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La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 32 · SUN 26 APR · 16:30 LOCAL
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OSASUNA
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME
SEVILLA
⚽ 80' Raúl García de Haro ⚽ 90+9' Alejandro Catena
GOALS
⚽ 69' Neal Maupay
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 52/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
OSA
1 – 0
SEV
most likely scoreline · 17.1% probability
AI PICKS OSASUNA TO WIN 48%
FT 2 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
OSA WIN 48%
DRAW 38%
SEV WIN 14%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 86% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 86% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Goalless at 27'; Osasuna slight home favourite but Sevilla's recent form collapse limits away threat.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY OSASUNA FAVORED
48%
0-0 at 27' anchors draw likelihood; low xG atmosphere typical of this matchup
CONTEXT
Osasuna home form (DWDWD) solid vs Sevilla away form (LLLDW) — home edge modest
CONTEXT
Sevilla in freefall (LWLLL, 18th place) but H2H shows low-scoring pattern (1-0, 1-0, 1-1)
CONTEXT
WHY SEVILLA CHALLENGED
14%
0-0 at 27' anchors draw likelihood; low xG atmosphere typical of this matchup
CONTEXT
Osasuna home form (DWDWD) solid vs Sevilla away form (LLLDW) — home edge modest
CONTEXT
Sevilla in freefall (LWLLL, 18th place) but H2H shows low-scoring pattern (1-0, 1-0, 1-1)
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 0-0 at 27' anchors draw likelihood; low xG atmosphere typical of this matchup
  • Osasuna home form (DWDWD) solid vs Sevilla away form (LLLDW) — home edge modest
  • Sevilla in freefall (LWLLL, 18th place) but H2H shows low-scoring pattern (1-0, 1-0, 1-1)
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 69' NEAL MAUPA ⚽ 80' RAúL GARC ⚽ 99' ALEJANDRO
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 17.1%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
11.4
4.3
1.1
0.2
·
·
1
17.1
13.0
4.9
1.3
0.2
·
·
2
9.7
7.4
2.8
0.7
0.1
·
·
3
3.7
2.8
1.1
0.3
·
·
·
4
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 17.1%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.0%
0 — 1 11.4%
2 — 0 9.7%
Top 5 = 66.1% · rest 33.9%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.36
38.0%
2.63
+27.5%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.22
86.0%
1.16
+5.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.86
52.0%
1.92
-3.3%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.94
48.0%
2.08
-6.7%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.21
42.0%
2.38
-7.3%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.31
62.0%
1.61
-19.1%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.94
35.0%
2.86
-32.2%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.17
14.0%
7.14
-41.6%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.