GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · SAN DIEGO 38%
CONF 18 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 10 · SUN, 26 APR · 01:30 LOCAL
SAN DIEGO
10TH · 17 PTS · LAST 5:
L D W D D
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
PORTLAND TIMBERS
L L D W L
· 13TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 32' Anders Dreyer (P)
GOALS
⚽ 26' Kevin Kelsy ⚽ 90+6' Alex Bonetig
Kevin Kelsy
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Kevin Kelsy
Portland Timbers · 101 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 13% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: San Diego vs Portland Timbers
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.63
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.96
67%
BALL POSSESSION %
33%
10
TOTAL SHOTS
11
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
90%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
6
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kevin Kelsy
    POR
  2. 32'
    Goal · Penalty
    Anders Dreyer
    SAN
  3. 47'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Marcus Ingvartsen
    SAN
  4. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ian Pilcher · assist Wilson Eisner
    SAN
  5. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Marcus Ingvartsen
    SAN
  6. 69'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kristoffer Velde
    POR
  7. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Aníbal Godoy · assist Pedro Soma
    SAN
  8. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    David Vazquez · assist Lewis Morgan
    SAN
  9. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Alexander Aravena · assist Antony Alves
    POR
  10. 76'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Wilson Eisner
    SAN
  11. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    J. Tverskov · assist Bryce Duke
    SAN
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Oscar Verhoeven · assist K. Sargeant
    SAN
  13. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Cole Bassett · assist Diego Chará
    POR
  14. 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Alex Bonetig
    POR
  15. 90'+7
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kristoffer Velde · assist Ariel Lassiter
    POR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SAN DIEGO AVG 7.2
PORTLAND TIMBERS AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
1.0
10.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
3.0
ON TARGET
5.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
5.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
67.0%
POSSESSION %
33.0%
749.0
PASSES
361.0
90.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
6.0
5.0
OFFSIDES
5.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SAN DIEGO 3 shots
Anders Dreyer
2/2
Lewis Morgan
1/1
PORTLAND TIMBERS 4 shots
Kevin Kelsy
1/2
José Caicedo
0/1
Alex Bonetig
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.63 – 0.96
1.3 1 0.7 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 32' 26' 90' H 1.63 A 0.96 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 60%
40% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
7.2
18
DURAN FER
25
IAN PILCH
26
MANU DUAH
 7.3
97
CHRISTOPH
33
OSCAR VER
 7.2
8
ONNI VALA
6
J. TVERSK
20
ANíBAL GO
19
DAVID VAZ
7
MARCUS IN
 7.2
10
ANDERS DR
 7.2
41
JAMES PAN
 7.3
27
JíMER FOR
 7.2
6
ALEX BONE
20
FINN SURM
5
BRANDON B
 7.3
30
JOSé CAIC
17
COLE BASS
28
ALEXANDER
10
DAVID PER
99
KRISTOFFE
 8.2
19
KEVIN KEL
SUBSTITUTES · SAN DIEGO
5
K. Sargeant
15
Pedro Soma
M
77
Alex Mighten
F
22
Wilson Eisne...
D
17
O. Søe
D
21
Bryce Duke
M
9
Lewis Morgan
F
1
CJ Dos Santo...
G
14
Bryan Zamblé
F
COACH: Mikey Varas
SUBSTITUTES · PORTLAND TIMBERS
11
Antony Alves
F
4
Kamal Miller
D
7
Ariel Lassit...
F
80
Joao Ortíz
M
15
E. Miller
D
9
Felipe Mora
F
21
Diego Chará
M
25
Trey Muse
G
23
Ian Smith
D
COACH: Phil Neville
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

POR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Freemon
—
SAN MANAGER
Mikey Varas
head coach
POR MANAGER
Phil Neville
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
SAN WINS
3
DRAWS
1
POR WINS
42.9%
42.9%
14.3%
12 – 6
TOTAL GOALS · 7 MEETINGS
2.57
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 7
10 Nov 2025
San Diego
4 – 0
Portland Timbers
W
02 Nov 2025
Portland Timbers
2 – 2
San Diego
D
27 Oct 2025
San Diego
2 – 1
Portland Timbers
W
19 Oct 2025
Portland Timbers
0 – 4
San Diego
W
24 Aug 2025
San Diego
0 – 0
Portland Timbers
D
SAN DIEGO LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W D D
PORTLAND TIMBERS LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
SAN DIEGO #10
Lost · already at 17 pts
PORTLAND TIMBERS #13
Won · already at 14 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+7
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kristoffer Velde
  • 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal · Alex Bonetig
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Cole Bassett
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Oscar Verhoeven
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · J. Tverskov
  • 76'
    Card · Yellow Card · Wilson Eisner
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Alexander Aravena
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · David Vazquez
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Aníbal Godoy
  • 69'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kristoffer Velde
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · Marcus Ingvartsen
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ian Pilcher
  • 47'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Marcus Ingvartsen
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 32'
    Goal · Penalty · Anders Dreyer
  • 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kevin Kelsy
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SAN DIEGO WIN
1.72
58.1% implied
↑ best 1.78
DRAW
4.20
23.8% implied
↑ best 4.50
PORTLAND TIMBERS WIN
4.10
24.4% implied
↑ best 4.43

Market favors San Diego. AI projects SAN DIEGO 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SAN DIEGO 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.73 4.10 4.00 +7.6%
888Sport 1.75 4.00 3.70 +7.0%
Bet365 1.70 4.50 4.00 +9.8%
Betano 1.78 4.30 4.40 +8.7%
Betfair 1.73 4.20 4.00 +8.2%
BetVictor 1.67 4.33 4.20 +8.9%
Dafabet 1.77 4.30 4.10 +8.7%
Marathonbet 1.67 4.25 4.20 +8.5%
Pinnacle 1.74 4.22 4.43 +8.3%
SBO 1.72 4.02 3.91 +7.1%
Unibet 1.70 4.20 4.20 +8.2%
William Hill 1.70 4.00 4.00 +7.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.11 U 6.28
2.5 O 1.39 U 2.88
3.5 O 2.00 U 1.79
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.41 9 bks
NO
2.68 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.50
Away -0.5 2.13
Away -0.75 1.93
Away -1 1.69
Away -1.25 1.54
Away -1.5 1.43
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.