GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · RENNES 68% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 31 · SUN 26 APR · 15:15 LOCAL
RENNES
5TH · 56 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W D L
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
NANTES
L D D D L
· 17TH · 20 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 8' Esteban Lepaul (P) ⚽ 90+2' Valentin Rongier
GOALS
⚽ 40' Ignatius Ganago
Ignatius Ganago
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Ignatius Ganago
Nantes · 87 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 12% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Ligue 1: Rennes FC vs Nantes
Watch on Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.50
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.08
64%
BALL POSSESSION %
36%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
21
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
8
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
72%
6
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 8'
    Goal · Penalty
    Esteban Lepaul
    REN
  2. 38'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nicolas Cozza
    NAN
  3. 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ignatius Ganago · assist Nicolas Cozza
    NAN
  4. 50'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Deiver Machado
    NAN
  5. 59'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Esteban Lepaul
    REN
  6. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Alidu Seidu · assist Mahamadou Nagida
    REN
  7. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ludovic Blas · assist Sebastian Szymański
    REN
  8. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Mohamed Kaba · assist Dehmaine Tabibou
    NAN
  9. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Louis Leroux · assist Bahereba Guirassy
    NAN
  10. 73'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
    REN
  11. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Frederic Guilbert · assist Mathieu Acapandié
    NAN
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Breel Embolo · assist Yassir Zabiri
    REN
  13. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ignatius Ganago · assist Mostafa Mohamed
    NAN
  14. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Matthis Abline · assist Youssef El Arabi
    NAN
  15. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Valentin Rongier
    REN
  16. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Mousa Tamari · assist Nordan Mukiele
    REN
  17. 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Valentin Rongier
    REN
  18. 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sebastian Szymański
    REN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
RENNES AVG 7.5
NANTES AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.5
xG
2.1
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
21.0
5.0
ON TARGET
8.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
5.0
BLOCKED
7.0
POSSESSION
64.0%
POSSESSION %
36.0%
461.0
PASSES
251.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
72.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
6.0
5.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
15.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
6.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
RENNES 5 shots
Esteban Lepaul
1/3
Valentin Rongier
1/1
Lilian Brassier
1/1
NANTES 6 shots
Ignatius Ganago
1/3
Nicolas Cozza
1/2
Ibrahima Sissoko
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.50 – 2.08
1.7 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.1 0.0 HT 8' 90' 40' H 1.50 A 2.08 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-2-3-1
4-4-2
4-2-3-1
7.7
30
BRICE SAM
26
QUENTIN M
 7.5
3
LILIAN BR
48
ABDELHAMI
 7.2
36
ALIDU SEI
11
MOUSA TAM
45
MAHDI CAM
 7.7
21
VALENTIN
10
LUDOVIC B
 7.3
9
ESTEBAN L
7
BREEL EMB
 6.9
1
ANTHONY L
27
DEIVER MA
 7.9
3
NICOLAS C
2
ALI YOUSS
24
FREDERIC
 6.9
28
IBRAHIMA
 7.6
8
JOHANN LE
66
LOUIS LER
10
MATTHIS A
21
MOHAMED K
 8.0
37
IGNATIUS
SUBSTITUTES · RENNES
65
Nordan Mukie...
F
6
Djaoui Cissé
M
4
Glen Kamara
M
17
Sebastian Sz...
M
18
Mahamadou Na...
D
24
Anthony Roua...
D
50
Mathys Silis...
G
80
Ayoube Akabo...
G
77
Yassir Zabir...
F
COACH: Franck Haise
SUBSTITUTES · NANTES
19
Youssef El A...
F
11
Bahereba Gui...
F
20
Rémy Cabella
M
52
Bahmed Deuff
M
17
Dehmaine Tab...
M
6
Chidozie Awa...
D
22
Mathieu Acap...
D
30
Patrik Carlg...
G
31
Mostafa Moha...
F
COACH: Vahid Halilhodzic
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
REN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Benoît Bastien, France
—
REN MANAGER
Franck Haise
head coach
NAN MANAGER
Vahid Halilhodzic
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
7
REN WINS
1
DRAWS
2
NAN WINS
70%
10%
20%
17 – 7
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
20 Sep 25
Nantes
2 – 2
Rennes
D
18 Apr 25
Rennes
2 – 1
Nantes
W
08 Dec 24
Nantes
1 – 0
Rennes
L
20 Apr 24
Nantes
0 – 3
Rennes
W
01 Oct 23
Rennes
3 – 1
Nantes
W
RENNES LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W D L
NANTES LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
RENNES #5
Won · already at 56 pts
UEFA Europa League
NANTES #17
Lost · already at 20 pts
Relegation
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Paris Saint Germain 30 22 3 5 +43 69
W W L W W
2 Lens 30 20 3 7 +28 63
D W L W L
3 Lille 31 17 6 8 +16 57
W D W W W
4 Lyon 31 17 6 8 +16 57
W W W D L
5 Rennes 31 16 8 7 +12 56
W W W W D
6 Marseille 31 16 5 10 +18 53
D L W L L
7 Monaco 31 15 6 10 +7 51
D D L W W
8 Strasbourg 30 13 7 10 +10 46
W L W W D
9 Lorient 31 10 11 10 -5 41
L W L D L
10 Toulouse 31 10 8 13 -1 38
D L L L W
11 Stade Brestois 29 30 10 8 12 -6 38
D D L L L
12 Paris FC 31 9 11 11 -7 38
L W W D W
13 Angers 31 9 7 15 -17 34
L D L D L
14 Le Havre 31 6 13 12 -13 31
D D D D L
15 Nice 31 7 9 15 -22 30
D D D L L
16 Auxerre 31 5 10 16 -15 25
L D D D W
17 Nantes 31 4 8 19 -25 20
L L D D D
18 Metz 31 3 7 21 -39 16
D L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card · Sebastian Szymański
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal · Valentin Rongier
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Mousa Tamari
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · Valentin Rongier
    Foul
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Matthis Abline
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ignatius Ganago
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Breel Embolo
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Frederic Guilbert
  • 73'
    Card · Yellow Card · Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
    Roughing
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Louis Leroux
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Mohamed Kaba
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ludovic Blas
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Alidu Seidu
  • 59'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Esteban Lepaul
  • 50'
    Card · Yellow Card · Deiver Machado
    Roughing
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ignatius Ganago
  • 38'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nicolas Cozza
    Holding
  • 8'
    Goal · Penalty · Esteban Lepaul
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
RENNES WIN
1.46
68.5% implied
↑ best 1.51
DRAW
4.49
22.3% implied
↑ best 4.80
NANTES WIN
6.50
15.4% implied
↑ best 7.00

Market favors Rennes. AI projects RENNES 68% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS RENNES 68% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.45 4.40 6.40 -1.0%
1xBet 1.51 4.59 6.63 +1.8%
888Sport 1.44 4.20 6.00 -1.4%
Bet365 1.48 4.50 6.50 +0.4%
Betano 1.50 4.55 7.00 +1.3%
Betfair 1.40 4.33 6.50 -2.4%
BetVictor 1.45 4.60 6.50 -1.0%
Dafabet 1.48 4.80 6.60 +0.4%
Marathonbet 1.50 4.70 6.55 +1.3%
Pinnacle 1.48 4.60 6.97 +0.4%
SBO 1.44 4.36 6.09 -1.4%
Unibet 1.44 4.60 6.75 -1.4%
William Hill 1.44 4.20 6.00 -1.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.19 U 4.52
2.5 O 1.64 U 2.25
3.5 O 2.57 U 1.48
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.77 10 bks
NO
1.99 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.38
Away -0.5 2.67
Away -0.75 2.38
Away -1 2.09
Away -1.25 1.80
Away -1.5 1.61
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.