GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · SC BRAGA 58% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 61 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 32 · SUN, 03 MAY · 17:00 LOCAL
SC BRAGA
4TH · 59 PTS · LAST 5:
D D L W L
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
ESTORIL
L D L L L
· 10TH · 39 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 23' Mario Dorgeles
GOALS
⚽ 79' Yanis Begraoui
Mario Dorgeles
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Mario Dorgeles
SC Braga · 88 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 34% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Resumo: Braga 1-1 Estoril (Liga 25/26 #32)
Open in Youtube ↗
Primeira Liga: SC Braga vs Estoril
Primeira Liga: SC Braga vs Estoril
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.42
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.86
50%
BALL POSSESSION %
50%
10
TOTAL SHOTS
9
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
85%
5
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Mario Dorgeles · assist R. Zalazar
    SC
  2. 29'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gabriel Moscardo
    SC
  3. 36'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Xeka
    EST
  4. 38'
    Card · Yellow Card
    E. Tıknaz
    SC
  5. 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Felix Bacher
    EST
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    R. Zalazar · assist Luís Pinto
    SC
  7. 50'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ferro
    EST
  8. 54'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ferro · assist André Lacximicant
    EST
  9. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Amine El Ouazzani · assist Fran Navarro
    SC
  10. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    João Moutinho · assist Paulo Oliveira
    SC
  11. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Pedro Amaral · assist Gonçalo Costa
    EST
  12. 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yanis Begraoui · assist Ricard Sánchez
    EST
  13. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Yanis Begraoui · assist Alejandro Marqués
    EST
  14. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Rafik Guitane · assist Peixinho
    EST
  15. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ricard Sánchez · assist Pedro Carvalho
    EST
  16. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luís Pinto
    SC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SC BRAGA AVG 7.2
ESTORIL AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.4
xG
0.9
10.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
3.0
ON TARGET
4.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
4.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
50.0%
POSSESSION %
50.0%
464.0
PASSES
465.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
85.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
4.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
3.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SC BRAGA 2 shots
Mario Dorgeles
1/1
Pau Victor
1/1
ESTORIL 4 shots
Jordan Holsgrove
1/3
Yanis Begraoui
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.42 – 0.86
0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.9 0.0 HT 23' 79' H 0.42 A 0.86 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 3-4-3
3-4-2-1
3-4-3
7.5
1
LUKáš HOR
17
GABRIEL M
6
VíTOR CAR
 6.7
14
GUSTAF LA
 6.9
5
LEONARDO
34
E. TıKNAZ
8
JOãO MOUT
 7.9
20
MARIO DOR
 7.0
18
PAU VICTO
10
R. ZALAZA
9
AMINE EL
16
MARTIN TU
5
ANTEF TSO
4
FERRO
 6.9
25
FELIX BAC
 6.9
24
PEDRO AMA
 7.0
10
JORDAN HO
8
XEKA
2
RICARD Sá
12
JOãO CARV
 7.3
14
YANIS BEG
 7.0
99
RAFIK GUI
SUBSTITUTES · SC BRAGA
92
Antonio Gil
M
53
Jonatás Noro
D
96
Afonso Sousa
D
70
Rodrigo Silv...
F
12
Tiago Sá
G
15
Paulo Olivei...
D
39
Fran Navarro
F
90
Luís Pinto
M
41
Yanis da Roc...
M
COACH: Carlos Vicens
SUBSTITUTES · ESTORIL
9
Alejandro Ma...
F
7
Nodar Lomina...
M
21
Pizzi
M
97
Luis Gomes
M
22
Pedro Carval...
D
1
Joel Robles
G
20
Gonçalo Cost...
D
19
André Lacxim...
F
70
Peixinho
F
COACH: Ian Cathro
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

EST · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Rodrigues
—
SC MANAGER
Carlos Vicens
head coach
EST MANAGER
Ian Cathro
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
SC WINS
3
DRAWS
1
EST WINS
60%
30%
10%
17 – 6
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
19 Dec 2025
Estoril
1 – 0
SC Braga
L
19 Apr 2025
Estoril
0 – 2
SC Braga
W
06 Dec 2024
SC Braga
2 – 2
Estoril
D
13 Apr 2024
Estoril
0 – 1
SC Braga
W
03 Dec 2023
SC Braga
3 – 1
Estoril
W
SC BRAGA LAST 5 OVERALL
D D L W L
ESTORIL LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
SC BRAGA #4
Lost · already at 59 pts
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
ESTORIL #10
Lost · already at 39 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 34 28 4 2 +48 88
W L W W W
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 +65 82
W W W D D
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 +49 80
W D D W W
4 SC Braga 34 16 11 7 +28 59
D D D L W
5 Famalicao 34 15 11 8 +13 56
W D D W D
6 GIL Vicente 34 13 11 10 +9 50
L L D W L
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 -12 43
D L W L W
8 Arouca 34 12 6 16 -17 42
W W D L W
9 Guimaraes 34 12 6 16 -12 42
L L L W W
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 -3 39
L D D L L
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 -17 39
L D L W L
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 -22 36
D L D L D
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 -9 36
L W D W D
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 -8 34
W L L W W
15 Estrela 34 6 12 16 -18 30
D D L L L
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 -26 30
D W L L L
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L W W D L
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 -40 21
D W W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Luís Pinto
    Diving
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ricard Sánchez
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Rafik Guitane
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Yanis Begraoui
  • 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yanis Begraoui
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Pedro Amaral
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · João Moutinho
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Amine El Ouazzani
  • 54'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ferro
  • 50'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ferro
    Tripping
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · R. Zalazar
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Felix Bacher
    Holding
  • 38'
    Card · Yellow Card · E. Tıknaz
    Tripping
  • 36'
    Card · Yellow Card · Xeka
    Tripping
  • 29'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gabriel Moscardo
    Roughing
  • 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Mario Dorgeles
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SC BRAGA WIN
1.69
59.2% implied
↑ best 1.72
DRAW
3.93
25.4% implied
↑ best 4.15
ESTORIL WIN
4.65
21.5% implied
↑ best 4.88

Market favors SC Braga. AI projects SC BRAGA 58% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SC BRAGA 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.68 3.90 4.65 -1.5%
1xBet 1.72 4.05 4.88 -0.1%
Bet365 1.70 3.90 4.50 -0.8%
Betano 1.72 4.15 4.85 -0.1%
Betfair 1.70 3.90 4.60 -0.8%
BetVictor 1.65 3.75 4.50 -2.6%
Dafabet 1.72 4.10 4.70 -0.1%
Marathonbet 1.66 3.90 4.70 -1.6%
Pinnacle 1.70 4.04 4.85 -0.8%
SBO 1.67 3.77 4.46 -1.9%
Unibet 1.68 3.90 4.60 -1.5%
William Hill 1.67 3.75 4.50 -1.9%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.20 U 4.21
2.5 O 1.68 U 2.14
3.5 O 2.68 U 1.44
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.66 9 bks
NO
2.11 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.58
Away -0.5 2.16
Away -0.75 1.91
Away -1 1.66
Away -1.25 1.54
Away -1.5 1.43
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.