GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · ALAVES 40%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 37 · SUN, 17 MAY · 17:00 LOCAL
OVIEDO
20TH · 29 PTS · LAST 5:
L L D L L
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
ALAVES
L W D L W
· 14TH · 43 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 17' Toni Martínez
Santi Cazorla
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Santi Cazorla
Oviedo · Captain · 87 mins
· 56% pass acc
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
REAL OVIEDO 0 - 1 DEPORTIVO ALAVÉS | HIGHLIGHTS LALIGA EA SPORTS
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📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.31
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.46
70%
BALL POSSESSION %
30%
5
TOTAL SHOTS
7
0
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
71%
5
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Toni Martínez · assist Abderrahman Rebbach
    ALA
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Nicolas Fonseca · assist Thiago Fernández
    OVI
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Abderrahman Rebbach · assist Youssef Lekhedim
    ALA
  4. 48'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Thiago Fernández
    OVI
  5. 65'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Federico Viñas
    OVI
  6. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Santiago Colombatto · assist Ilyas Chaira
    OVI
  7. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ibrahim Diabaté · assist A. Manas
    ALA
  8. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Denis Suárez · assist Pablo Ibáñez
    ALA
  9. 71'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lucas Ahijado
    OVI
  10. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Federico Viñas · assist Álex Forés
    OVI
  11. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Haissem Hassan · assist Thiago Borbas
    OVI
  12. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Toni Martínez · assist Lucas Boyé
    ALA
  13. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Lucas Ahijado · assist Nacho Vidal
    OVI
  14. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jon Guridi · assist Carlos Benavídez
    ALA
  15. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Youssef Lekhedim
    ALA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
OVIEDO AVG 7.2
ALAVES AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.3
xG
1.5
5.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
0.0
ON TARGET
1.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
70.0%
POSSESSION %
30.0%
541.0
PASSES
234.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
71.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
2.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
17.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
OVIEDO 0 shots

No shots recorded.

ALAVES 2 shots
Ángel Pérez
0/1
Jon Guridi
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.31 – 1.46
1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.5 0.0 HT 17' H 0.31 A 1.46 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-5-2
4-2-3-1
3-5-2
1
HORAțIU M
25
JAVI LóPE
 7.5
12
DANI CALV
4
DAVID COS
24
LUCAS AHI
 6.9
11
SANTIAGO
23
NICOLAS F
 7.0
5
ALBERTO R
 7.7
8
SANTI CAZ
 6.9
10
HAISSEM H
9
FEDERICO
1
ANTONIO S
 7.0
24
VICTOR PA
16
VILLE KOS
14
NAHUEL TE
 7.7
21
ABDERRAHM
4
DENIS SUá
8
ANTONIO B
 7.0
18
JON GURID
 7.2
7
ÁNGEL PéR
11
TONI MART
22
IBRAHIM D
SUBSTITUTES · OVIEDO
2
Eric Bailly
D
21
Luka Ilić
M
6
Kwasi Sibo
M
19
Álex Forés
F
16
David Carmo
D
3
Abdel Rahim
D
22
Nacho Vidal
D
13
Aarón Escand...
G
26
Miguel Narva...
G
7
Ilyas Chaira
F
15
Thiago Ferná...
F
17
Thiago Borba...
F
COACH: Guillermo Almada Alves Jorge
SUBSTITUTES · ALAVES
20
Calebe
M
10
Carles Aleñá
M
23
Carlos Benav...
M
15
Lucas Boyé
F
6
Ander Guevar...
M
17
Jonny Otto
D
5
Jon Pacheco
D
13
Raúl Fernánd...
G
19
Pablo Ibáñez
M
34
Aitor Mañas
F
3
Youssef Lekh...
D
9
Mariano Díaz
F
COACH: Quique Sanchez Flores
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
OVI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ALA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
—
OVI MANAGER
Guillermo Almada Alves Jorge
head coach
ALA MANAGER
Quique Sanchez Flores
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
OVI WINS
2
DRAWS
1
ALA WINS
25%
50%
25%
3 – 3
TOTAL GOALS · 4 MEETINGS
1.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 4
04 Jan 2026
Alaves
1 – 1
Oviedo
D
OVIEDO LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D L L
ALAVES LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
OVIEDO #20
Lost · already at 29 pts
Relegation - LaLiga2
ALAVES #14
Won · already at 43 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 +59 94
L W L W W
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 +42 86
W W W L W
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 +26 72
W L L D W
4 Atletico Madrid 38 21 6 11 +18 69
L W W L W
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 +11 60
W L W D W
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 +5 54
W D L W W
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 -6 51
W L W D L
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 -3 50
W W D D W
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 -9 49
W W D W L
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 -2 46
D L D D L
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 -12 46
D W W L L
12 Athletic Club 38 13 6 19 -15 45
L D L L W
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 -14 43
L L W W W
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 -12 43
L W W D L
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 -8 43
D W L D L
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 -14 42
L W W W L
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 -6 42
L L L L L
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 -10 42
W L L D W
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 -16 41
D L D D L
20 Oviedo 38 6 11 21 -34 29
L L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Youssef Lekhedim
    Tripping
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jon Guridi
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Lucas Ahijado
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Toni Martínez
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Haissem Hassan
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Federico Viñas
  • 71'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lucas Ahijado
    Roughing
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Denis Suárez
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ibrahim Diabaté
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Santiago Colombatto
  • 65'
    Card · Yellow Card · Federico Viñas
  • 48'
    Card · Yellow Card · Thiago Fernández
    Tripping
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Abderrahman Rebbach
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Nicolas Fonseca
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Toni Martínez
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
OVIEDO WIN
4.04
24.8% implied
↑ best 4.35
DRAW
3.33
30% implied
↑ best 3.50
ALAVES WIN
1.99
50.3% implied
↑ best 2.07

Market favors Alaves. AI projects ALAVES 40%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ALAVES 40% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 4.10 3.30 1.90 +7.6%
1xBet 4.11 3.45 2.07 +7.7%
888Sport 3.90 3.25 1.95 +6.4%
Bet365 4.00 3.30 2.00 +7.0%
Betano 4.35 3.50 1.98 +9.0%
Betfair 4.00 3.20 1.95 +7.0%
BetVictor 4.00 3.30 2.00 +7.0%
Dafabet 4.20 3.40 1.98 +8.2%
Marathonbet 4.10 3.40 2.03 +7.6%
Pinnacle 4.14 3.37 2.04 +7.8%
SBO 3.76 3.18 2.01 +5.4%
Unibet 3.95 3.40 1.96 +6.7%
William Hill 3.90 3.25 1.95 +6.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.39 U 2.88
2.5 O 2.25 U 1.64
3.5 O 4.05 U 1.22
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.96 10 bks
NO
1.78 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.31
Away -0.5 1.24
Away -0.75 1.14
Away -1 1.03
Away -1.25 1.02
Away -1.5 1.01
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.