AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · DRAW 38%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Europa Conference League · 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND · THU, 13 AUG · 17:30 LOCAL
NSI RUNAVIK
LAST 5:
L W L W D
FT
2 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
FC LUGANO
W W W
· LAST 5
⚽ 29' Petur Knudsen ⚽ 61' Marius Lindh
GOALS
⚽ 66' Yanis Cimignani ⚽ 79' Kevin Behrens
Petur Knudsen
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Petur Knudsen
NSI Runavik · Captain · 89 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 23% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

40%
BALL POSSESSION %
60%
6
TOTAL SHOTS
18
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
9
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
91%
4
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Petur Knudsen · assist S. Skytte
    NSI
  2. 61'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Marius Lindh · assist Petur Knudsen
    NSI
  3. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Daniel Dos Santos · assist Mattia Zanotti
    FC
  4. 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yanis Cimignani · assist Mattia Zanotti
    FC
  5. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Beinir Nolsøe · assist Klæmint Olsen
    NSI
  6. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Marius Lindh · assist Alex Freyr Elísson
    NSI
  7. 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kevin Behrens · assist Renato Steffen
    FC
  8. 82'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Emil Joensen
    NSI
  9. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Michał Przybylski · assist Tobias Hestad
    NSI
  10. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jann Benjaminsen · assist Markus Danielsen
    NSI
  11. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Elias Pihlström · assist Dereck Moncada
    FC
  12. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Renato Steffen · assist Ahmed Kendouci
    FC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NSI RUNAVIK AVG 7.6
FC LUGANO AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
6.0
TOTAL SHOTS
18.0
4.0
ON TARGET
9.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
1.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
40.0%
POSSESSION %
60.0%
385.0
PASSES
581.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
91.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
3.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
13.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
8.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NSI RUNAVIK 4 shots
Petur Knudsen
1/2
Marius Lindh
2/2
FC LUGANO 11 shots
Kevin Behrens
4/7
Uran Bislimi
0/2
Renato Steffen
1/1
Yanis Cimignani
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 58%
42% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 3-4-1-2
SUBSTITUTES · NSI RUNAVIK
10
Klæmint Olse...
F
9
Tobias Hesta...
M
22
Jóel Tróndar...
D
5
Alex Freyr E...
D
30
Dánial Danie...
G
1
Kristian Joe...
G
28
Markus Danie...
F
COACH: Sigurdur Eyjolfsson
SUBSTITUTES · FC LUGANO
23
Gjan Ajdin
M
22
Beckham Cast...
F
14
Ahmed Kendou...
M
44
Carbone
D
46
Mattia Zanot...
D
4
Damian Kelvi...
D
3
Hannes Delcr...
D
39
Ahmadou Ndia...
G
28
Felix Gebhar...
G
30
Dereck Monca...
F
COACH: Mattia Croci-Torti
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NSI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Robert Hennessy, Ireland
NSI MANAGER
Sigurdur Eyjolfsson
head coach
FC MANAGER
Mattia Croci-Torti
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
NSI WINS
1
DRAWS
0
FC WINS
100%
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 1
NSI RUNAVIK LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L W D
FC LUGANO LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Renato Steffen
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Elias Pihlström
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jann Benjaminsen
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Michał Przybylski
  • 82'
    Card · Yellow Card · Emil Joensen
  • 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kevin Behrens
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Marius Lindh
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Beinir Nolsøe
  • 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yanis Cimignani
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Daniel Dos Santos
  • 61'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Marius Lindh
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Petur Knudsen
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
NSI RUNAVIK WIN
6.59
15.2% implied
↑ best 8.00
DRAW
4.92
20.3% implied
↑ best 5.50
FC LUGANO WIN
1.37
73% implied
↑ best 1.42

Market favors FC Lugano. AI projects DRAW 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 6.60 4.90 1.36 +19.8%
1xBet 7.18 5.10 1.42 +21.1%
888Sport 6.50 4.75 1.36 +19.6%
Bet365 5.50 4.75 1.42 +16.9%
Betano 6.10 4.90 1.42 +18.6%
Betfair 6.00 5.00 1.33 +18.3%
BetVictor 7.00 5.00 1.36 +20.7%
Dafabet 6.60 5.00 1.39 +19.8%
Marathonbet 6.85 4.80 1.38 +20.4%
Pinnacle 5.88 4.89 1.41 +18.0%
SBO 5.99 4.34 1.34 +18.3%
Superbet 8.00 5.50 1.30 +22.5%
Unibet 7.50 5.25 1.32 +21.7%
William Hill 6.50 4.75 1.36 +19.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.12 U 5.20
2.5 O 1.45 U 2.53
3.5 O 2.17 U 1.64
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.68 11 bks
NO
2.06 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.10
Away -0.5 1.09
Away -1.5 1.02
Away +0 1.12
Away +0.25 1.25
Away +0.5 1.35
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.