GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · SAN DIEGO 78% · Value: Over 2.5 72%
CONF 81 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 11 · SUN, 03 MAY · 01:30 LOCAL
SAN DIEGO
10TH · 17 PTS · LAST 5:
L D W D L
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
LOS ANGELES FC
W L L L W
· 5TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 7' Marcus Ingvartsen ⚽ 71' Marcus Ingvartsen
GOALS
⚽ 82' Denis Bouanga ⚽ 90+14' Ryan Hollingshead
Marcus Ingvartsen
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Marcus Ingvartsen
San Diego · 89 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 15% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
9.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: San Diego vs Los Angeles FC
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

119%
BALL POSSESSION %
79%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
9
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
568%
PASS ACCURACY %
408%
2
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 20 events
  1. 7'
    Goal · 1-0
    Marcus Ingvartsen · assist Anders Dreyer
    SAN
  2. 15'
    Card · Foul
    David Vazquez
    SAN
  3. 46'
    Subst
    David Martínez · assist Nathan Ordaz
    LOS
  4. 46'
    Subst
    Mark Delgado · assist Jude Terry
    LOS
  5. 59'
    Card · Foul
    Kenny Nielsen
    LOS
  6. 60'
    Subst
    Heung-min Son · assist Ryan Raposo
    LOS
  7. 67'
    Subst
    Lewis Morgan  · assist Amahl Pellegrino
    SAN
  8. 67'
    Subst
    Ian Pilcher · assist Luca Bombino
    SAN
  9. 71'
    Goal · 2-0
    Marcus Ingvartsen · assist Anders Dreyer
    SAN
  10. 72'
    Subst
    Tyler Boyd · assist Jeremy Ebobisse
    LOS
  11. 73'
    Card · Foul
    Ian Pilcher
    SAN
  12. 78'
    Card · Foul
    Aníbal Godoy
    SAN
  13. 79'
    Subst
    Mathieu Choinière · assist Stephen Eustaquio
    LOS
  14. 82'
    Goal · 2-1
    Denis Bouanga · assist Heung-min Son
    LOS
  15. 83'
    Subst
    Alejandro Alvarado  · assist David Vazquez
    SAN
  16. 89'
    Subst
    Wilson Eisner · assist Marcus Ingvartsen
    SAN
  17. 90'
    Card · Foul
    Denis Bouanga
    LOS
  18. 90'+8
    Subst
    Duran Ferree · assist CJ dos Santos
    SAN
  19. 90'+9
    Subst
    Artem Smolyakov · assist Kenny Nielsen
    LOS
  20. 90'+14
    Goal · 2-2
    Ryan Hollingshead · assist Mathieu Choinière
    LOS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SAN DIEGO AVG 7.9
LOS ANGELES FC AVG 6.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
3.0
ON TARGET
4.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
1.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
119.0%
POSSESSION %
79.0%
638.0
PASSES
489.0
568.0%
PASS ACCURACY
408.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
3.0
23.0
OFFSIDES
12.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
17.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SAN DIEGO 4 shots
Marcus Ingvartsen
2/3
Anders Dreyer
0/1
LOS ANGELES FC 3 shots
Denis Bouanga
2/2
Stephen Eustaquio
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 3-4-2-1
4-3-3
3-4-2-1
1
CJ DOS SA
 7.5
27
LUCA BOMB
26
MANU DUAH
 7.2
97
CHRISTOPH
33
OSCAR VER
8
ONNI VALA
 7.7
20
ANíBAL GO
19
DAVID VAZ
90
AMAHL PEL
 9.3
7
MARCUS IN
 7.9
10
ANDERS DR
1
HUGO LLOR
 6.9
4
EDDIE SEG
91
NKOSI TAF
45
KENNY NIE
24
RYAN HOLL
22
JUDE TERR
 6.7
46
STEPHEN E
21
RYAN RAPO
 7.0
99
DENIS BOU
27
NATHAN OR
17
JEREMY EB
SUBSTITUTES · SAN DIEGO
14
Bryan Zamblé
F
9
Lewis Morgan
F
15
Pedro Soma
M
70
Alejandro Al...
F
21
Bryce Duke
M
22
Wilson Eisne...
D
25
Ian Pilcher
D
18
Duran Ferree
G
77
Alex Mighten
F
COACH: Mikey Varas
SUBSTITUTES · LOS ANGELES FC
7
Son Heung-mi...
F
19
Tyler Boyd
F
66
Mathieu Choi...
M
8
Mark Delgado
M
29
Artem Smolia...
D
14
Sergi Palenc...
D
5
Ryan Porteou...
D
12
Thomas Hasal
G
30
David Martín...
F
COACH: Marc Dos Santos
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
F. Dujic
—
SAN MANAGER
Mikey Varas
head coach
LOS MANAGER
Marc Dos Santos
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
SAN WINS
0
DRAWS
0
LOS WINS
100%
5 – 3
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
4.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 2 / 2
01 Sep 2025
Los Angeles FC
1 – 2
San Diego
W
30 Mar 2025
San Diego
3 – 2
Los Angeles FC
W
SAN DIEGO LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W D L
LOS ANGELES FC LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
SAN DIEGO #10
Lost · already at 17 pts
LOS ANGELES FC #5
Lost · already at 24 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+14
    Goal · 2-2 · Ryan Hollingshead
    4th Goal
  • 90'+9
    Subst · Artem Smolyakov
    11th Substitution
  • 90'+8
    Subst · Duran Ferree
    10th Substitution
  • 90'
    Card · Foul · Denis Bouanga
    5th Yellowcard
  • 89'
    Subst · Wilson Eisner
    9th Substitution
  • 83'
    Subst · Alejandro Alvarado 
    8th Substitution
  • 82'
    Goal · 2-1 · Denis Bouanga
    3rd Goal
  • 79'
    Subst · Mathieu Choinière
    7th Substitution
  • 78'
    Card · Foul · Aníbal Godoy
    4th Yellowcard
  • 73'
    Card · Foul · Ian Pilcher
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 72'
    Subst · Tyler Boyd
    6th Substitution
  • 71'
    Goal · 2-0 · Marcus Ingvartsen
    2nd Goal
  • 67'
    Subst · Ian Pilcher
    5th Substitution
  • 67'
    Subst · Lewis Morgan 
    4th Substitution
  • 60'
    Subst · Heung-min Son
    3rd Substitution
  • 59'
    Card · Foul · Kenny Nielsen
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 46'
    Subst · Mark Delgado
    1st Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · David Martínez
    2nd Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 15'
    Card · Foul · David Vazquez
    1st Yellowcard
  • 7'
    Goal · 1-0 · Marcus Ingvartsen
    1st Goal
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
SAN DIEGO WIN
2.49
40.2% implied
↑ best 2.55
DRAW
3.74
26.7% implied
↑ best 4.01
LOS ANGELES FC WIN
2.54
39.4% implied
↑ best 2.60

Market favors San Diego. AI projects SAN DIEGO 78% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SAN DIEGO 78% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.50 3.65 2.52 +38.0%
Bet365 2.55 3.70 2.55 +38.8%
Betano 2.50 3.85 2.57 +38.0%
Betfair 2.40 3.90 2.50 +36.3%
BetVictor 2.50 3.70 2.50 +38.0%
Dafabet 2.55 3.85 2.60 +38.8%
Marathonbet 2.45 3.74 2.52 +37.2%
Pinnacle 2.53 4.01 2.57 +38.5%
SBO 2.43 3.54 2.53 +36.8%
Unibet 2.48 3.65 2.60 +37.7%
William Hill 2.45 3.60 2.45 +37.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 5.12
2.5 O 1.54 U 2.41
3.5 O 2.33 U 1.58
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.46 8 bks
NO
2.55 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.68
Away -0.5 1.52
Away -0.75 1.38
Away -1 1.24
Away -1.25 1.19
Away -1.5 1.16
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.