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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–2 · DRAW 48% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 72 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 15 · SUN, 17 MAY · 02:30 LOCAL
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
2ND · 32 PTS · LAST 5:
W L D D W
FT
2 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
FC DALLAS
W L W W L
· 4TH · 25 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 17' Beau Leroux ⚽ 41' Beau Leroux (P) ⚽ 81' Reid Roberts
GOALS
⚽ 1' Patrickson Delgado ⚽ 49' Petar Musa ⚽ 90+4' Sam Sarver
Daniel
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Daniel
San Jose Earthquakes · 96 mins
· 19% pass acc
RATING
9.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas
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📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.55
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.23
55%
BALL POSSESSION %
45%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
16
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
9
81%
PASS ACCURACY %
77%
11
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 20 events
  1. 1'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Patrickson Delgado
    FC
  2. 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Beau Leroux
    SAN
  3. 41'
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Beau Leroux · assist Beau Leroux
    SAN
  4. 48'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Daniel Munie
    SAN
  5. 49'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Petar Musa · assist Herman Johansson
    FC
  6. 61'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ramiro
    FC
  7. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Petar Musa · assist Logan Farrington
    FC
  8. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Patrickson Delgado · assist Christian Cappis
    FC
  9. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Santiago Moreno · assist Ran Binyamin
    FC
  10. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jack Jasinski · assist Nick Fernandez
    SAN
  11. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jamar Ricketts · assist Jack Skahan
    SAN
  12. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ian Harkes · assist Paul Marie
    SAN
  13. 81'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Reid Roberts
    SAN
  14. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Joaquín Valiente · assist Sam Sarver
    FC
  15. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ramiro · assist Sebastien Ibeagha
    FC
  16. 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Benjamin Kikanović
    SAN
  17. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nolan Norris
    FC
  18. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Christian Cappis
    FC
  19. 90'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sam Sarver · assist Kaick
    FC
  20. 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    Daniel
    SAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES AVG 7.9
FC DALLAS AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.6
xG
2.2
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
7.0
ON TARGET
9.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
4.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
55.0%
POSSESSION %
45.0%
383.0
PASSES
327.0
81.0%
PASS ACCURACY
77.0%
SET PIECES
11.0
CORNERS
4.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
16.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
6.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES 2 shots
Reid Roberts
2/2
FC DALLAS 4 shots
Patrickson Delgado
2/2
Sam Sarver
1/1
Kaick
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.55 – 2.23
2 1.5 1 0.5 2.6 0.0 HT 17' 41' 81' 1' 49' 90' H 2.55 A 2.23 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 45%
55% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
9.0
42
DANIEL
17
JACK JASI
 8.5
18
REID ROBE
5
DANIEL MU
28
BENJAMIN
 7.2
6
IAN HARKE
14
RONALDO V
 7.3
2
JAMAR RIC
34
BEAU LERO
 7.3
7
OUSSENI B
19
PRESTON J
 8.0
40
JONATHAN
32
NOLAN NOR
3
OSAZE URH
18
SHAQ MOOR
14
HERMAN JO
10
SANTIAGO
17
RAMIRO
 6.9
55
KAICK
21
JOAQUíN V
 8.2
8
PATRICKSO
9
PETAR MUS
SUBSTITUTES · SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
21
Noel Buck
M
40
Jonathan Gon...
M
4
Dave Romney
D
25
Max Floriani
D
22
Nate Crockfo...
G
3
Paul Marie
D
16
Jack Skahan
M
20
Nick Fernand...
M
32
Nonso Adimab...
F
COACH: Bruce Arena
SUBSTITUTES · FC DALLAS
24
Joshua Torqu...
D
5
Lalas Abubak...
D
30
Michael Coll...
G
28
Sam Sarver
F
25
Sebastien Ib...
D
12
Christian Ca...
M
6
Ran Binyamin
M
23
Logan Farrin...
F
27
Caleb Swann
M
COACH: Eric Quill
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
C. Penso
—
SAN MANAGER
Bruce Arena
head coach
FC MANAGER
Eric Quill
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
SAN WINS
6
DRAWS
2
FC WINS
20%
60%
20%
16 – 17
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
17 Jul 2025
San Jose Earthquakes
2 – 2
FC Dallas
D
26 Jun 2025
FC Dallas
2 – 4
San Jose Earthquakes
W
03 Oct 2024
San Jose Earthquakes
3 – 2
FC Dallas
W
25 Feb 2024
FC Dallas
2 – 1
San Jose Earthquakes
L
08 Oct 2023
FC Dallas
1 – 1
San Jose Earthquakes
D
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D D W
FC DALLAS LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–3 · result locked
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES #2
Lost · already at 32 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
FC DALLAS #4
Won · already at 25 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · Daniel
  • 90'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sam Sarver
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Christian Cappis
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Nolan Norris
  • 85'
    Card · Yellow Card · Benjamin Kikanović
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ramiro
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Joaquín Valiente
  • 81'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Reid Roberts
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ian Harkes
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jamar Ricketts
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jack Jasinski
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Santiago Moreno
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Patrickson Delgado
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Petar Musa
  • 61'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ramiro
  • 49'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Petar Musa
  • 48'
    Card · Yellow Card · Daniel Munie
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 41'
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Beau Leroux
  • 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Beau Leroux
  • 1'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Patrickson Delgado
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
SAN JOSE EARTHQU WIN
1.95
51.3% implied
↑ best 2.05
DRAW
3.79
26.4% implied
↑ best 4.00
FC DALLAS WIN
3.49
28.7% implied
↑ best 3.75

Market favors San Jose Earthquakes. AI projects DRAW 48% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.88 3.85 3.55 +22.0%
Bet365 2.00 3.90 3.25 +22.4%
Betano 2.05 3.80 3.65 +21.7%
Betfair 1.91 3.90 3.60 +22.4%
BetVictor 1.95 3.90 3.30 +22.4%
Dafabet 1.95 4.00 3.60 +23.0%
Marathonbet 1.95 3.64 3.52 +20.5%
Pinnacle 2.03 3.78 3.59 +21.5%
SBO 1.93 3.73 3.32 +21.2%
Unibet 1.89 3.70 3.75 +21.0%
William Hill 1.95 3.50 3.30 +19.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.14 U 5.44
2.5 O 1.49 U 2.55
3.5 O 2.21 U 1.65
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.43 8 bks
NO
2.62 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.13
Away -0.5 1.86
Away -0.75 1.66
Away -1 1.48
Away -1.25 1.36
Away -1.5 1.33
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.