GOALSENSE
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J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 12 · SAT, 25 APR · 07:00 LOCAL
SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA
4TH · 30 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W W D
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
CEREZO OSAKA
D W W W D
· 2ND · 31 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 86' Dion Cools (OG) ⚽ 90' Kinoshita Kosuke (P)
GOALS
⚽ 12' Thiago Andrade
Kosuke Nakamura
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Kosuke Nakamura
Cerezo Osaka · 90 mins
· 14% pass acc
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

59%
BALL POSSESSION %
41%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
11
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
75%
11
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Thiago Andrade
    CER
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Thiago Andrade · assist Solomon Sakuragawa
    CER
  3. 53'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ayumu Ohata
    CER
  4. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    T. Arslan · assist Kinoshita Kosuke
    SAN
  5. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yotaro Nakajima · assist Shuto Nakano
    SAN
  6. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Shiotani Tsukasa
    SAN
  7. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Shion Homma · assist Satoki Uejo
    CER
  8. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Akito Suzuki · assist Maeda Naoki
    SAN
  9. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    M. Kato · assist Ryo Germain
    SAN
  10. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Masaya Shibayama · assist Shinji Kagawa
    CER
  11. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Hayato Okuda · assist Dion Cools
    CER
  12. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Taishi Matsumoto · assist Motoki Ohara
    SAN
  13. 86'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Dion Cools
    SAN
  14. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Motohiko Nakajima · assist Yumeki Yokoyama
    CER
  15. 90'
    Goal · Penalty
    Kinoshita Kosuke
    SAN
  16. 90'+1
    Var · Penalty confirmed
    Kinoshita Kosuke
    SAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA AVG 7.3
CEREZO OSAKA AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
6.0
ON TARGET
5.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
6.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
59.0%
POSSESSION %
41.0%
519.0
PASSES
367.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
75.0%
SET PIECES
11.0
CORNERS
5.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
6.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
14.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA 7 shots
Kinoshita Kosuke
3/4
T. Arslan
1/2
Shuto Nakano
1/1
CEREZO OSAKA 6 shots
Masaya Shibayama
0/4
Thiago Andrade
1/1
Hayato Okuda
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
7.3
1
OSAKO KEI
19
SASAKI SH
 7.3
4
H. ARAKI
33
SHIOTANI
24
HIGASHI S
14
TAISHI MA
35
YOTARO NA
13
ARAI NAOT
 7.2
30
T. ARSLAN
11
M. KATO
10
AKITO SUZ
 8.2
23
KOSUKE NA
66
AYUMU OHA
44
SHINNOSUK
4
RIKITO IN
 6.9
16
HAYATO OK
 6.9
10
SHUNTA TA
18
NELSON IS
19
SHION HOM
13
MOTOHIKO
 7.0
48
MASAYA SH
 7.7
11
THIAGO AN
SUBSTITUTES · SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA
40
Motoki Ohara
M
9
Ryo Germain
F
25
Chajima Yusu...
M
17
Kinoshita Ko...
F
41
Maeda Naoki
F
3
Yamasaki Tai...
D
18
Daiki Suga
M
99
Issei Ouchi
G
15
Shuto Nakano
D
COACH: Bartosch Gaul
SUBSTITUTES · CEREZO OSAKA
3
Hayato Tanak...
D
9
Solomon Saku...
F
7
Satoki Uejo
M
35
Kyohei Yoshi...
M
5
Hinata Kida
M
27
Dion Cools
D
8
Shinji Kagaw...
M
21
Jin Hyeon Ki...
G
14
Yumeki Yokoy...
M
COACH: Arthur Papas
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CER · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Y. Sutani
—
SAN MANAGER
Bartosch Gaul
head coach
CER MANAGER
Arthur Papas
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
7
SAN WINS
3
DRAWS
0
CER WINS
70%
30%
15 – 7
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
22 Feb 2026
Cerezo Osaka
1 – 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
31 Aug 2025
Cerezo Osaka
1 – 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
06 Apr 2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2 – 1
Cerezo Osaka
W
11 Aug 2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2 – 0
Cerezo Osaka
W
26 May 2024
Cerezo Osaka
1 – 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W D
CEREZO OSAKA LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA #4
Won · already at 30 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
CEREZO OSAKA #2
Lost · already at 31 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Var · Penalty confirmed · Kinoshita Kosuke
  • 90'
    Goal · Penalty · Kinoshita Kosuke
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Motohiko Nakajima
  • 86'
    Goal · Own Goal · Dion Cools
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Taishi Matsumoto
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Hayato Okuda
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Masaya Shibayama
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · M. Kato
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Akito Suzuki
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Shion Homma
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · Shiotani Tsukasa
    Foul
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yotaro Nakajima
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · T. Arslan
  • 53'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ayumu Ohata
    Foul
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Thiago Andrade
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Thiago Andrade
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
SANFRECCE HIROSH WIN
1.62
61.7% implied
↑ best 1.67
DRAW
4.00
25% implied
↑ best 4.20
CEREZO OSAKA WIN
4.82
20.7% implied
↑ best 5.25
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2
10Bet 1.64 4.00 4.75
1xBet 1.63 4.05 4.83
888Sport 1.53 4.00 5.00
Bet365 1.60 4.10 5.25
Betano 1.65 3.95 4.75
Betfair 1.55 4.00 4.75
BetVictor 1.65 4.00 5.00
Dafabet 1.64 4.20 4.90
Marathonbet 1.61 4.05 4.90
Pinnacle 1.67 4.14 4.98
SBO 1.60 3.68 4.41
Unibet 1.61 4.00 4.60
William Hill 1.62 3.80 4.60

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.18 U 4.34
2.5 O 1.65 U 2.18
3.5 O 2.57 U 1.45
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.66 10 bks
NO
2.10 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.67
Away -0.5 2.25
Away -0.75 1.98
Away -1 1.72
Away -1.25 1.54
Away -1.5 1.44
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.