AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · PENAROL 48%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 6 · THU, 28 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
PENAROL
4TH · 3 PTS · LAST 5:
D D L L
⏱ KICK-OFF IN
00
HOURS
:
00
MINS
:
00
SECS
Estadio Campeón del Siglo · K. Ortega
SANTA FE
W D L L
· 3RD · 8 PTS · LAST 5
PROBABLE LINEUPS · OFFICIAL XI DROPS T-1H
STATS COMMENTARY PREDICTIONS
📊 FORM COMPARISON

Last 5 matches · all competitions

PENAROL
FORM · 2 PTS
D D L L
22 May D 1–1 vs Corinthians (H)
07 May D 1–1 vs Platense (A)
01 May L 0–2 vs Corinthians (A)
17 Apr L 1–2 vs Platense (H)
SANTA FE
FORM · 4 PTS
W D L L
20 May W 2–1 vs Platense (H)
07 May D 1–1 vs Corinthians (H)
29 Apr L 1–2 vs Platense (A)
16 Apr L 0–2 vs Corinthians (A)
📈 SEASON STATS COMPARED

Across 2 matches · Copa Libertadores 2026/27

1.00
⚡ GOALS PER MATCH
0.50
Penarol generates ~50% more than opponent
1.50
GOALS CONCEDED / MATCH
1.50
0
WINS THIS SEASON
0
0
CLEAN SHEETS
0
2
GOALS FOR (TOTAL)
1
3
GOALS AGAINST (TOTAL)
3
⚽ PROBABLE STARTING XI

Pitch view · Drops T-1H before kick-off

⏱ AWAITING RELEASE
⏱
PROBABLE LINEUPS

Official starting XI is released by clubs typically 1 hour before kick-off. Probable XI based on last 5 lineups + injury reports will appear here when available.

EXPECTED KEY MEN
PENAROL
· Matías Arezo
SANTA FE
⭐ KEY PLAYERS TO WATCH

In-form, dangerous men, top of their game

🏟 STADIUM & CONDITIONS

Estadio Campeón del Siglo · Montevideo

CAPACITY
—
Sold out expected
WEATHER
🌤
—
Forecast pending
Live forecast at T-3H
PITCH
Grass
105 × 68m standard
FACTORS
Standard
No restrictions
🟨 REFEREE PROFILE

K. Ortega

KO
YELLOW / MATCH
—
RED / MATCH
—
FOULS / MATCH
—
⚔ RECENT MEETINGS

No prior meetings in our records

⚔

No finished PENAROL vs SANTA FE matches in our database. This may be their first meeting, or historical fixtures haven't been backfilled yet.

PRE-MATCH STATS H vs A
Stats will appear once the match starts.
LINEUPS
Lineups will be published ~1 hour before kickoff.
No prior meetings in our records

H2H data appears once they've met in a finished match.

PROJECTED IMPACT Pre-match · scenario projection
PENAROL #4
Currently 3 pts · rank #4
SANTA FE #3
Currently 8 pts · rank #3
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 +5 13
W W L W W
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W W W D W
1 Corinthians 6 3 2 1 +4 11
L D D W W
1 U. Catolica 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 +9 16
W W D W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 0 8
W W D L L
2 Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 +5 11
W D D W L
2 Platense 6 3 1 2 +1 10
W L D W W
2 Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 +5 11
W L W D W
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 +8 13
L W W W W
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Bolívar 6 1 2 3 -2 5
L L D W D
3 Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 +1 7
L D L L W
3 Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 -1 8
W W D L L
3 Sporting Cristal 6 2 0 4 -3 6
L L L W L
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 UCV 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L W L L
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 -7 3
L L D L D
4 Barcelona SC 6 1 0 5 -10 3
L L W L L
4 Penarol 6 0 3 3 -4 3
L D D L L
4 Junior 6 1 1 4 -6 4
L W L L L
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 6 0 0 6 -9 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
Commentary feed will start at kickoff.
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
PENAROL WIN
1.88
53.2% implied
↑ best 1.95
DRAW
3.29
30.4% implied
↑ best 3.44
SANTA FE WIN
4.27
23.4% implied
↑ best 4.70

Market favors Penarol. AI projects PENAROL 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PENAROL 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.88 3.30 4.30 +0.7%
1xBet 1.92 3.44 4.38 +1.2%
888Sport 1.85 3.20 4.00 -1.0%
Bet365 1.91 3.25 4.50 +1.8%
Betano 1.91 3.30 4.50 +1.8%
Betfair 1.85 3.40 4.33 +0.9%
Dafabet 1.95 3.40 4.30 +0.7%
Marathonbet 1.86 3.34 4.25 +0.5%
Pinnacle 1.88 3.32 4.42 +1.4%
SBO 1.85 2.88 3.55 -4.2%
Unibet 1.80 3.40 4.70 +2.7%
William Hill 1.85 3.20 4.00 -1.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.43 U 2.68
2.5 O 2.35 U 1.58
3.5 O 4.36 U 1.19
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.07 8 bks
NO
1.68 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.28
Away -0.5 1.93
Away -0.75 1.67
Away -1 1.44
Away -1.25 1.34
Away -1.5 1.26
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.