GOALSENSE
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Ligue 1 · SEMI-FINALS · FRI, 15 MAY · 18:30 LOCAL
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SAINT ETIENNE
PEN
0 – 0
AFTER PENALTIES
RODEZ
⚽ 120+1' Zuriko Davitashvili ⚽ 120+2' Lucas Stassin ⚽ 120+3' Benjamin Old ⚽ 120+4' João Ferreira ⚽ 120+5' Aimen Moueffek ⚽ 120+6' Djylian N'Guessan ⚽ 120+7' Abdoulaye Kanté ⚽ 120+8' Maxime Bernauer ⚽ 120+9' Brice Maubleu ⚽ 120+10' Mickael Nade
GOALS
⚽ 120+1' Mathis Magnin ⚽ 120+2' Raphael Lipinski ⚽ 120+3' Jean Lambert Evan's Allan ⚽ 120+4' Mathis Saka ⚽ 120+5' Tairyk Arconte ⚽ 120+6' Kenny Nagera ⚽ 120+7' Samy Benchama ⚽ 120+8' Octave Joly ⚽ 120+9' Nolan Galves ⚽ 120+10' L. Laurent
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SAI
1 – 0
ROD
most likely scoreline · 16.6% probability
AI PICKS SAINT ETIENNE TO WIN 45%
FT 0 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
SAI WIN 45%
DRAW 38%
ROD WIN 17%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 83% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 83% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Match entering extra time at 0-0 after 120 min; Saint Etienne slight edge but high draw likelihood given lack of clear dominance.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY SAINT ETIENNE FAVORED
45%
Match entering extra time at 0-0 after 120 min; Saint Etienne slight edge but high draw likelihood given lack of clear dominance.
+30.0%
WHY RODEZ CHALLENGED
17%
Both teams' lineups intact; Rodez compact 5-3-2 defensive shape has held firm — expect narrow margin if any
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 0-0 after 120 minutes indicates evenly matched, low-chance tactical game
  • Saint Etienne home advantage + recent form (DDWW) gives marginal edge over Rodez away form (WD)
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 121' MATHIS MAG ⚽ 121' ZURIKO DAV ⚽ 122' RAPHAEL LI ⚽ 122' LUCAS STAS ⚽ 123' BENJAMIN O ⚽ 123' JEAN LAMBE ⚽ 124' MATHIS SAK ⚽ 124' JOãO FERR ⚽ 125' TAIRYK ARC ⚽ 125' AIMEN MOUE ⚽ 126' KENNY NAGE ⚽ 126' DJYLIAN N' ⚽ 127' ABDOULAYE ⚽ 127' SAMY BENCH ⚽ 128' OCTAVE JOL ⚽ 128' MAXIME BER ⚽ 129' NOLAN GALV ⚽ 129' BRICE MAUB ⚽ 130' L. LAURENT ⚽ 130' MICKAEL NA
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 20 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.6%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
11.8
4.7
1.2
0.2
·
·
1
16.6
13.1
5.2
1.4
0.3
·
·
2
9.2
7.3
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
3
3.4
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
·
4
1.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.6%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.1%
0 — 1 11.8%
2 — 0 9.2%
Top 5 = 65.7% · rest 34.3%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
1 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.90
38.0%
2.63
+48.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
1 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.00
55.0%
1.82
+10.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
1 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.22
83.0%
1.20
+1.3%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
1 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.65
52.0%
1.92
-14.2%
—
HOME to Win
1 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.73
45.0%
2.22
-22.2%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
1 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.62
48.0%
2.08
-22.2%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
1 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.25
62.0%
1.61
-22.5%
—
AWAY to Win
1 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.33
17.0%
5.88
-26.4%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.