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Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · GROUP 16 - 32 · SUN 26 APR · 15:30 LOCAL
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SAN MARCIAL
FT
4 – 3
FULL TIME
AGONCILLO
⚽ 28' Iza ⚽ 31' A. Hafidh Bouklata ⚽ 56' R. Samaniego ⚽ 90+6' R. Tolovan
GOALS
⚽ 14' L. Brun ⚽ 67' A. Peso ⚽ 75' D. Perez
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 68/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SAN
2 – 1
AGO
most likely scoreline · 12.6% probability
AI PICKS SAN MARCIAL TO WIN 72%
FT 4 – 3
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
SAN WIN 72%
DRAW 18%
AGO WIN 10%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
SAN MARCIAL TO WIN

AI consensus across 72% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 72% OVER 1.5 ✓ OVER 2.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

San Marcial leading 2-1 at HT with 45 minutes left; home advantage and current lead favour final victory.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY SAN MARCIAL FAVORED
72%
San Marcial up 2-1 at halftime with 45 min remaining — strong position
CONTEXT
Both teams scoring already (BTTS likely given attacking play)
CONTEXT
Thin data on form/season stats, but HT scoreline dominates remaining prediction
CONTEXT
WHY AGONCILLO CHALLENGED
10%
San Marcial up 2-1 at halftime with 45 min remaining — strong position
CONTEXT
Both teams scoring already (BTTS likely given attacking play)
CONTEXT
Thin data on form/season stats, but HT scoreline dominates remaining prediction
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • San Marcial up 2-1 at halftime with 45 min remaining — strong position
  • Both teams scoring already (BTTS likely given attacking play)
  • Thin data on form/season stats, but HT scoreline dominates remaining prediction
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 14' L. BRUN ⚽ 28' IZA ⚽ 31' A. HAFIDH ⚽ 56' R. SAMANIE ⚽ 67' A. PESO ⚽ 75' D. PEREZ ⚽ 96' R. TOLOVAN
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 7 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 12.6%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
3.7
1.4
0.4
0.1
·
·
1
11.2
8.4
3.2
0.8
0.2
·
·
2
12.6
9.5
3.5
0.9
0.2
·
·
3
9.5
7.1
2.7
0.7
0.1
·
·
4
5.3
4.0
1.5
0.4
0.1
·
·
5
2.4
1.8
0.7
0.2
·
·
·
6+
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 12.6%
1 — 0 11.2%
2 — 1 9.5%
3 — 0 9.5%
1 — 1 8.4%
Top 5 = 51.1% · rest 48.9%