GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–0 · PENAFIEL 99% · Value: Over 2.5 95%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Segunda Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 31 · SUN 26 APR · 14:30 LOCAL
PENAFIEL
LAST 5:
L L D L W
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
FC PORTO B
W W D W L
· LAST 5
⚽ 45+4' Reko (P) ⚽ 77' Zé Leite ⚽ 79' Zé Leite
GOALS
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap

awaiting upload
Goals, key moments, post-match interviews
Highlightly publishes 30 min – 6 h after final whistle
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 12'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Davo
    PEN
  2. 21'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Reko
    PEN
  3. 45'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Reko
    PEN
  4. 45'+11
    Card · Yellow Card
    Pedro Sá
    PEN
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jorge Mere · assist João Miguel
    PEN
  6. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gabriel Brás · assist Bernardo Lima
    FC
  7. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Kaio Henrique · assist Yoan Pereira
    FC
  8. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    André Schutte · assist Joseph Sery
    PEN
  9. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Álvaro Santos · assist Zé Leite
    PEN
  10. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    João Teixeira · assist Francisco Fernandes
    FC
  11. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Tiago Andrade · assist Eduardo Ferreira
    FC
  12. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Pedro Sá · assist Ibrahima Kébé
    PEN
  13. 77'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Zé Leite
    PEN
  14. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    G. Sousa · assist Duarte Cunha
    FC
  15. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 6
    Trofim Melnichenko
    FC
  16. 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Zé Leite
    PEN
  17. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Reko · assist Teddy Alloh
    PEN
  18. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 6
    Bruno Pereira · assist Cláudio Silva
    PEN
MATCH STATS H vs A
DISCIPLINE
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
0.0
RED CARDS
0.0
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 67%
33% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-3 vs 3-4-3
3-4-3
3-4-3
32
JOAN FEME
2
IANO SIMã
3
JORGE MER
5
JAIME SáN
14
BRUNO PER
21
PEDRO Sá
8
REKO
20
ÁLVARO SA
37
DAVO
28
ANDRé SCH
7
SOMA ANZA
91
GONçALO R
44
LIPE
73
GABRIEL B
64
LUIS GOME
80
KAIO HENR
88
DOMINGOS
92
JOãO TEIX
76
DINIS ROD
49
GONçALO S
43
TROFIM ME
59
TIAGO AND
SUBSTITUTES · PENAFIEL
27
Goncalo Negr...
D
1
Miguel Olive...
G
75
Teddy Alloh
D
33
Cláudio Silv...
D
17
Ibrahima Kéb...
M
34
Zé Leite
F
95
Joseph Sery
F
4
João Miguel
D
19
Raul Alcaina
F
COACH: Manuel Aira Jose
SUBSTITUTES · FC PORTO B
57
Duarte Cunha
M
54
António Ribe...
D
51
Diogo Fernan...
G
60
Francisco Fe...
F
53
Eduardo Ferr...
F
66
Bernardo Lim...
M
55
Yoan Pereira
D
89
Mateus Mide
M
COACH: Joao Brandao
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
PEN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Vitor Lopes, Portugal
—
PEN MANAGER
Manuel Aira Jose
head coach
FC MANAGER
Joao Brandao
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
PEN WINS
2
DRAWS
6
FC WINS
20%
20%
60%
13 – 17
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
12 Dec 25
FC Porto B
1 – 0
Penafiel
L
16 Feb 25
FC Porto B
3 – 2
Penafiel
L
15 Sep 24
Penafiel
1 – 1
FC Porto B
D
30 Mar 24
FC Porto B
3 – 1
Penafiel
L
11 Nov 23
Penafiel
3 – 2
FC Porto B
W
PENAFIEL LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D L W
FC PORTO B LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D W L
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 6 · Bruno Pereira
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Reko
  • 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Zé Leite
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 6 · Trofim Melnichenko
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · G. Sousa
  • 77'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Zé Leite
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Pedro Sá
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Tiago Andrade
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · João Teixeira
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Álvaro Santos
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · André Schutte
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Kaio Henrique
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gabriel Brás
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jorge Mere
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'+11
    Card · Yellow Card · Pedro Sá
  • 45'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Reko
  • 21'
    Card · Yellow Card · Reko
  • 12'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Davo
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
PENAFIEL WIN
2.10
47.6% implied
↑ best 2.23
DRAW
3.18
31.4% implied
↑ best 3.35
FC PORTO B WIN
3.30
30.3% implied
↑ best 3.61

Market favors Penafiel. AI projects PENAFIEL 99% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PENAFIEL 99% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.12 3.20 3.25 +51.8%
1xBet 2.11 3.24 3.44 +51.6%
888Sport 2.05 3.00 3.30 +50.2%
Bet365 2.00 3.10 3.40 +49.0%
Betano 2.15 3.25 3.35 +52.5%
Betfair 2.10 3.25 3.10 +51.4%
BetVictor 2.05 3.20 3.40 +50.2%
Dafabet 2.23 3.35 3.30 +54.2%
Marathonbet 2.09 3.24 3.42 +51.2%
Pinnacle 2.11 3.35 3.61 +51.6%
SBO 2.12 2.99 3.08 +51.8%
Unibet 2.17 3.15 3.00 +52.9%
William Hill 2.05 3.00 3.30 +50.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.31 U 3.14
2.5 O 2.01 U 1.75
3.5 O 3.48 U 1.26
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.78 10 bks
NO
1.91 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.97
Away -0.5 1.71
Away -0.75 1.50
Away -1 1.31
Away -1.25 1.25
Away -1.5 1.19
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.