GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · DRAW 38%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SUN, 09 AUG · 12:30 LOCAL
PEC ZWOLLE
15TH · 37 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W L D
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
AJAX
W W W D W
· 5TH · 56 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 76' Jorthy Mokio ⚽ 90+5' Julian Brandt
Aaron Bouwman
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Aaron Bouwman
Ajax · 90 mins
· 94% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.59
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.54
31%
BALL POSSESSION %
69%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
26
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
72%
PASS ACCURACY %
88%
2
CORNERS
10
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 33'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Abdellah Ouazane
    AJA
  2. 57'
    Card · Red Card
    Sherel Constancio Floranus
    PEC
  3. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ibrahim Cissoko · assist Damian van der Haar
    PEC
  4. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Youri Regeer · assist Mika Godts
    AJA
  5. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Steven Berghuis · assist Julian Brandt
    AJA
  6. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Oscar Gloukh · assist Jorthy Mokio
    AJA
  7. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Dylan Mbayo · assist Gabriel Reiziger
    PEC
  8. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kasper Dolberg · assist Marcos Leonardo
    AJA
  9. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Abdellah Ouazane · assist Tolu Arokodare
    AJA
  10. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Thijs Oosting · assist Tijs Velthuis
    PEC
  11. 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jorthy Mokio · assist Tolu Arokodare
    AJA
  12. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Tobias Sommer · assist Elias Sørensen
    PEC
  13. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ryan Thomas · assist Odysseus Velanas
    PEC
  14. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Davy Klaassen
    AJA
  15. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gabriel Reiziger
    PEC
  16. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Koen Kostons
    PEC
  17. 90'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Julian Brandt · assist Mika Godts
    AJA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PEC ZWOLLE AVG 7.2
AJAX AVG 7.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.6
xG
1.5
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
26.0
2.0
ON TARGET
6.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
3.0
BLOCKED
12.0
POSSESSION
31.0%
POSSESSION %
69.0%
237.0
PASSES
549.0
72.0%
PASS ACCURACY
88.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
10.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
RED CARDS
0.0
4.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PEC ZWOLLE 1 shots
Tobias Sommer
1/1
AJAX 6 shots
Jorthy Mokio
1/3
Aaron Bouwman
1/1
Lucas Rosa
1/1
Julian Brandt
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.59 – 1.54
1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.5 0.0 HT 76' 90' H 0.59 A 1.54 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3
4-2-3-1
4-3-3
7.9
1
JASPER SC
2
SHEREL CO
 6.9
24
NICK VIER
 7.0
28
SIMON GRA
3
OLIVIER A
 7.3
30
RYAN THOM
 7.0
8
TOBIAS SO
22
IBRAHIM C
25
THIJS OOS
11
DYLAN MBA
10
KOEN KOST
1
MARC-ANDR
12
CAIO HENR
 7.9
15
YOURI BAA
 8.2
30
AARON BOU
 7.3
2
LUCAS ROS
10
OSCAR GLO
6
YOURI REG
18
DAVY KLAA
68
ABDELLAH
9
KASPER DO
23
STEVEN BE
SUBSTITUTES · PEC ZWOLLE
37
Gilles van d...
M
34
Nick Fichtin...
M
20
Gabriel Reiz...
M
26
Jadiel Perei...
M
18
Odysseus Vel...
M
9
Elias Sørens...
F
42
Dylan Ruward
D
33
Damian van d...
D
5
Tijs Velthui...
D
41
Duke Verduin
G
16
Tom de Graaf...
G
38
Givaro Rahaj...
M
COACH: Henry Van Der Vegt
SUBSTITUTES · AJAX
11
Mika Godts
F
8
Julian Brand...
M
99
Tolu Arokoda...
F
38
Marcos Leona...
F
7
Maher Carriz...
F
24
Jorthy Mokio
M
5
Owen Wijndal
D
3
Anton Gaaei
D
17
Daley Blind
D
22
Joeri Heerke...
G
26
Maarten Paes
G
20
Oliver Valak...
F
COACH: Michel
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
PEC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AJA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Jannick van der Laan, Netherlands
—
PEC MANAGER
Henry Van Der Vegt
head coach
AJA MANAGER
Michel
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
PEC WINS
2
DRAWS
7
AJA WINS
10%
20%
70%
5 – 18
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
01 Mar 2026
PEC Zwolle
0 – 0
Ajax
D
13 Sep 2025
Ajax
3 – 1
PEC Zwolle
L
09 Mar 2025
PEC Zwolle
0 – 1
Ajax
L
24 Nov 2024
Ajax
2 – 0
PEC Zwolle
L
31 Mar 2024
PEC Zwolle
1 – 3
Ajax
L
PEC ZWOLLE LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W L D
AJAX LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–2 · result locked
PEC ZWOLLE #15
Lost · already at 37 pts
AJAX #5
Won · already at 56 pts
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 27 3 4 +56 84
W W D W W
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 +26 65
W D W W D
3 NEC Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 +24 59
W L D D D
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 +19 58
L W D D W
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 +21 56
D L D W W
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 +13 53
W W W L W
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 +7 52
D D D D W
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 +4 51
D L W W L
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 +4 48
W W L L D
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 -22 43
L L D L L
11 Fortuna Sittard 34 11 6 17 -14 39
L W L L D
12 GO Ahead Eagles 34 8 14 12 +1 38
L L D D D
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 -13 38
W D W W D
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 -6 37
W W D W L
15 PEC Zwolle 34 9 10 15 -27 37
L L W L D
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 -20 32
L D L W L
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 -23 29
D W L L D
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 -50 19
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal · Julian Brandt
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Koen Kostons
    Foul
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gabriel Reiziger
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · Davy Klaassen
    Foul
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ryan Thomas
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Tobias Sommer
  • 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jorthy Mokio
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Thijs Oosting
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Abdellah Ouazane
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kasper Dolberg
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Dylan Mbayo
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Oscar Gloukh
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Steven Berghuis
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Youri Regeer
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ibrahim Cissoko
  • 57'
    Card · Red Card · Sherel Constancio Floranus
    Foul
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 33'
    Card · Yellow Card · Abdellah Ouazane
    Foul
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
PEC ZWOLLE WIN
6.00
16.7% implied
↑ best 6.50
DRAW
4.62
21.6% implied
↑ best 4.89
AJAX WIN
1.47
68% implied
↑ best 1.53

Market favors Ajax. AI projects DRAW 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 6.25 4.50 1.45 +15.8%
1xBet 6.22 4.84 1.48 +17.3%
888Sport 5.50 4.20 1.44 +14.2%
Bet365 6.50 4.50 1.48 +15.8%
Betano 6.40 4.80 1.52 +17.2%
Betfair 6.00 4.60 1.44 +16.3%
BetVictor 6.50 4.80 1.45 +17.2%
Dafabet 5.80 4.70 1.53 +16.7%
Marathonbet 6.05 4.70 1.44 +16.7%
Pinnacle 5.99 4.89 1.49 +17.6%
SBO 5.80 4.58 1.44 +16.2%
Superbet 5.75 4.75 1.50 +16.9%
Unibet 5.75 4.60 1.47 +16.3%
William Hill 5.50 4.20 1.44 +14.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.12 U 5.61
2.5 O 1.46 U 2.63
3.5 O 2.15 U 1.68
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.56 11 bks
NO
2.27 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.12
Away -0.5 1.14
Away -0.75 1.05
Away -1 1.02
Away -1.5 1.02
Away +0 1.17
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.