GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Ligue 1 · SEMI-FINALS · FRI, 15 MAY · 18:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
SAINT ETIENNE
⏱ KICK-OFF IN
--
HOURS
:
--
MINS
:
--
SECS
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
RODEZ
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
PRE-MATCH MODEL
CONF 28/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SAI
1 – 0
ROD
most likely scoreline · 16.5% probability
AI PICKS SAINT ETIENNE TO WIN 48%
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

PRE-MATCH
SAI WIN 48%
DRAW 28%
ROD WIN 24%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 76% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 76% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Severe data gaps (no season stats, no H2H history, minimal recent form) make this a weak heuristic; treat with caution.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY SAINT ETIENNE FAVORED
48%
Home advantage baseline only; Saint Etienne recent form mixed (DWW) vs Rodez limited sample
+25.0%
No season statistics, league position, or xG data available to assess quality gap
+20.0%
H2H is the current match itself — no historical context to inform prediction
+15.0%
WHY RODEZ CHALLENGED
24%
Home advantage baseline only; Saint Etienne recent form mixed (DWW) vs Rodez limited sample
+25.0%
No season statistics, league position, or xG data available to assess quality gap
+20.0%
H2H is the current match itself — no historical context to inform prediction
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Home advantage baseline only; Saint Etienne recent form mixed (DWW) vs Rodez limited sample
  • No season statistics, league position, or xG data available to assess quality gap
  • H2H is the current match itself — no historical context to inform prediction
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 0 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
12.0
4.8
1.3
0.3
·
·
1
16.5
13.2
5.3
1.4
0.3
·
·
2
9.1
7.2
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
3
3.3
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
·
4
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.5%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.2%
0 — 1 12.0%
2 — 0 9.1%
Top 5 = 65.6% · rest 34.4%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.26
28.0%
3.57
+19.3%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.19
52.0%
1.92
+14.0%
AWAY to Win
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.46
24.0%
4.17
+7.1%
HOME or Draw (1X)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.20
76.0%
1.32
-9.0%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.21
72.0%
1.39
-13.2%
—
HOME to Win
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.66
48.0%
2.08
-20.2%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.46
42.0%
2.38
-38.8%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.48
38.0%
2.63
-43.9%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.