GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–3 · SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES 95% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · SUN, 24 MAY · 01:30 LOCAL
PORTLAND TIMBERS
9TH · 28 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L W W
FT
1 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 1-3
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
L L L L D
· 4TH · 33 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 18' Antony
GOALS
⚽ 2' Preston Judd ⚽ 12' Preston Judd ⚽ 24' Daniel Munie
Preston Judd
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Preston Judd
San Jose Earthquakes · 63 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 6% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

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Major League Soccer: Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes
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📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.71
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.96
66%
BALL POSSESSION %
34%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
7
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
72%
4
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 2'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Preston Judd · assist Jack Skahan
    SAN
  2. 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Preston Judd · assist N. Fernandez
    SAN
  3. 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Antony · assist D. Da Costa
    POR
  4. 24'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Daniel Munie · assist Jack Skahan
    SAN
  5. 41'
    Card · Yellow Card
    R. Roberts
    SAN
  6. 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    B. Kikanovic
    SAN
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    B. Kikanovic · assist Jack Jasinski
    SAN
  8. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    N. Fernandez · assist I. Harkes
    SAN
  9. 51'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kamal Miller
    POR
  10. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kamal Miller · assist I. Smith
    POR
  11. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Preston Judd · assist D. Johnson
    SAN
  12. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jack Skahan · assist P. Marie
    SAN
  13. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Brandon Bye · assist Juan Mosquera
    POR
  14. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    J. Ortiz · assist Alexander Aravena
    POR
  15. 73'
    Card · Yellow Card
    R. Vieira
    SAN
  16. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    J. Ricketts · assist Dave Romney
    SAN
  17. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Antony · assist A. Lassiter
    POR
  18. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    K. Kelsy · assist Felipe Mora
    POR
  19. 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
    SAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PORTLAND TIMBERS AVG 7.2
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.7
xG
1.0
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
7.0
ON TARGET
6.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
0.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
66.0%
POSSESSION %
34.0%
584.0
PASSES
293.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
72.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
6.0
6.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
14.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
3.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PORTLAND TIMBERS 5 shots
Antony
1/2
C. Bassett
0/2
I. Smith
1/1
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES 4 shots
Preston Judd
2/2
Beau Leroux
1/1
Daniel Munie
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.71 – 0.96
1.4 1 0.7 0.3 1.7 0.0 HT 18' 2' 12' 24' H 1.71 A 0.96 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 37%
63% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
12
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.0
41
JAMES PAN
27
J. FORY
4
KAMAL MIL
20
FINN SURM
5
BRANDON B
 6.9
17
C. BASSET
 6.9
80
J. ORTIZ
 8.2
11
ANTONY
10
D. DA COS
99
K. VELDE
19
K. KELSY
 7.3
42
DANIEL
2
J. RICKET
18
R. ROBERT
 7.7
5
DANIEL MU
28
B. KIKANO
 7.7
34
BEAU LERO
14
R. VIEIRA
16
JACK SKAH
 6.9
20
N. FERNAN
7
O. BOUDA
 8.3
19
PRESTON J
SUBSTITUTES · PORTLAND TIMBERS
9
Felipe Mora
F
88
Gage Guerra
F
28
Alexander Ar...
F
23
I. Smith
D
16
Sawyer Jura
D
6
Alex Bonetig
D
29
Juan Mosquer...
D
25
Trey Muse
G
7
A. Lassiter
F
COACH: Phil Neville
SUBSTITUTES · SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
32
Nonso Adimab...
F
6
I. Harkes
M
79
D. Johnson
M
40
J. A. Gonzal...
M
17
Jack Jasinsk...
D
4
Dave Romney
D
25
Max Floriani
D
31
Francesco Mo...
G
3
P. Marie
D
COACH: Bruce Arena
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
POR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
T. Ford
—
POR MANAGER
Phil Neville
head coach
SAN MANAGER
Bruce Arena
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
POR WINS
1
DRAWS
4
SAN WINS
50%
10%
40%
16 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
14 Jun 2025
Portland Timbers
1 – 1
San Jose Earthquakes
D
04 May 2025
San Jose Earthquakes
4 – 1
Portland Timbers
L
20 Jun 2024
San Jose Earthquakes
1 – 2
Portland Timbers
W
16 May 2024
Portland Timbers
4 – 2
San Jose Earthquakes
W
21 Sep 2023
Portland Timbers
2 – 1
San Jose Earthquakes
W
PORTLAND TIMBERS LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L W W
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–3 · result locked
PORTLAND TIMBERS #9
Lost · already at 28 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES #4
Won · already at 33 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · K. Kelsy
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Antony
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · J. Ricketts
  • 73'
    Card · Yellow Card · R. Vieira
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · J. Ortiz
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Brandon Bye
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jack Skahan
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Preston Judd
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kamal Miller
  • 51'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kamal Miller
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · N. Fernandez
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · B. Kikanovic
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 3
  • 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · B. Kikanovic
  • 41'
    Card · Yellow Card · R. Roberts
  • 24'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Daniel Munie
  • 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Antony
  • 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Preston Judd
  • 2'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Preston Judd
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
PORTLAND TIMBERS WIN
2.44
41% implied
↑ best 2.55
DRAW
3.92
25.5% implied
↑ best 4.10
SAN JOSE EARTHQU WIN
2.51
39.8% implied
↑ best 2.57

Market favors Portland Timbers. AI projects SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES 95% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES 95% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.40 4.10 2.44 +54.0%
888Sport 2.38 3.75 2.50 +55.0%
Bet365 2.45 4.10 2.50 +55.0%
Betano 2.50 3.90 2.55 +55.8%
Betfair 2.40 3.90 2.55 +55.8%
BetVictor 2.40 4.00 2.50 +55.0%
Dafabet 2.50 4.00 2.55 +55.8%
Marathonbet 2.43 3.88 2.48 +54.7%
Pinnacle 2.50 4.07 2.57 +56.1%
SBO 2.40 3.79 2.45 +54.2%
Superbet 2.47 3.90 2.55 +55.8%
Unibet 2.55 3.85 2.45 +54.2%
William Hill 2.38 3.75 2.50 +55.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.09 U 7.11
2.5 O 1.34 U 3.16
3.5 O 1.87 U 1.90
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.31 10 bks
NO
3.18 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.69
Away -0.5 1.54
Away -0.75 1.41
Away -1 1.27
Away -1.25 1.22
Away -1.5 1.18
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.