GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–3 · QPR 92% · Value: Over 2.5 88%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SAT, 15 AUG · 14:00 LOCAL
PORTSMOUTH
18TH · 55 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L W W
45'
1 – 3
HT · 1-3
QPR
L L L L D
· 15TH · 58 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 15' Terry Devlin
GOALS
⚽ 33' Ilias Chair ⚽ 40' Koki Saito ⚽ 45+2' Ilias Chair
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Portsmouth · 83'

LIVE
QPR PORTSMOU

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

PORTSMOU QPR
⚽ 15' ⚽ 33' ⚽ 40' ⚽ 45' PORTSMOUTH QPR 15' 30' 45'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 45'

2.00
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.04
54%
BALL POSSESSION %
46%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
13
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
78%
7
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 15'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Terry Devlin · assist Ebou Adams
    POR
  2. 20'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Boy Kemper · assist Kealey Adamson
    QPR
  3. 25'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ronnie Edwards
    QPR
  4. 33'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ilias Chair · assist Harvey Vale
    QPR
  5. 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Koki Saito · assist Ilias Chair
    QPR
  6. 45'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ilias Chair · assist Amadou Salif Mbengue
    QPR
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Luke Brooke-Smith · assist Ryan Kavuma-McQueen
    POR
  8. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Koki Saito · assist Paul Smyth
    QPR
  9. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kwame Poku · assist Glen Kamara
    QPR
  10. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Abu Kamara · assist Josh Murphy
    POR
  11. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Zak Swanson · assist Benjamin Arthur
    POR
  12. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Regan Poole · assist Marko Milovanović
    POR
  13. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Amadou Salif Mbengue · assist Jonathan Varane
    QPR
  14. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Rumarn Burrell · assist Alfie Lloyd
    QPR
  15. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ebou Adams · assist Odin Bailey
    POR
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.0
xG
2.0
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
6.0
ON TARGET
6.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
3.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
54.0%
POSSESSION %
46.0%
410.0
PASSES
361.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
78.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
3.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
12.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PORTSMOUTH 5 shots
Adrian Segečić
0/3
Ryan Kavuma-McQueen
1/2
QPR 10 shots
Ilias Chair
3/5
Harvey Vale
0/2
Koki Saito
1/1
Glen Kamara
1/1
Paul Smyth
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.00 – 2.04
1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.0 0.0 HT 15' 33' 40' 45' H 2.00 A 2.04 KO 30' 60' 45'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 40%
60% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.5
1
NICOLAS S
22
ZAK SWANS
6
CONOR SHA
5
REGAN POO
24
TERRY DEV
 7.2
38
EBOU ADAM
19
ROCCO ROB
28
LUKE BROO
 7.5
10
ADRIAN SE
11
ABU KAMAR
 7.7
9
COLBY BIS
1
PIERCE CH
12
BOY KEMPE
6
JAKE CLAR
3
JIMMY DUN
27
AMADOU SA
5
RONNIE ED
 7.7
20
HARVEY VA
 7.7
14
KOKI SAIT
 8.7
10
ILIAS CHA
17
KWAME POK
16
RUMARN BU
SUBSTITUTES · PORTSMOUTH
8
John Swift
M
27
Odin Bailey
M
16
Luke Le Roux
M
2
Benjamin Art...
D
55
Madiodio Dia
D
31
Daniel Bieli...
G
23
Josh Murphy
M
25
Ryan Kavuma-...
F
29
Marko Milova...
F
COACH: John Mousinho
SUBSTITUTES · QPR
22
Richard Kone
F
23
Isak Alemaye...
M
40
Jonathan Var...
M
4
Liam Morriso...
D
13
Calum Ward
G
18
Glen Kamara
M
11
Paul Smyth
F
2
Kealey Adams...
D
15
Alfie Lloyd
F
COACH: Julien Stephan
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
POR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

QPR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Will Finnie, England
—
POR MANAGER
John Mousinho
head coach
QPR MANAGER
Julien Stephan
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
POR WINS
2
DRAWS
3
QPR WINS
37.5%
25%
37.5%
10 – 14
TOTAL GOALS · 8 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 4 / 8
21 Mar 2026
QPR
6 – 1
Portsmouth
L
26 Dec 2025
Portsmouth
1 – 1
QPR
D
22 Feb 2025
Portsmouth
2 – 1
QPR
W
19 Oct 2024
QPR
1 – 2
Portsmouth
W
PORTSMOUTH LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L W W
QPR LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L D
LIVE IMPACT Currently 1–3 · scenario projection
PORTSMOUTH #18
If loss holds: 55 pts
QPR #15
If win holds: 61 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 +52 95
W W W D D
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 +33 84
W D D W D
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 +15 83
L D W D W
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 +26 80
W D W D D
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 +25 80
L L D D W
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 +4 73
W W D W L
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 +4 71
D L W W L
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 +8 69
L W L W L
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 +7 65
L D W W L
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 +1 64
D W W D W
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 -2 64
W D W L W
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 0 62
W L D L D
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 0 60
W L L W W
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 -7 60
L W L L W
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 -12 58
L L L L D
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 -12 57
L L L L L
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 -5 55
L L L L D
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 -15 55
D W L W W
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 -14 53
L W L D L
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 -14 52
L W D L D
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 -10 51
L D W W D
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 -14 47
L W L L W
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 -10 46
W D D L L
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 -60 0
W L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ebou Adams
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Rumarn Burrell
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Amadou Salif Mbengue
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Regan Poole
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Zak Swanson
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Abu Kamara
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kwame Poku
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Koki Saito
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Luke Brooke-Smith
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 3
  • 45'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ilias Chair
  • 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Koki Saito
  • 33'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ilias Chair
  • 25'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ronnie Edwards
    Foul
  • 20'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Boy Kemper
  • 15'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Terry Devlin
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
PORTSMOUTH WIN
2.41
41.5% implied
↑ best 2.52
DRAW
3.18
31.4% implied
↑ best 3.35
QPR WIN
2.99
33.4% implied
↑ best 3.10

Market favors Portsmouth. AI projects QPR 92% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS QPR 92% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.26 3.35 3.05 +59.2%
1xBet 2.44 3.12 2.96 +58.2%
888Sport 2.40 3.00 2.90 +57.5%
Bet365 2.45 3.25 3.00 +58.7%
Betano 2.45 3.15 3.10 +59.7%
Betfair 2.45 3.20 3.00 +58.7%
BetVictor 2.40 3.25 3.00 +58.7%
Dafabet 2.46 3.30 3.05 +59.2%
Marathonbet 2.42 3.12 2.95 +58.1%
Pinnacle 2.52 3.24 3.05 +59.2%
SBO 2.38 3.11 2.86 +57.0%
Unibet 2.28 3.25 3.05 +59.2%
William Hill 2.40 3.00 2.90 +57.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.35 U 3.06
2.5 O 2.12 U 1.70
3.5 O 3.78 U 1.24
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.82 10 bks
NO
1.89 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.75
Away -0.5 1.58
Away -0.75 1.38
Away -1 1.21
Away -1.25 1.17
Away -1.5 1.14
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.