GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · SANTOS LAGUNA 38%
CONF 35 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · APERTURA - 4 · MON, 17 AUG · 01:10 LOCAL
SANTOS LAGUNA
18TH · 12 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L W L
61'
0 – 0
HT · 0-0
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS
D W L L D
· 2ND · 36 PTS · LAST 5
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Santos Laguna · 53'

LIVE
GUADALAJ SANTOS L

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

SANTOS L GUADALAJ
SANTOS LAG GUADALAJAR 31' 46' 61'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 61'

0.43
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.26
35%
BALL POSSESSION %
65%
5
TOTAL SHOTS
7
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
92%
3
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 2 events
  1. 53'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Richard Ledezma · assist S. Sandoval
    GUA
  2. 53'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Eduardo Aguirre · assist Ramiro Sordo
    SAN
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.4
xG
0.3
5.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
1.0
ON TARGET
3.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
35.0%
POSSESSION %
65.0%
263.0
PASSES
484.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
92.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
3.0
FOULS
10.0
3.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SANTOS LAGUNA 1 shots
Ezequiel Bullaude
0/1
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS 1 shots
Omar Govea
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.43 – 0.26
0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.0 HT H 0.43 A 0.26 KO 30' 60' 61'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
1
EVENTS LOGGED
1
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 5-3-2 vs 3-1-4-2
5-3-2
3-1-4-2
7.3
1
CARLOS AC
17
EMMANUEL
 7.3
25
FELIPE Sá
 6.9
18
FRANCO PA
14
EFRAIN OR
 7.2
3
MAURICIO
 7.0
10
EZEQUIEL
5
ALDO LOPE
21
FRAN VILL
19
EDUARDO A
7
DIEGO GON
1
RAúL RANG
 7.2
7
LUIS ROMO
 7.2
16
LUIS GABR
 7.0
3
DIEGO CAM
14
HUGO CAMB
11
BRIAN GUT
33
JORDAN CA
 7.3
6
OMAR GOVE
37
RICHARD L
 6.9
25
ROBERTO A
17
RICARDO M
SUBSTITUTES · SANTOS LAGUNA
6
Javier Güeme...
M
26
Ramiro Sordo
M
77
Kevin Palaci...
M
15
Joshua Manch...
M
8
Salvador Mar...
M
22
Kevin Picon
D
4
José Abella
D
28
Jonathan Pér...
D
33
Hector Holgu...
G
29
Tahiel Jimén...
F
COACH: Paiva Renato
SUBSTITUTES · GUADALAJARA CHIVAS
9
Ángel Sepúlv...
F
34
Armando Gonz...
F
19
Kevin Castañ...
M
18
Jonathan Per...
M
30
Santiago San...
M
28
Fernando Gon...
M
24
Miguel Gómez
D
56
Ángel Chávez
D
13
Óscar Whalle...
G
10
Efrain Alvar...
F
COACH: Gabriel Milito
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GUA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
V. Arce
—
SAN MANAGER
Paiva Renato
head coach
GUA MANAGER
Gabriel Milito
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
SAN WINS
2
DRAWS
6
GUA WINS
20%
20%
60%
6 – 18
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
14 Mar 2026
Guadalajara Chivas
3 – 0
Santos Laguna
L
11 Aug 2025
Santos Laguna
1 – 0
Guadalajara Chivas
W
12 Jan 2025
Guadalajara Chivas
1 – 0
Santos Laguna
L
06 Nov 2024
Santos Laguna
0 – 2
Guadalajara Chivas
L
14 Jan 2024
Guadalajara Chivas
1 – 1
Santos Laguna
D
SANTOS LAGUNA LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L W L
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L L D
LIVE IMPACT Currently 0–0 · scenario projection
SANTOS LAGUNA #18
If loss holds: 12 pts
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS #2
If loss holds: 36 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
L D W L D
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
L D W L D
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
W D W D W
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
L W W W L
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
L L W L L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
L L W D W
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
L W W D D
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
D D L W W
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 53'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Eduardo Aguirre
  • 53'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Richard Ledezma
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
SANTOS LAGUNA WIN
5.37
18.6% implied
↑ best 5.90
DRAW
4.33
23.1% implied
↑ best 4.65
GUADALAJARA CHIV WIN
1.52
65.8% implied
↑ best 1.57

Market favors Guadalajara Chivas. AI projects SANTOS LAGUNA 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SANTOS LAGUNA 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 5.40 4.45 1.52 +19.5%
1xBet 5.54 4.33 1.51 +19.9%
888Sport 5.00 4.00 1.50 +18.0%
Bet365 5.50 4.33 1.55 +19.8%
Betano 5.90 4.55 1.57 +21.1%
Betfair 5.00 4.50 1.50 +18.0%
BetVictor 5.50 4.33 1.53 +19.8%
Dafabet 5.40 4.50 1.55 +19.5%
Marathonbet 5.50 4.33 1.50 +19.8%
Pinnacle 5.65 4.65 1.55 +20.3%
SBO 5.22 4.18 1.48 +18.8%
Unibet 5.40 4.20 1.50 +19.5%
William Hill 4.80 4.00 1.50 +17.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 4.90
2.5 O 1.54 U 2.36
3.5 O 2.35 U 1.55
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.62 10 bks
NO
2.13 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.15
Away -0.5 1.15
Away -0.75 1.06
Away -1 1.02
Away -1.5 1.02
Away +0 1.19
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.