GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · PSV EINDHOVEN 68% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SAT, 08 AUG · 18:00 LOCAL
PSV EINDHOVEN
1ST · 84 PTS · LAST 5:
W W D W W
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
FORTUNA SITTARD
L W L L D
· 11TH · 39 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 55' Ryan Flamingo ⚽ 74' Noah Fernandez
GOALS
⚽ 42' Ole Romeny ⚽ 90+2' Édouard Michut
Noah Fernandez
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Noah Fernandez
PSV Eindhoven · 88 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 103% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.30
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.01
76%
BALL POSSESSION %
24%
21
TOTAL SHOTS
8
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
66%
9
CORNERS
0
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 33'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lequincio Zeefuik
    FOR
  2. 42'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ole Romeny
    FOR
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ruben van Bommel · assist Amir Bouhamdi
    PSV
  4. 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ryan Flamingo · assist Ivan Perišić
    PSV
  5. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Lequincio Zeefuik · assist Édouard Michut
    FOR
  6. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Guus Til · assist Alassane Pléa
    PSV
  7. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Sven Mijnans · assist Dennis Man
    PSV
  8. 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Noah Fernandez · assist Alassane Pléa
    PSV
  9. 78'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dennis Man
    PSV
  10. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Syb Van Ottele · assist Anthony Descotte
    FOR
  11. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Philip Brittijn · assist Nick de Groot
    FOR
  12. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ricardo Pepi · assist Kiliann Sildillia
    PSV
  13. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jasper Dahlhaus · assist Ganni Buyukhan
    FOR
  14. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Yassin Oukili · assist Moussa Gbemou
    FOR
  15. 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Édouard Michut
    FOR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PSV EINDHOVEN AVG 7.7
FORTUNA SITTARD AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.3
xG
1.0
21.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
6.0
ON TARGET
6.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
7.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
76.0%
POSSESSION %
24.0%
758.0
PASSES
249.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
66.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
0.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
6.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PSV EINDHOVEN 4 shots
Ryan Flamingo
1/2
Noah Fernandez
1/1
Mauro Júnior
1/1
FORTUNA SITTARD 6 shots
Ole Romeny
2/3
Mohamed Ihattaren
3/3
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.30 – 1.01
1.8 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.3 0.0 HT 55' 74' 42' 90' H 2.30 A 1.01 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 5-3-2
4-2-3-1
5-3-2
7.2
32
MATěJ KOV
 8.0
17
MAURO JúN
4
ARMANDO O
 7.3
6
RYAN FLAM
 7.5
5
IVAN PERI
 8.7
31
NOAH FERN
10
PAUL WANN
7
RUBEN VAN
21
SVEN MIJN
20
GUUS TIL
9
RICARDO P
31
MATTIJS B
8
JASPER DA
28
JUSTIN HU
 6.7
6
SYB VAN O
 6.6
12
IVO PINTO
 6.7
2
SIEBE WYL
5
YASSIN OU
23
PHILIP BR
 6.9
52
MOHAMED I
 8.3
10
OLE ROMEN
25
LEQUINCIO
SUBSTITUTES · PSV EINDHOVEN
3
Yarek Gasior...
D
38
Fabian Merié...
D
33
Essien Basse...
D
35
Joel Van Den...
M
25
Kiliann Sild...
D
51
Tijn Smolena...
G
1
Nick Olij
G
27
Dennis Man
F
14
Alassane Plé...
F
37
Amir Bouhamd...
F
19
Esmir Bajrak...
F
COACH: Peter Bosz
SUBSTITUTES · FORTUNA SITTARD
39
Ganni Buyukh...
M
35
Kevin van Bu...
M
38
Moussa Gbemo...
M
15
Nick de Groo...
D
1
Luuk Koopman...
G
33
Kaylen Reitm...
G
20
Édouard Mich...
M
9
Anthony Desc...
F
COACH: Danny Buijs
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
PSV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Alex Bos, Netherlands
—
PSV MANAGER
Peter Bosz
head coach
FOR MANAGER
Danny Buijs
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
8
PSV WINS
2
DRAWS
0
FOR WINS
80%
20%
29 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.90
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
17 Jan 2026
Fortuna Sittard
1 – 2
PSV Eindhoven
W
31 Oct 2025
PSV Eindhoven
5 – 2
Fortuna Sittard
W
03 May 2025
PSV Eindhoven
4 – 1
Fortuna Sittard
W
22 Sep 2024
Fortuna Sittard
1 – 3
PSV Eindhoven
W
12 May 2024
Fortuna Sittard
1 – 1
PSV Eindhoven
D
PSV EINDHOVEN LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D W W
FORTUNA SITTARD LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
PSV EINDHOVEN #1
Lost · already at 84 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
FORTUNA SITTARD #11
Lost · already at 39 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 27 3 4 +56 84
W W D W W
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 +26 65
W D W W D
3 NEC Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 +24 59
W L D D D
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 +19 58
L W D D W
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 +21 56
D L D W W
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 +13 53
W W W L W
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 +7 52
D D D D W
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 +4 51
D L W W L
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 +4 48
W W L L D
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 -22 43
L L D L L
11 Fortuna Sittard 34 11 6 17 -14 39
L W L L D
12 GO Ahead Eagles 34 8 14 12 +1 38
L L D D D
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 -13 38
W D W W D
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 -6 37
W W D W L
15 PEC Zwolle 34 9 10 15 -27 37
L L W L D
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 -20 32
L D L W L
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 -23 29
D W L L D
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 -50 19
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal · Édouard Michut
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Yassin Oukili
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jasper Dahlhaus
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ricardo Pepi
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Philip Brittijn
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Syb Van Ottele
  • 78'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dennis Man
    Tripping
  • 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Noah Fernandez
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Sven Mijnans
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Guus Til
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Lequincio Zeefuik
  • 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ryan Flamingo
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ruben van Bommel
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 42'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ole Romeny
  • 33'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lequincio Zeefuik
    Roughing
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
PSV EINDHOVEN WIN
1.15
87% implied
↑ best 1.19
DRAW
8.65
11.6% implied
↑ best 10.50
FORTUNA SITTARD WIN
14.44
6.9% implied
↑ best 18.00

Market favors PSV Eindhoven. AI projects PSV EINDHOVEN 68% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PSV EINDHOVEN 68% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.16 7.70 13.00 +9.0%
1xBet 1.12 10.50 17.50 +12.5%
888Sport 1.15 8.00 13.00 +9.5%
Bet365 1.14 8.50 17.00 +10.2%
Betano 1.19 8.75 14.50 +10.6%
Betfair 1.12 8.50 15.00 +10.2%
BetVictor 1.12 10.00 18.00 +12.0%
Dafabet 1.16 9.00 15.00 +10.9%
Marathonbet 1.12 9.10 14.50 +11.0%
Pinnacle 1.14 9.64 14.95 +11.6%
SBO 1.18 6.38 8.68 +6.3%
Superbet 1.15 9.00 14.00 +10.9%
Unibet 1.14 8.00 14.00 +9.5%
William Hill 1.15 8.00 13.00 +9.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.05 U 10.13
2.5 O 1.18 U 4.46
3.5 O 1.52 U 2.43
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.64 11 bks
NO
2.14 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 6.80
Away -0.5 5.35
Away -0.75 4.78
Away -1 4.35
Away -1.25 3.31
Away -1.5 2.72
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.