Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 · GROUP 6 - 32 · SUN 26 APR · 16:00 LOCAL
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ONTINYENT 1931
FT
0 1
FULL TIME
HéRCULES II
GOALS
⚽ 47' H. Abdelilah
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 35/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
ONT
1 1
most likely scoreline · 14.4% probability
AI PICKS ONTINYENT 1931 TO WIN 38%
FT 0 – 1
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
ONT WIN 38%
DRAW 38%
Hé WIN 24%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 76% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 76% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Goalless at 30'; minimal data on either team—treat as weak heuristic, not actionable.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY ONTINYENT 1931 FAVORED
38%
0-0 at halfway point with no significant events suggests tight, low-chance match
CONTEXT
H2H shows 1 prior meeting (Hércules won 1-0); very limited history
CONTEXT
Ontinyent recent form L, Hércules recent form W, but only single-match samples
CONTEXT
WHY HéRCULES II CHALLENGED
24%
0-0 at halfway point with no significant events suggests tight, low-chance match
CONTEXT
H2H shows 1 prior meeting (Hércules won 1-0); very limited history
CONTEXT
Ontinyent recent form L, Hércules recent form W, but only single-match samples
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 0-0 at halfway point with no significant events suggests tight, low-chance match
  • H2H shows 1 prior meeting (Hércules won 1-0); very limited history
  • Ontinyent recent form L, Hércules recent form W, but only single-match samples
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT 47' H. ABDELIL
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 1 event marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.4%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.7
6.0
1.9
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.4
13.5
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.6
7.2
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.7
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.4%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 12.7%
2 — 0 7.6%
Top 5 = 61.7% · rest 38.3%