GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 70% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 68 FULL ANALYSIS →
Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 32 · SAT, 02 MAY · 15:00 LOCAL
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN
1ST · 76 PTS · LAST 5:
D L W W D
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
LORIENT
L W L W L
· 9TH · 45 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 6' Ibrahim Mbaye ⚽ 62' Warren Zaïre-Emery
GOALS
⚽ 12' Pablo Pagis ⚽ 78' Aiyegun Tosin
Aiyegun Tosin
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Aiyegun Tosin
Lorient · 18 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 0% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Ligue 1: Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

129%
BALL POSSESSION %
44%
24
TOTAL SHOTS
5
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
565%
PASS ACCURACY %
232%
12
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 6'
    Goal · 1-0
    Ibrahim Mbaye
    PAR
  2. 12'
    Goal · 1-1
    Pablo Pagis · assist Panos Katseris
    LOR
  3. 47'
    Card · Foul
    Lucas Hernández
    PAR
  4. 61'
    Subst
    Warren Zaïre-Emery · assist Fabián Ruiz
    PAR
  5. 62'
    Subst
    João Neves · assist Ibrahim Mbaye
    PAR
  6. 62'
    Goal · 2-1
    Warren Zaïre-Emery · assist Désiré Doué
    PAR
  7. 72'
    Subst
    Karim Dermane · assist Pablo Pagis
    LOR
  8. 72'
    Subst
    Aiyegun Tosin · assist Bamba Dieng
    LOR
  9. 73'
    Subst
    Jean-Victor Makengo · assist Arthur Avom
    LOR
  10. 75'
    Subst
    Pierre Mounguengue · assist Désiré Doué
    PAR
  11. 78'
    Goal · 2-2
    Aiyegun Tosin
    LOR
  12. 80'
    Subst
    Darlin Yongwa · assist Panos Katseris
    LOR
  13. 90'+1
    Card · Foul
    Darlin Yongwa
    LOR
  14. 90'+6
    Var
    Senny Mayulu
    PAR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN AVG 7.4
LORIENT AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
24.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
6.0
ON TARGET
3.0
10.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
8.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
129.0%
POSSESSION %
44.0%
619.0
PASSES
289.0
565.0%
PASS ACCURACY
232.0%
SET PIECES
12.0
CORNERS
2.0
13.0
OFFSIDES
12.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
7.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 7 shots
Désiré Doué
1/3
Warren Zaïre-Emery
1/1
Ibrahim Mbaye
1/1
Fabián Ruiz
0/1
Kang-in Lee
1/1
LORIENT 5 shots
Aiyegun Tosin
2/2
Montassar Talbi
0/2
Pablo Pagis
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 3-4-2-1
4-3-3
3-4-2-1
89
RENATO MA
21
LUCAS HER
51
WILLIAN P
4
LUCAS BER
24
SENNY MAY
27
DRO FERNA
 7.2
8
FABIáN RU
 6.9
19
KANG-IN L
29
BRADLEY B
 7.7
14
DéSIRé DO
 7.5
49
IBRAHIM M
38
YVON MVOG
25
ABDOULAYE
 7.2
3
MONTASSAR
32
NATHANIEL
43
ARSèNE KO
8
NOAH CADI
6
LAURENT A
 7.2
77
PANOS KAT
 7.3
10
PABLO PAG
62
ARTHUR AV
12
AHMADOU B
SUBSTITUTES · PARIS SAINT GERMAIN
7
Khvicha Kvar...
F
53
Thomas Cordi...
D
55
Samba Coulib...
D
5
Marquinhos
D
57
Pierre Moung...
F
87
João Neves
M
33
Warren Zaïre...
M
10
Ousmane Demb...
F
COACH: Enrique Luis
SUBSTITUTES · LORIENT
9
Mohamed Bamb...
F
95
Souleymane I...
D
2
Igor Silva
D
21
Bingourou Ka...
G
44
Darlin Yongw...
D
17
Jean Victor...
M
29
Karim Derman...
M
15
Aiyegun Tosi...
F
28
Sambou Souma...
F
COACH: Olivier Pantaloni
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
PAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
B. Dechepy
—
PAR MANAGER
Enrique Luis
head coach
LOR MANAGER
Olivier Pantaloni
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
PAR WINS
3
DRAWS
2
LOR WINS
50%
30%
20%
19 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
29 Oct 2025
Lorient
1 – 1
Paris Saint Germain
D
24 Apr 2024
Lorient
1 – 4
Paris Saint Germain
W
12 Aug 2023
Paris Saint Germain
0 – 0
Lorient
D
30 Apr 2023
Paris Saint Germain
1 – 3
Lorient
L
06 Nov 2022
Lorient
1 – 2
Paris Saint Germain
W
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W W D
LORIENT LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN #1
Lost · already at 76 pts
Champions League
LORIENT #9
Lost · already at 45 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Paris Saint Germain 34 24 4 6 +45 76
L W W D W
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 +31 70
W L W D D
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 +15 61
L W D W D
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 +13 60
L L W W W
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 +18 59
W W L D L
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 +9 59
L W L W W
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 +6 54
L L W D D
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 +11 53
W W D L W
9 Lorient 34 11 12 11 -3 45
L W D L W
10 Toulouse 33 12 8 13 +1 44
W W D L L
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 -3 44
W L W L W
12 Stade Brestois 29 34 10 9 15 -12 39
D L L L D
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 -19 36
D D L L D
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 -12 35
W L D D D
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 -10 34
W W W L D
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 -23 32
D D L D D
17 Nantes 33 5 8 20 -23 23
L W L L D
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 -44 17
D L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Var · Senny Mayulu
    Penalty disallowed
  • 90'+1
    Card · Foul · Darlin Yongwa
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 80'
    Subst · Darlin Yongwa
    7th Substitution
  • 78'
    Goal · 2-2 · Aiyegun Tosin
    4th Goal
  • 75'
    Subst · Pierre Mounguengue
    6th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Jean-Victor Makengo
    5th Substitution
  • 72'
    Subst · Aiyegun Tosin
    4th Substitution
  • 72'
    Subst · Karim Dermane
    3rd Substitution
  • 62'
    Goal · 2-1 · Warren Zaïre-Emery
    3rd Goal
  • 62'
    Subst · João Neves
    2nd Substitution
  • 61'
    Subst · Warren Zaïre-Emery
    1st Substitution
  • 47'
    Card · Foul · Lucas Hernández
    1st Yellowcard
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 12'
    Goal · 1-1 · Pablo Pagis
    2nd Goal
  • 6'
    Goal · 1-0 · Ibrahim Mbaye
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
PARIS SAINT GERM WIN
1.35
74.1% implied
↑ best 1.39
DRAW
5.43
18.4% implied
↑ best 5.75
LORIENT WIN
7.55
13.2% implied
↑ best 8.30

Market favors Paris Saint Germain. AI projects PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 70% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PARIS SAINT GERMAIN 70% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.34 5.40 7.25 -0.5%
1xBet 1.39 5.64 8.30 +0.3%
888Sport 1.33 5.00 7.00 -2.0%
Bet365 1.36 5.75 7.00 +0.6%
Betano 1.39 5.60 7.80 +0.1%
Betfair 1.33 5.50 7.50 -0.2%
BetVictor 1.33 5.50 8.00 -0.2%
Dafabet 1.38 5.60 7.40 +0.1%
Marathonbet 1.37 5.55 8.20 0.0%
Pinnacle 1.36 5.65 7.99 +0.3%
SBO 1.34 5.13 6.76 -1.5%
Unibet 1.32 5.30 8.00 -0.5%
William Hill 1.36 5.00 7.00 -2.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.11 U 5.96
2.5 O 1.42 U 2.76
3.5 O 2.10 U 1.74
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.64 10 bks
NO
2.16 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 4.00
Away -0.5 3.21
Away -0.75 2.86
Away -1 2.53
Away -1.25 2.12
Away -1.5 1.87
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.