GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · SAN DIEGO 38%
CONF 18 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 10 · SUN 26 APR · 01:30 LOCAL
SAN DIEGO
11TH · 11 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W D W
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
PORTLAND TIMBERS
L L D L L
· 12TH · 10 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 32' Anders Dreyer (P)
GOALS
⚽ 26' Kevin Kelsy ⚽ 90+6' Alex Bonetig
Kevin Kelsy
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Kevin Kelsy
Portland Timbers · 101 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 13% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 5 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: San Diego vs Portland Timbers
Open in Youtube ↗
Major League Soccer: San Diego vs Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer: San Diego vs Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer: San Diego vs Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer: San Diego vs Portland Timbers
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.63
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.96
67%
BALL POSSESSION %
33%
10
TOTAL SHOTS
11
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
90%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
6
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kevin Kelsy
    POR
  2. 32'
    Goal · Penalty
    Anders Dreyer
    SAN
  3. 47'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Marcus Ingvartsen
    SAN
  4. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ian Pilcher · assist Wilson Eisner
    SAN
  5. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Marcus Ingvartsen
    SAN
  6. 69'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kristoffer Velde
    POR
  7. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Anibal Godoy · assist Pedro Soma
    SAN
  8. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    David Vazquez · assist Lewis Morgan
    SAN
  9. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Alexander Aravena · assist Antony Alves
    POR
  10. 76'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Wilson Eisner
    SAN
  11. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jeppe Tverskov · assist Bryce Duke
    SAN
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Oscar Verhoeven · assist K. Sargeant
    SAN
  13. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Cole Bassett · assist Diego Chará
    POR
  14. 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Alex Bonetig
    POR
  15. 90'+7
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kristoffer Velde · assist Ariel Lassiter
    POR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SAN DIEGO AVG 7.2
PORTLAND TIMBERS AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
1.0
10.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
3.0
ON TARGET
5.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
5.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
67.0%
POSSESSION %
33.0%
749.0
PASSES
361.0
90.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
6.0
5.0
OFFSIDES
5.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SAN DIEGO 3 shots
Anders Dreyer
2/2
Lewis Morgan
1/1
PORTLAND TIMBERS 4 shots
Kevin Kelsy
1/2
José Caicedo
0/1
Alex Bonetig
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.63 – 0.96
1.3 1 0.7 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 32' 26' 90' H 1.63 A 0.96 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 60%
40% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
7.2
18
DURAN FER
25
IAN PILCH
26
MANU DUAH
 7.3
97
CHRISTOPH
33
OSCAR VER
 7.2
8
ONNI VALA
6
JEPPE TVE
20
ANIBAL GO
19
DAVID VAZ
7
MARCUS IN
 7.2
10
ANDERS DR
 7.2
41
JAMES PAN
 7.3
27
JíMER FOR
 7.2
6
ALEX BONE
20
FINN SURM
5
BRANDON B
 7.3
30
JOSé CAIC
17
COLE BASS
28
ALEXANDER
10
DAVID DA
99
KRISTOFFE
 8.2
19
KEVIN KEL
SUBSTITUTES · SAN DIEGO
5
K. Sargeant
15
Pedro Soma
M
77
Alex Mighten
F
22
Wilson Eisne...
D
17
Osvald Soe
D
21
Bryce Duke
M
9
Lewis Morgan
F
1
CJ dos Santo...
G
14
Bryan Zamblé
F
COACH: Mikey Varas
SUBSTITUTES · PORTLAND TIMBERS
11
Antony Alves
F
4
Kamal Miller
D
7
Ariel Lassit...
F
80
Joao Ortíz
M
15
Eric Miller
D
9
Felipe Mora
F
21
Diego Chará
M
25
Trey Muse
G
23
Ian Smith
D
COACH: Phil Neville
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

POR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Freemon
—
SAN MANAGER
Mikey Varas
head coach
POR MANAGER
Phil Neville
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
SAN WINS
3
DRAWS
1
POR WINS
42.9%
42.9%
14.3%
12 – 6
TOTAL GOALS · 7 MEETINGS
2.57
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 7
10 Nov 25
San Diego
4 – 0
Portland Timbers
W
02 Nov 25
Portland Timbers
2 – 2
San Diego
D
27 Oct 25
San Diego
2 – 1
Portland Timbers
W
19 Oct 25
Portland Timbers
0 – 4
San Diego
W
24 Aug 25
San Diego
0 – 0
Portland Timbers
D
SAN DIEGO LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W D W
PORTLAND TIMBERS LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
SAN DIEGO #11
Lost · already at 11 pts
PORTLAND TIMBERS #12
Won · already at 10 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 San Jose Earthquakes 10 9 0 1 +19 27
W W W W W
1 Nashville SC 9 7 1 1 +15 22
W W W L W
2 Vancouver Whitecaps 9 8 0 1 +20 24
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 10 5 4 1 +4 19
D W W D D
3 Los Angeles FC 10 6 2 2 +11 20
W D L L W
3 Chicago Fire 9 5 2 2 +9 17
W D W W W
4 New England Revolution 9 5 1 3 +5 16
D W W W W
4 Seattle Sounders 8 6 1 1 +8 19
W W W D W
5 Minnesota United FC 10 5 2 3 -3 17
L W W W W
5 Charlotte 10 4 2 4 0 14
L L W L W
6 Real Salt Lake 9 5 1 3 +3 16
L L W W D
6 Toronto FC 10 3 4 3 -2 13
L D D D W
7 Colorado Rapids 10 4 1 5 +4 13
L D L W L
7 New York City FC 10 3 3 4 +3 12
L D L L D
8 Columbus Crew 10 3 3 4 +1 12
W W L D W
8 FC Dallas 10 3 4 3 +3 13
L L D D W
9 Houston Dynamo 9 4 0 5 -6 12
L W W L L
9 FC Cincinnati 10 3 3 4 -4 12
W D D D L
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 10 3 3 4 -1 12
W L D W L
10 DC United 10 3 3 4 -4 12
W D D L L
11 San Diego 10 3 2 5 0 11
L L L L L
11 New York Red Bulls 10 3 3 4 -9 12
L D L D W
12 CF Montreal 9 3 0 6 -7 9
W W L L L
12 Portland Timbers 9 3 1 5 -6 10
W L W L D
13 Austin 10 2 4 4 -5 10
W L D L D
13 Atlanta United FC 10 2 1 7 -8 7
W L L L L
14 St. Louis City 9 1 3 5 -7 6
L L D D W
14 Orlando City SC 10 2 1 7 -17 7
L W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 9 1 1 7 -18 4
L L L L L
15 Philadelphia Union 10 1 2 7 -8 5
L D D W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+7
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kristoffer Velde
  • 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal · Alex Bonetig
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Cole Bassett
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Oscar Verhoeven
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jeppe Tverskov
  • 76'
    Card · Yellow Card · Wilson Eisner
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Alexander Aravena
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · David Vazquez
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Anibal Godoy
  • 69'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kristoffer Velde
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · Marcus Ingvartsen
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ian Pilcher
  • 47'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Marcus Ingvartsen
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 32'
    Goal · Penalty · Anders Dreyer
  • 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kevin Kelsy
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SAN DIEGO WIN
1.72
58.1% implied
↑ best 1.78
DRAW
4.20
23.8% implied
↑ best 4.50
PORTLAND TIMBERS WIN
4.10
24.4% implied
↑ best 4.43

Market favors San Diego. AI projects SAN DIEGO 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SAN DIEGO 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.73 4.10 4.00 +7.6%
888Sport 1.75 4.00 3.70 +7.0%
Bet365 1.70 4.50 4.00 +9.8%
Betano 1.78 4.30 4.40 +8.7%
Betfair 1.73 4.20 4.00 +8.2%
BetVictor 1.67 4.33 4.20 +8.9%
Dafabet 1.77 4.30 4.10 +8.7%
Marathonbet 1.67 4.25 4.20 +8.5%
Pinnacle 1.74 4.22 4.43 +8.3%
SBO 1.72 4.02 3.91 +7.1%
Unibet 1.70 4.20 4.20 +8.2%
William Hill 1.70 4.00 4.00 +7.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.11 U 6.28
2.5 O 1.39 U 2.88
3.5 O 2.00 U 1.79
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.41 9 bks
NO
2.68 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.50
Away -0.5 2.13
Away -0.75 1.93
Away -1 1.69
Away -1.25 1.54
Away -1.5 1.43
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.