0 6 -4 6
L W L L L
30 FC Basel 1893 8 2 0 6 -4 6
L L L L W
31 Red Bull Salzburg 8 2 0 6 -5 6
L W L L W
32 Rangers 8 1 1 6 -9 4
L W L D L
33 Nice 8 1 0 7 -8 3
L W L L L
34 Utrecht 8 0 1 7 -10 1
L L L L D
35 Malmo FF 8 0 1 7 -11 1
L L L L L
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8 0 1 7 -20 1
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 81'
    Subst · D. Scherhant
    4th Substitution
  • 81'
    Subst · Lucas Höler
    3rd Substitution
  • 72'
    Card · Foul · Jordy Makengo
    5th Yellowcard
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'+1
    Card · Foul · Philipp Lienhart
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 18'
    Card · Foul · Vincenzo Grifo
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 16'
    Goal · 1-1 · Vincenzo Grifo
    2nd Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
SC BRAGA WIN
2.33
42.9% implied
↑ best 2.43
DRAW
3.07
32.6% implied
↑ best 3.25
SC FREIBURG WIN
3.33
30% implied
↑ best 3.50

Market favors SC Braga. AI projects SC BRAGA 46%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SC BRAGA 46% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.34 3.10 3.10 +3.3%
1xBet 2.41 3.23 3.43 +4.5%
888Sport 2.30 2.90 3.30 +2.5%
Bet365 2.30 3.00 3.40 +2.5%
Betano 2.37 3.15 3.50 +3.8%
Betfair 2.30 3.00 3.30 +2.5%
BetVictor 2.30 3.00 3.30 +2.5%
Dafabet 2.43 3.25 3.15 +4.8%
Marathonbet 2.38 3.18 3.38 +4.0%
Pinnacle 2.34 3.13 3.48 +3.3%
SBO 2.25 3.02 3.18 +1.6%
Unibet 2.28 3.05 3.45 +2.1%
William Hill 2.30 2.90 3.30 +2.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.41 U 2.85
2.5 O 2.28 U 1.63
3.5 O 4.13 U 1.22
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.90 10 bks
NO
1.83 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.87
Away -0.5 1.62
Away -0.75 1.44
Away -1 1.25
Away -1.25 1.21
Away -1.5 1.16
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.