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Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · WED, 13 MAY · 23:30 LOCAL
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ORLANDO CITY SC
⏱ KICK-OFF IN
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HOURS
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MINS
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SECS
Wed, 13 May · 23:30
PHILADELPHIA UNION
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
PRE-MATCH MODEL
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
ORL
1 – 1
PHI
most likely scoreline · 13.8% probability
AI PICKS ORLANDO CITY SC TO WIN 40%
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

PRE-MATCH
ORL WIN 40%
DRAW 26%
PHI WIN 34%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 66% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 66% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Weak teams in disarray; expect low-quality, tight match with slight home edge but high draw/away upset risk.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY ORLANDO CITY SC FAVORED
40%
Both teams in relegation zone with poor form — Orlando 2–3 in last 5, Union 1–4; limited quality expected
+25.0%
Orlando home form (WLWLW) erratic but slightly better than Union away (LLDLW); marginal home edge only
+20.0%
SportMonks leans home (38.8%) vs bookmaker (31.3%) — AI splits the difference, trusting both teams' overall weakness
+15.0%
WHY PHILADELPHIA UNION CHALLENGED
34%
Both teams in relegation zone with poor form — Orlando 2–3 in last 5, Union 1–4; limited quality expected
+25.0%
Orlando home form (WLWLW) erratic but slightly better than Union away (LLDLW); marginal home edge only
+20.0%
SportMonks leans home (38.8%) vs bookmaker (31.3%) — AI splits the difference, trusting both teams' overall weakness
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Both teams in relegation zone with poor form — Orlando 2–3 in last 5, Union 1–4; limited quality expected
  • Orlando home form (WLWLW) erratic but slightly better than Union away (LLDLW); marginal home edge only
  • SportMonks leans home (38.8%) vs bookmaker (31.3%) — AI splits the difference, trusting both teams' overall weakness
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 0 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.3
6.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
1
13.8
13.5
6.6
2.2
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.0
6.9
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.4
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 13.8%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 13.3%
2 — 0 7.0%
Top 5 = 61.2% · rest 38.8%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.93
40.0%
2.50
+17.1%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.66
66.0%
1.52
+9.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.70
59.0%
1.69
+0.3%
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Both Teams Score — YES
16 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.55
64.0%
1.56
-0.5%
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Draw
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.60
26.0%
3.85
-6.3%
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HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.26
74.0%
1.35
-6.9%
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Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.36
60.0%
1.67
-18.7%
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AWAY to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.20
34.0%
2.94
-25.2%
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⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.