GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · PARMA 56%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
Serie A · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SAT, 25 APR · 13:00 LOCAL
PARMA
13TH · 45 PTS · LAST 5:
W L L L W
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
PISA
L L L L L
· 20TH · 18 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 82' Nesta Elphege
GOALS
Mariano Troilo
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Mariano Troilo
Parma · 89 mins
· 44% pass acc
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 5 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Highlights | Parma-Pisa | Serie A Enilive 2025/26
Open in Youtube ↗
Press conference | Carlos Cuesta | Parma-Pisa | S…
Cuesta Si Salva Grazie a Elphege | PARMA-PISA 1-…
È il momento di ELPHEGE: Parma-Pisa 1-0 | Serie A…
Serie A: Parma vs Pisa
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.57
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.28
51%
BALL POSSESSION %
49%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
12
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
86%
PASS ACCURACY %
87%
7
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 18'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Simone Canestrelli
    PIS
  2. 44'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Isak Vural
    PIS
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Isak Vural · assist Gabriele Piccinini
    PIS
  4. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mehdi Léris · assist Idrissa Touré
    PIS
  5. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Filip Stojilković · assist Henrik Wendel Meister
    PIS
  6. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gabriel Strefezza · assist Nesta Elphege
    PAR
  7. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mandela Keita · assist Christian Ordoñez
    PAR
  8. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Hans Nicolussi Caviglia · assist Nahuel Estévez
    PAR
  9. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Adrián Bernabé · assist Oliver Sørensen
    PAR
  10. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ebenezer Akinsanmiro · assist Juan Cuadrado
    PIS
  11. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Rosen Bozhinov · assist Lorran
    PIS
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Enrico Delprato · assist Pontus Almqvist
    PAR
  13. 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Nesta Elphege · assist Oliver Sørensen
    PAR
  14. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Abdoulaye Ndiaye
    PAR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PARMA AVG 7.4
PISA AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
1.3
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
5.0
ON TARGET
3.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
7.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
51.0%
POSSESSION %
49.0%
385.0
PASSES
377.0
86.0%
PASS ACCURACY
87.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
4.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
16.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PARMA 2 shots
Nesta Elphege
1/1
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
0/1
PISA 5 shots
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
0/2
Stefano Moreo
0/1
Isak Vural
1/1
Rosen Bozhinov
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.57 – 1.28
1.3 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 82' H 1.57 A 1.28 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-5-2 vs 3-5-2
3-5-2
3-5-2
7.2
31
ZION SUZU
 7.3
3
ABDOULAYE
 7.7
37
MARIANO T
 7.3
39
ALESSANDR
14
EMANUELE
16
MANDELA K
41
HANS NICO
10
ADRIáN BE
15
ENRICO DE
7
GABRIEL S
9
MATEO PEL
 6.9
1
ADRIAN ŠE
 6.9
2
ROSEN BOZ
4
ANTONIO C
5
SIMONE CA
3
SAMUELE A
 7.2
21
ISAK VURA
20
MICHEL AE
 6.9
14
EBENEZER
7
MEHDI LéR
 7.2
32
STEFANO M
81
FILIP STO
SUBSTITUTES · PARMA
8
Nahuel Estév...
M
11
Pontus Almqv...
F
17
Jacob Ondrej...
F
21
Gaetano Oris...
M
29
Franco Carbo...
D
22
Oliver Søren...
M
24
Christian Or...
M
27
Sascha Brits...
D
5
Lautaro Vale...
D
66
Filippo Rina...
G
40
Edoardo Corv...
G
23
Nesta Elpheg...
F
COACH: Carlos Cuesta
SUBSTITUTES · PISA
23
Calvin Steng...
M
99
Lorran
M
15
Idrissa Tour...
M
35
Felipe Loyol...
D
9
Henrik Wende...
F
8
Malthe Højho...
M
11
Juan Cuadrad...
M
33
Arturo Calab...
D
26
Francesco Co...
D
39
Raúl Albiol
D
22
Simone Scuff...
G
12
Nícolas
G
36
Gabriele Pic...
M
19
Samuel Iling...
F
COACH: Oscar Hiljemark
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
PAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

PIS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Calzavara
—
PAR MANAGER
Carlos Cuesta
head coach
PIS MANAGER
Oscar Hiljemark
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
PAR WINS
3
DRAWS
2
PIS WINS
44.4%
33.3%
22.2%
8 – 6
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
1.56
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 9
08 Dec 2025
Pisa
0 – 1
Parma
W
PARMA LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L L W
PISA LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
PARMA #13
Won · already at 45 pts
PISA #20
Lost · already at 18 pts
Relegation - Serie B
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 +54 87
D D W W D
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 +22 76
W W L D W
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 +28 73
W W W W W
4 Como 38 20 11 7 +36 71
W W W D W
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 +18 70
L W L L D
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 +27 69
D L W D D
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 +15 59
D L W D L
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 +3 56
D W W D L
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 +1 54
W L L W D
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 -3 50
L L W W D
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 -4 49
L L L W D
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 -19 45
D L W L D
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 -18 45
W L L L W
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 -13 43
W W L D W
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 -9 42
D W D L D
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 -10 41
L L D D L
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 -22 38
W W L W D
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 -25 34
L W W L L
19 Hellas Verona 38 3 12 23 -36 21
L D L D D
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 -45 18
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Abdoulaye Ndiaye
    Foul
  • 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Nesta Elphege
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Enrico Delprato
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Rosen Bozhinov
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Adrián Bernabé
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mandela Keita
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gabriel Strefezza
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Filip Stojilković
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mehdi Léris
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Isak Vural
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 44'
    Card · Yellow Card · Isak Vural
    Holding
  • 18'
    Card · Yellow Card · Simone Canestrelli
    Foul
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
PARMA WIN
2.28
43.9% implied
↑ best 2.38
DRAW
3.00
33.3% implied
↑ best 3.10
PISA WIN
3.51
28.5% implied
↑ best 3.68

Market favors Parma. AI projects PARMA 56%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PARMA 56% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.24 3.00 3.45 +11.4%
1xBet 2.38 3.08 3.68 +14.0%
888Sport 2.15 3.00 3.40 +9.5%
Bet365 2.30 3.00 3.50 +12.5%
Betano 2.35 2.92 3.55 +13.4%
Betfair 2.30 2.90 3.50 +12.5%
BetVictor 2.25 3.10 3.40 +11.6%
Dafabet 2.33 3.05 3.55 +13.1%
Marathonbet 2.33 3.02 3.60 +13.1%
Pinnacle 2.35 3.05 3.65 +13.4%
SBO 2.21 2.95 3.50 +10.8%
Unibet 2.28 2.90 3.50 +12.1%
William Hill 2.15 3.00 3.40 +9.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.48 U 2.56
2.5 O 2.52 U 1.52
3.5 O 4.94 U 1.16
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.05 10 bks
NO
1.72 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.92
Away -0.5 1.63
Away -0.75 1.44
Away -1 1.24
Away -1.25 1.21
Away -1.5 1.17
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.