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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · SANTOS LAGUNA 38%
CONF 44 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · APERTURA - 2 · SUN, 26 JUL · 03:00 LOCAL
SANTOS LAGUNA
18TH · 12 PTS · LAST 5:
L W L L L
90'
0 – 1
HT · 0-0
ATLAS
W L L W D
· 6TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 65' Edgar Zaldívar
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Santos Laguna · 84'

LIVE
ATLAS SANTOS L

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

SANTOS L ATLAS
⚽ 65' SANTOS LAG ATLAS 60' 75' 90'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 90'

0.78
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.12
56%
BALL POSSESSION %
44%
10
TOTAL SHOTS
11
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
4
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 30'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Carlos Gruezo
    SAN
  2. 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gustavo Ferrareis
    ATL
  3. 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Edgar Zaldívar
    ATL
  4. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Lucas Di Yorio · assist Diego González
    SAN
  5. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gustavo Ferrareis · assist Jorge Sánchez
    ATL
  6. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Aldo Rocha · assist Victor Rios
    ATL
  7. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ramiro Sordo · assist Efrain Orona
    SAN
  8. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Carlos Gruezo · assist Aldo Lopez Vargas
    SAN
  9. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Arturo González · assist Luís Esteves
    ATL
  10. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Sergio Hernandez · assist Jose Lozano
    ATL
  11. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Edgar Zaldívar · assist Paulo Ramírez
    ATL
  12. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Mauricio Cuevas · assist Kevin Picon
    SAN
  13. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Salvador Mariscal · assist Joshua Mancha
    SAN
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.8
xG
1.1
10.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
1.0
ON TARGET
5.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
5.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
56.0%
POSSESSION %
44.0%
436.0
PASSES
348.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
5.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
8.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SANTOS LAGUNA 1 shots
Fran Villalba
0/1
ATLAS 6 shots
Manuel Capasso
2/2
Arturo González
1/2
Edgar Zaldívar
1/1
Rodrigo Schlegel
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.78 – 1.12
0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 1.1 0.0 HT 65' H 0.78 A 1.12 KO 30' 60' 90'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 46%
54% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
6.9
1
CARLOS AC
17
EMMANUEL
25
FELIPE Sá
 6.9
18
FRANCO PA
 6.9
3
MAURICIO
11
CARLOS GR
8
SALVADOR
 7.0
26
RAMIRO SO
10
EZEQUIEL
 7.3
21
FRAN VILL
9
LUCAS DI
12
CAMILO VA
 7.0
16
MILTON VA
 7.3
21
RODRIGO S
 7.5
28
MANUEL CA
2
GUSTAVO F
 7.3
6
EDGAR ZAL
26
ALDO ROCH
23
SERGIO HE
 7.3
58
ARTURO GO
11
DUK
8
RYAN MMAE
SUBSTITUTES · SANTOS LAGUNA
19
Eduardo Agui...
F
6
Javier Güeme...
M
5
Aldo Lopez V...
M
24
Diego Medina
M
15
Joshua Manch...
M
22
Kevin Picon
D
14
Efrain Orona
M
4
José Abella
D
33
Hector Holgu...
G
7
Diego Gonzál...
F
COACH: Paiva Renato
SUBSTITUTES · ATLAS
10
Luís Esteves
M
27
Victor Rios
M
192
Jesús Serrat...
M
15
Paulo Ramíre...
D
3
Jorge Sánche...
D
17
Jose Lozano
D
13
Gaddi Aguirr...
D
4
Adrián Mora
D
22
Antonio Sánc...
G
203
Jose Martin
F
COACH: Hernan Crespo
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ATL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Martin Molina Astorga, Mexico
—
SAN MANAGER
Paiva Renato
head coach
ATL MANAGER
Hernan Crespo
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
SAN WINS
4
DRAWS
3
ATL WINS
30%
40%
30%
10 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
19 Apr 2026
Santos Laguna
0 – 1
Atlas
L
14 Sep 2025
Atlas
2 – 2
Santos Laguna
D
23 Feb 2025
Santos Laguna
2 – 0
Atlas
W
17 Jul 2024
Atlas
1 – 0
Santos Laguna
L
05 Feb 2024
Atlas
3 – 0
Santos Laguna
L
SANTOS LAGUNA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L L L
ATLAS LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L W D
LIVE IMPACT Currently 0–1 · scenario projection
SANTOS LAGUNA #18
If loss holds: 12 pts
ATLAS #6
If win holds: 29 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
L D W L D
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
L D W L D
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
W D W D W
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
L W W W L
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
L L W L L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
L L W D W
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
L W W D D
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
D D L W W
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Salvador Mariscal
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Mauricio Cuevas
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Edgar Zaldívar
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Sergio Hernandez
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Arturo González
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Carlos Gruezo
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ramiro Sordo
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Aldo Rocha
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gustavo Ferrareis
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Lucas Di Yorio
  • 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Edgar Zaldívar
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Gustavo Ferrareis
    Foul
  • 30'
    Card · Yellow Card · Carlos Gruezo
    Foul
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SANTOS LAGUNA WIN
2.59
38.6% implied
↑ best 2.71
DRAW
3.24
30.9% implied
↑ best 3.40
ATLAS WIN
2.64
37.9% implied
↑ best 2.77

Market favors Santos Laguna. AI projects SANTOS LAGUNA 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SANTOS LAGUNA 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.60 3.35 2.60 +6.1%
1xBet 2.61 3.15 2.64 +4.3%
Bet365 2.70 3.25 2.70 +5.2%
Betano 2.50 3.35 2.77 +6.1%
Betfair 2.63 3.40 2.50 +6.6%
Dafabet 2.60 3.30 2.70 +5.7%
Marathonbet 2.65 3.15 2.60 +4.3%
Pinnacle 2.71 3.31 2.76 +5.8%
SBO 2.45 3.18 2.58 +4.6%
Superbet 2.60 3.25 2.67 +5.2%
Unibet 2.55 3.25 2.63 +5.2%
William Hill 2.50 2.90 2.50 +1.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.25 U 3.64
2.5 O 1.86 U 1.93
3.5 O 3.10 U 1.34
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.63 9 bks
NO
2.12 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.65
Away -0.5 1.50
Away -0.75 1.34
Away -1 1.21
Away -1.25 1.16
Away -1.5 1.13
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.