Serie C - Girone C · GIRONE C - 38 · SUN 26 APR · 16:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
POTENZA
FT
2 2
FULL TIME
SS MONOPOLI
⚽ 13' B. Erradi ⚽ 42' F. Maisto
GOALS
⚽ 3' M. Fall ⚽ 48' Y. Rocchetti
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 51/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
POT
1 1
SS
most likely scoreline · 14.5% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 42%
FT 2 – 2
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
POT WIN 38%
DRAW 42%
SS WIN 20%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
BTTS YES

AI projects 78% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 78% BTTS YES ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Tied at 27' with both teams trading early goals; draw most likely given H2H pattern and remaining time.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY POTENZA CHALLENGED
38%
1-1 at minute 27 — half the match remains, draw is baseline outcome
CONTEXT
H2H shows 3 of last 5 meetings involved Monopoli (2-1-0-1 W-D-L)
CONTEXT
Potenza home form mixed (LWLD); Monopoli road form solid (WLWD) — away team resilience
CONTEXT
WHY SS MONOPOLI CHALLENGED
20%
1-1 at minute 27 — half the match remains, draw is baseline outcome
CONTEXT
H2H shows 3 of last 5 meetings involved Monopoli (2-1-0-1 W-D-L)
CONTEXT
Potenza home form mixed (LWLD); Monopoli road form solid (WLWD) — away team resilience
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 1-1 at minute 27 — half the match remains, draw is baseline outcome
  • H2H shows 3 of last 5 meetings involved Monopoli (2-1-0-1 W-D-L)
  • Potenza home form mixed (LWLD); Monopoli road form solid (WLWD) — away team resilience
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT 3' M. FALL 13' B. ERRADI 42' F. MAISTO 48' Y. ROCCHET
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 4 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.6
5.9
1.8
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.5
13.5
6.3
1.9
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.8
7.2
3.4
1.0
0.2
·
·
3
2.8
2.6
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.5%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 12.6%
2 — 0 7.8%
Top 5 = 61.8% · rest 38.2%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Both Teams Score — YES
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.81
78.0%
1.28
+41.3%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.05
42.0%
2.38
+28.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.28
80.0%
1.25
+2.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.56
62.0%
1.61
-3.2%
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.16
38.0%
2.63
-17.8%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.29
58.0%
1.72
-25.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.06
35.0%
2.86
-27.8%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.13
20.0%
5.00
-37.5%
18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.