GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · SARMIENTO JUNIN 38%
CONF 24 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · SAT, 25 APR · 22:15 LOCAL
SARMIENTO JUNIN
28TH · 89 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L L L
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
TIGRE
D D L L W
· 21ST · 108 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 10' Nicolás Pasquini
GOALS
Santiago Salle
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Santiago Salle
Sarmiento Junin · 44 mins
· 7% pass acc
RATING
7.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.75
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.60
55%
BALL POSSESSION %
45%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
5
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
0
75%
PASS ACCURACY %
69%
2
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 5 events
  1. 10'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Nicolás Pasquini
    SAR
  2. 23'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mauricio Martínez
    SAR
  3. 27'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ignacio Russo
    TIG
  4. 31'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    P. Martínez · assist Santiago López
    TIG
  5. 42'
    Card · Yellow Card
    J. Insaurralde
    SAR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SARMIENTO JUNIN AVG 6.9
TIGRE AVG 6.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.8
xG
0.6
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
2.0
ON TARGET
0.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
1.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
55.0%
POSSESSION %
45.0%
185.0
PASSES
147.0
75.0%
PASS ACCURACY
69.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
3.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
4.0
FOULS
5.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SARMIENTO JUNIN 1 shots
Nicolás Pasquini
1/1
TIGRE 2 shots
P. Martínez
0/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.75 – 0.60
0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.0 HT 10' H 0.75 A 0.60 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 60%
40% A
3
EVENTS LOGGED
2
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
6.7
1
JAVIER BU
 7.0
77
NICOLáS P
2
J. INSAUR
 6.7
34
AGUSTíN S
29
THIAGO SA
 6.9
15
CRISTIAN
14
MAURICIO
11
JONATAN G
27
JUNIOR MA
 7.2
8
SANTIAGO
7
PABLO MAG
12
FELIPE ZE
 6.5
3
NAHUEL BA
 6.6
20
ALAN BARR
2
J. LASO
 6.3
4
VALENTíN
5
BRUNO LEY
23
GONZALO P
33
ELíAS CAB
 6.7
28
P. MARTíN
10
JABES SAR
29
IGNACIO R
SUBSTITUTES · SARMIENTO JUNIN
35
Facundo Alag...
M
18
Osmar Gimene...
M
26
Yair Arismen...
M
40
Brandon Márq...
F
30
Manuel Mónac...
M
19
Julian Contr...
F
5
Manuel Garci...
M
3
Lucas Suárez
D
4
Juan Manuel...
D
33
Gabriel Díaz
D
12
Thyago Ayala
G
9
Diego Churin
F
COACH: Facundo Sava
SUBSTITUTES · TIGRE
22
Santiago Lóp...
F
30
Jalil Elias
M
55
Joaquin Mosq...
M
18
Manuel Ferna...
F
11
Tiago Serrag...
M
17
Guillermo So...
D
42
Ramón Arias
D
32
Juan Villalb...
D
24
Federico Álv...
D
8
Martín Garay
M
26
Tomás Sultan...
G
77
Marco Rivas
F
COACH: Diego Dabove
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

TIG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
S. Zunino
—
SAR MANAGER
Facundo Sava
head coach
TIG MANAGER
Diego Dabove
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
SAR WINS
5
DRAWS
2
TIG WINS
22.2%
55.6%
22.2%
8 – 6
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
1.56
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
18 Aug 2024
Sarmiento Junin
0 – 0
Tigre
D
14 Apr 2023
Tigre
1 – 0
Sarmiento Junin
L
04 Oct 2022
Sarmiento Junin
2 – 2
Tigre
D
09 Dec 2016
Sarmiento Junin
2 – 0
Tigre
W
25 Jul 2015
Sarmiento Junin
0 – 1
Tigre
L
SARMIENTO JUNIN LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L L
TIGRE LAST 5 OVERALL
D D L L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
SARMIENTO JUNIN #11
Won · already at 19 pts
TIGRE #10
Lost · already at 20 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 42'
    Card · Yellow Card · J. Insaurralde
    misses next match
  • 31'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · P. Martínez
  • 27'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ignacio Russo
  • 23'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mauricio Martínez
  • 10'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Nicolás Pasquini
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
SARMIENTO JUNIN WIN
3.72
26.9% implied
↑ best 4.05
DRAW
2.85
35.1% implied
↑ best 2.96
TIGRE WIN
2.24
44.6% implied
↑ best 2.45

Market favors Tigre. AI projects SARMIENTO JUNIN 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SARMIENTO JUNIN 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.60 2.86 2.25 +10.2%
1xBet 3.83 2.83 2.21 +11.9%
888Sport 3.25 2.70 2.45 +7.2%
Bet365 4.00 2.88 2.20 +13.0%
Betano 3.95 2.87 2.22 +12.7%
Betfair 3.60 2.90 2.20 +10.2%
BetVictor 3.90 2.88 2.20 +12.4%
Dafabet 3.80 2.85 2.20 +11.7%
Marathonbet 3.82 2.83 2.19 +11.8%
Pinnacle 4.05 2.96 2.23 +13.3%
SBO 3.52 2.74 2.17 +9.6%
Unibet 3.40 2.95 2.35 +8.6%
William Hill 3.70 2.75 2.20 +11.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.66 U 2.18
2.5 O 3.00 U 1.36
3.5 O 6.41 U 1.10
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.35 10 bks
NO
1.53 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.35
Away -0.5 1.29
Away -0.75 1.17
Away -1 1.05
Away -1.25 1.02
Away -1.5 1.03
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.