GOALSENSE
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La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 32 · SUN 26 APR · 12:00 LOCAL
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RAYO VALLECANO
FT
3 – 3
FULL TIME
REAL SOCIEDAD
⚽ 30' Sergio Camello ⚽ 84' Florian Lejeune ⚽ 90+9' Alemão
GOALS
⚽ 22' Mikel Oyarzabal ⚽ 63' Orri Steinn Óskarsson ⚽ 76' Mikel Oyarzabal
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 52/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
RAY
1 – 0
REA
most likely scoreline · 16.5% probability
AI PICKS RAYO VALLECANO TO WIN 48%
FT 3 – 3
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
RAY WIN 48%
DRAW 28%
REA WIN 24%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 76% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 76% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Rayo's home strength and H2H edge vs Sociedad's quality; slight home lean but uncertain.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY RAYO VALLECANO FAVORED
48%
Rayo strong at home (WWWLD) vs Sociedad weak away (LLWLD)
CONTEXT
H2H favours Rayo (2W, 1D, 2L in last 5; 3 wins at Vallecas)
CONTEXT
Sociedad 4 pts higher in table but Rayo's goal difference balanced
CONTEXT
WHY REAL SOCIEDAD CHALLENGED
24%
Rayo strong at home (WWWLD) vs Sociedad weak away (LLWLD)
CONTEXT
H2H favours Rayo (2W, 1D, 2L in last 5; 3 wins at Vallecas)
CONTEXT
Sociedad 4 pts higher in table but Rayo's goal difference balanced
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Rayo strong at home (WWWLD) vs Sociedad weak away (LLWLD)
  • H2H favours Rayo (2W, 1D, 2L in last 5; 3 wins at Vallecas)
  • Sociedad 4 pts higher in table but Rayo's goal difference balanced
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 22' MIKEL OYAR ⚽ 30' SERGIO CAM ⚽ 63' ORRI STEIN ⚽ 76' MIKEL OYAR ⚽ 84' FLORIAN LE ⚽ 99' ALEMãO
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 6 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
12.0
4.8
1.3
0.3
·
·
1
16.5
13.2
5.3
1.4
0.3
·
·
2
9.1
7.2
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
3
3.3
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
·
4
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.5%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.2%
0 — 1 12.0%
2 — 0 9.1%
Top 5 = 65.6% · rest 34.4%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.81
48.0%
2.08
+34.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.52
76.0%
1.32
+15.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.85
52.0%
1.92
-4.0%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.31
72.0%
1.39
-5.7%
—
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.33
28.0%
3.57
-6.8%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.42
52.0%
1.92
-26.3%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.64
44.0%
2.27
-27.8%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.51
24.0%
4.17
-39.7%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.