Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
·
·
PEDROñERAS
FT
2
–
0
FULL TIME
HURACáN BALAZOTE
⚽ 6' M. Caballero Gines
⚽ 67' M. Caballero Gines
GOALS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100
MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
PED
HUR
most likely scoreline · 11.5% probability
FT
2 – 0
→
🤖
AI PROJECTED FT
2 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN
HOW AI SEES THE MATCH
FINAL · VERIFIED
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5
AI projects 79.44% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.
CONF 79%
OVER 1.5 ✓
4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS
Early Pedroñeras goal gives slight home edge; draw remains live given H2H pattern.
🤖 AI REASONING
why AI picked this
WHY PEDROñERAS FAVORED
Pedroñeras 1-0 up at minute 5 — early advantage but 85 min remains
CONTEXT
H2H split (2× 0-0, 1× 4-0 to Ped, 1× 3-2 to Bal) shows volatility
CONTEXT
Both teams' home/away form tied (D each) — neutral split advantage
CONTEXT
WHY HURACáN BALAZOTE CHALLENGED
Pedroñeras 1-0 up at minute 5 — early advantage but 85 min remains
CONTEXT
H2H split (2× 0-0, 1× 4-0 to Ped, 1× 3-2 to Bal) shows volatility
CONTEXT
Both teams' home/away form tied (D each) — neutral split advantage
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
- Pedroñeras 1-0 up at minute 5 — early advantage but 85 min remains
- H2H split (2× 0-0, 1× 4-0 to Ped, 1× 3-2 to Bal) shows volatility
- Both teams' home/away form tied (D each) — neutral split advantage
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE
PROBABILITY TIMELINE
How AI re-projects after each event
H
DRAW
A
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked
→ Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX
SCORELINE PROBABILITY
All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0%
11.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
4.2
1.8
0.5
0.1
·
·
1
10.7
9.1
3.9
1.1
0.2
·
·
2
11.5
9.8
4.2
1.2
0.3
·
·
3
8.3
7.0
3.0
0.8
0.2
·
·
4
4.4
3.8
1.6
0.5
0.1
·
·
5
1.9
1.6
0.7
0.2
·
·
·
6+
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0
11.5%
1 — 0
10.7%
2 — 1
9.8%
1 — 1
9.1%
3 — 0
8.3%
Top 5 = 49.3% · rest 50.7%