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Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 4 · TUE, 05 MAY · 22:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
ROSARIO CENTRAL
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME
LIBERTAD ASUNCION
⚽ 43' Ángel Di María ⚽ 57' Ignacio Ovando
GOALS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 58/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
ROS
2 – 1
LIB
most likely scoreline · 11.8% probability
AI PICKS ROSARIO CENTRAL TO WIN 62%
FT 1 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
ROS WIN 62%
DRAW 22%
LIB WIN 16%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
ROSARIO CENTRAL TO WIN

AI consensus across 62% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 62% OVER 1.5 ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Rosario Central strong at home with perfect defensive record; Libertad in crisis away. Expect home win but Libertad's occasional goal-threat keeps this from a blowout.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY ROSARIO CENTRAL FAVORED
62%
Rosario Central strong at home with perfect defensive record; Libertad in crisis away. Expect home win but Libertad's occasional goal-threat keeps this from a blowout.
+30.0%
WHY LIBERTAD ASUNCION CHALLENGED
16%
Rosario 1st place (7 pts, 4 GF / 0 GA) vs Libertad 4th (0 pts, -4 GD) — vast quality gap early in tournament
+25.0%
Rosario unbeaten at home (DWWWD) with clean sheet record; Libertad 0-1 away form suggests road struggles
+20.0%
H2H last match (Apr 2026) Rosario won 1–0 at Libertad; home advantage compounds edge
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Rosario 1st place (7 pts, 4 GF / 0 GA) vs Libertad 4th (0 pts, -4 GD) — vast quality gap early in tournament
  • Rosario unbeaten at home (DWWWD) with clean sheet record; Libertad 0-1 away form suggests road struggles
  • H2H last match (Apr 2026) Rosario won 1–0 at Libertad; home advantage compounds edge
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 43' ÁNGEL DI ⚽ 57' IGNACIO OV
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 11.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
4.1
1.7
0.5
0.1
·
·
1
10.9
8.9
3.7
1.0
0.2
·
·
2
11.8
9.7
4.0
1.1
0.2
·
·
3
8.6
7.1
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
4
4.7
3.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
·
·
5
2.0
1.7
0.7
0.2
·
·
·
6+
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 11.8%
1 — 0 10.9%
2 — 1 9.7%
1 — 1 8.9%
3 — 0 8.6%
Top 5 = 49.9% · rest 50.1%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
9.89
16.0%
6.25
+58.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.37
38.0%
2.63
+28.0%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
5.10
22.0%
4.55
+12.3%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.21
45.0%
2.22
-0.6%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.78
52.0%
1.92
-7.5%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.15
78.0%
1.28
-10.4%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.04
84.0%
1.19
-12.3%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.30
62.0%
1.61
-19.2%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.