GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · SANTA CLARA 42%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · MON, 10 AUG · 19:15 LOCAL
SANTA CLARA
13TH · 36 PTS · LAST 5:
L W D W D
90'
2 – 2
HT · 2-2
NACIONAL
W L L W W
· 14TH · 34 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 19' Gonçalo Paciência ⚽ 21' Gonçalo Paciência
GOALS
⚽ 36' Liziero (P) ⚽ 45' Miguel Baeza
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Santa Clara · 85'

LIVE
NACIONAL SANTA CL

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

SANTA CL NACIONAL
SANTA CLAR NACIONAL 60' 75' 90'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 90'

1.40
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.23
51%
BALL POSSESSION %
49%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
10
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
81%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
4
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 19'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gonçalo Paciência
    SAN
  2. 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gonçalo Paciência · assist Diogo Calila
    SAN
  3. 24'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Vinícius Lopes
    SAN
  4. 36'
    Goal · Penalty
    Liziero
    NAC
  5. 39'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Daniel Borges
    SAN
  6. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Wesley Gasolina
    NAC
  7. 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Miguel Baeza
    NAC
  8. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Joel Silva · assist Filipe Soares
    NAC
  9. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Vinícius Lopes · assist Welinton Torrao
    SAN
  10. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    José Tavares · assist Tiago Ribeiro
    SAN
  11. 69'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Filipe Soares
    NAC
  12. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Miguel Baeza · assist Stavros Gavriel
    NAC
  13. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Wesley Gasolina · assist Daniel De la Cruz
    NAC
  14. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Daniel Borges · assist Rildo
    SAN
  15. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Sorriso · assist Luis Fernando
    SAN
  16. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Daniel Júnior · assist Deivison Souza Brito
    NAC
  17. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Markus Jensen · assist Mateus Jose Iseppe
    NAC
  18. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Diogo Calila · assist Lucas Soares
    SAN
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.4
xG
1.2
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
7.0
ON TARGET
4.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
6.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
51.0%
POSSESSION %
49.0%
354.0
PASSES
346.0
81.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
4.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
15.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SANTA CLARA 7 shots
Gonçalo Paciência
3/5
Sorriso
1/1
Tiago Ribeiro
1/1
NACIONAL 4 shots
Liziero
2/2
Miguel Baeza
1/1
Wesley Gasolina
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.40 – 1.23
1.1 0.8 0.6 0.3 1.4 0.0 HT 19' 21' 36' 45' H 1.40 A 1.23 KO 30' 60' 90'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-3
4-2-3-1
3-4-3
1
LUCAS FRA
5
GUILHERME
4
PEDRO PAC
23
SIDNEY LI
 6.9
2
DIOGO CAL
41
DANIEL BO
6
PEDRO FER
70
VINíCIUS
8
JOSé TAVA
 7.2
99
SORRISO
 8.2
9
GONçALO P
1
RENATO MA
 6.9
38
ZE VITOR
6
MATHEUS D
34
LéO SANTO
 7.0
7
MARKUS JE
26
JOEL SILV
 7.2
28
LIZIERO
 6.9
52
WESLEY GA
10
DANIEL Jú
99
PABLO MES
 7.5
8
MIGUEL BA
SUBSTITUTES · SANTA CLARA
37
Rildo
F
17
João Vasconc...
M
20
Tiago Ribeir...
M
42
Lucas Soares
D
22
Vitinho
M
11
Welinton Tor...
F
21
Emanuel Fern...
D
85
Kamika
D
12
Neneca
G
7
Luis Fernand...
F
COACH: Petit
SUBSTITUTES · NACIONAL
23
Mateus Jose...
M
2
Daniel De la...
D
88
Deivison Sou...
M
22
Filipe Soare...
M
11
Stavros Gavr...
M
15
Chiheb Labid...
M
33
Francisco Go...
D
50
Kevyn
G
30
Martim Gusta...
M
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NAC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho, Portugal
—
SAN MANAGER
Petit
head coach
NAC MANAGER
—
unannounced
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
SAN WINS
3
DRAWS
2
NAC WINS
50%
30%
20%
18 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.90
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
11 May 2026
Santa Clara
2 – 0
Nacional
W
11 Jan 2026
Nacional
3 – 3
Santa Clara
D
30 Mar 2025
Santa Clara
1 – 0
Nacional
W
04 Nov 2024
Nacional
2 – 0
Santa Clara
L
17 Mar 2024
Santa Clara
0 – 1
Nacional
L
SANTA CLARA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D W D
NACIONAL LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L W W
LIVE IMPACT Currently 2–2 · scenario projection
SANTA CLARA #13
If loss holds: 36 pts
NACIONAL #14
If loss holds: 34 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 34 28 4 2 +48 88
W L W W W
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 +65 82
W W W D D
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 +49 80
W D D W W
4 SC Braga 34 16 11 7 +28 59
D D D L W
5 Famalicao 34 15 11 8 +13 56
W D D W D
6 GIL Vicente 34 13 11 10 +9 50
L L D W L
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 -12 43
D L W L W
8 Arouca 34 12 6 16 -17 42
W W D L W
9 Guimaraes 34 12 6 16 -12 42
L L L W W
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 -3 39
L D D L L
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 -17 39
L D L W L
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 -22 36
D L D L D
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 -9 36
L W D W D
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 -8 34
W L L W W
15 Estrela 34 6 12 16 -18 30
D D L L L
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 -26 30
D W L L L
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L W W D L
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 -40 21
D W W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Diogo Calila
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Markus Jensen
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Daniel Júnior
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Sorriso
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Daniel Borges
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Wesley Gasolina
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Miguel Baeza
  • 69'
    Card · Yellow Card · Filipe Soares
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · José Tavares
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Vinícius Lopes
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Joel Silva
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 2
  • 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Miguel Baeza
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · Wesley Gasolina
  • 39'
    Card · Yellow Card · Daniel Borges
  • 36'
    Goal · Penalty · Liziero
  • 24'
    Card · Yellow Card · Vinícius Lopes
  • 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gonçalo Paciência
  • 19'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gonçalo Paciência
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
SANTA CLARA WIN
1.90
52.6% implied
↑ best 1.97
DRAW
3.12
32.1% implied
↑ best 3.35
NACIONAL WIN
4.62
21.6% implied
↑ best 5.30

Market favors Santa Clara. AI projects SANTA CLARA 42%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SANTA CLARA 42% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.88 3.10 4.65 +2.7%
1xBet 1.97 3.22 4.68 +3.9%
888Sport 1.91 3.00 4.40 +1.7%
Bet365 1.91 3.00 4.50 +1.7%
Betano 1.85 3.35 5.30 +5.1%
Betfair 1.90 3.00 4.75 +1.9%
BetVictor 1.90 3.00 4.20 +1.7%
Dafabet 1.91 3.20 4.88 +3.8%
Marathonbet 1.90 3.10 4.50 +2.7%
Pinnacle 1.95 3.15 4.77 +3.3%
SBO 1.80 3.18 4.64 +3.6%
Superbet 1.95 3.20 4.45 +3.8%
Unibet 1.85 3.20 4.60 +3.8%
William Hill 1.91 3.00 4.40 +1.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.51 U 2.49
2.5 O 2.54 U 1.49
3.5 O 4.96 U 1.15
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.18 11 bks
NO
1.62 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.29
Away -0.5 1.92
Away -0.75 1.67
Away -1 1.41
Away -1.25 1.32
Away -1.5 1.25
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.