GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · PARMA 72%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Serie A · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SAT 25 APR · 13:00 LOCAL
PARMA
12TH · 42 PTS · LAST 5:
W D D L L
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
PISA
L L L L W
· 20TH · 18 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 82' Nesta Elphege
GOALS
Mariano Troilo
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Mariano Troilo
Parma · 89 mins
· 44% pass acc
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 5 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Highlights | Parma-Pisa | Serie A Enilive 2025/26
Watch on Youtube ↗
Press conference | Carlos Cuesta | Parma-Pisa | S…
Cuesta Si Salva Grazie a Elphege | PARMA-PISA 1-…
È il momento di ELPHEGE: Parma-Pisa 1-0 | Serie A…
Serie A: Parma vs Pisa
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.57
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.28
51%
BALL POSSESSION %
49%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
12
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
86%
PASS ACCURACY %
87%
7
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 18'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Simone Canestrelli
    PIS
  2. 44'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Isak Vural
    PIS
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Isak Vural · assist Gabriele Piccinini
    PIS
  4. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mehdi Léris · assist Idrissa Touré
    PIS
  5. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Filip Stojilković · assist Henrik Wendel Meister
    PIS
  6. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gabriel Strefezza · assist Nesta Elphege
    PAR
  7. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mandela Keita · assist Christian Ordoñez
    PAR
  8. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Hans Nicolussi Caviglia · assist Nahuel Estévez
    PAR
  9. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Adrián Bernabé · assist Oliver Sørensen
    PAR
  10. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ebenezer Akinsanmiro · assist Juan Cuadrado
    PIS
  11. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Rosen Bozhinov · assist Lorran
    PIS
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Enrico Delprato · assist Pontus Almqvist
    PAR
  13. 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Nesta Elphege · assist Oliver Sørensen
    PAR
  14. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Abdoulaye Ndiaye
    PAR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PARMA AVG 7.4
PISA AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
1.3
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
5.0
ON TARGET
3.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
7.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
51.0%
POSSESSION %
49.0%
385.0
PASSES
377.0
86.0%
PASS ACCURACY
87.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
4.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
16.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PARMA 2 shots
Nesta Elphege
1/1
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
0/1
PISA 5 shots
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
0/2
Isak Vural
1/1
Stefano Moreo
0/1
Rosen Bozhinov
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.57 – 1.28
1.3 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 82' H 1.57 A 1.28 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-5-2 vs 3-5-2
3-5-2
3-5-2
7.2
31
ZION SUZU
 7.3
3
ABDOULAYE
 7.7
37
MARIANO T
 7.3
39
ALESSANDR
14
EMANUELE
16
MANDELA K
41
HANS NICO
10
ADRIáN BE
15
ENRICO DE
7
GABRIEL S
9
MATEO PEL
 6.9
1
ADRIAN ŠE
 6.9
2
ROSEN BOZ
4
ANTONIO C
5
SIMONE CA
3
SAMUELE A
 7.2
21
ISAK VURA
20
MICHEL AE
 6.9
14
EBENEZER
7
MEHDI LéR
 7.2
32
STEFANO M
81
FILIP STO
SUBSTITUTES · PARMA
8
Nahuel Estév...
M
11
Pontus Almqv...
F
17
Jacob Ondrej...
F
21
Gaetano Oris...
M
29
Franco Carbo...
D
22
Oliver Søren...
M
24
Christian Or...
M
27
Sascha Brits...
D
5
Lautaro Vale...
D
66
Filippo Rina...
G
40
Edoardo Corv...
G
23
Nesta Elpheg...
F
COACH: Carlos Cuesta
SUBSTITUTES · PISA
23
Calvin Steng...
M
99
Lorran
M
15
Idrissa Tour...
M
35
Felipe Loyol...
D
9
Henrik Wende...
F
8
Malthe Højho...
M
11
Juan Cuadrad...
M
33
Arturo Calab...
D
26
Francesco Co...
D
39
Raúl Albiol
D
22
Simone Scuff...
G
12
Nicolas
G
36
Gabriele Pic...
M
19
Samuel Iling...
F
COACH: Oscar Hiljemark
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
PAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

PIS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Andrea Calzavara, Italy
—
PAR MANAGER
Carlos Cuesta
head coach
PIS MANAGER
Oscar Hiljemark
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
PAR WINS
3
DRAWS
2
PIS WINS
44.4%
33.3%
22.2%
8 – 6
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
1.56
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 9
08 Dec 25
Pisa
0 – 1
Parma
W
PARMA LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D L L
PISA LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
PARMA #12
Won · already at 42 pts
PISA #20
Lost · already at 18 pts
Relegation - Serie B
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Inter 34 25 4 5 +49 79
D W W W D
2 Napoli 34 21 6 7 +19 69
W L D W W
3 AC Milan 34 19 10 5 +21 67
D W L L W
4 Juventus 34 18 10 6 +28 64
D W W W D
5 Como 34 17 10 7 +31 61
W L L D W
6 AS Roma 34 19 4 11 +19 61
W D W L W
7 Atalanta 34 14 12 8 +15 54
L D L W W
8 Lazio 34 12 12 10 +4 48
D W L D W
9 Bologna 34 14 6 14 +1 48
L L W W L
10 Sassuolo 34 13 7 14 -3 46
D W L W D
11 Udinese 34 12 8 14 -5 44
D L W D W
12 Parma 34 10 12 12 -15 42
W W D D L
13 Torino 34 11 8 15 -17 41
D D W W L
14 Genoa 34 10 9 15 -8 39
L W W L L
15 Fiorentina 34 8 13 13 -7 37
D D W W D
16 Cagliari 34 9 9 16 -13 36
W L W L L
17 Lecce 34 7 8 19 -24 29
D D L L L
18 Cremonese 34 6 10 18 -25 28
L D L L W
19 Hellas Verona 34 3 10 21 -33 19
D L L L L
20 Pisa 34 2 12 20 -37 18
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Abdoulaye Ndiaye
    Foul
  • 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Nesta Elphege
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Enrico Delprato
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Rosen Bozhinov
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Adrián Bernabé
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mandela Keita
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gabriel Strefezza
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Filip Stojilković
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mehdi Léris
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Isak Vural
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 44'
    Card · Yellow Card · Isak Vural
    Holding
  • 18'
    Card · Yellow Card · Simone Canestrelli
    Foul
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
PARMA WIN
2.28
43.9% implied
↑ best 2.38
DRAW
3.00
33.3% implied
↑ best 3.10
PISA WIN
3.51
28.5% implied
↑ best 3.68

Market favors Parma. AI projects PARMA 72%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PARMA 72% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.24 3.00 3.45 +27.4%
1xBet 2.38 3.08 3.68 +30.0%
888Sport 2.15 3.00 3.40 +25.5%
Bet365 2.30 3.00 3.50 +28.5%
Betano 2.35 2.92 3.55 +29.4%
Betfair 2.30 2.90 3.50 +28.5%
BetVictor 2.25 3.10 3.40 +27.6%
Dafabet 2.33 3.05 3.55 +29.1%
Marathonbet 2.33 3.02 3.60 +29.1%
Pinnacle 2.35 3.05 3.65 +29.4%
SBO 2.21 2.95 3.50 +26.8%
Unibet 2.28 2.90 3.50 +28.1%
William Hill 2.15 3.00 3.40 +25.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.48 U 2.56
2.5 O 2.52 U 1.52
3.5 O 4.94 U 1.16
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.05 10 bks
NO
1.72 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.92
Away -0.5 1.63
Away -0.75 1.44
Away -1 1.24
Away -1.25 1.21
Away -1.5 1.17
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.