GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–1 · SWANSEA 40%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 45 · SAT, 25 APR · 14:00 LOCAL
NORWICH
9TH · 65 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W L W
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
SWANSEA
W W L W D
· 11TH · 64 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 83' K. McLean (P)
GOALS
⚽ 53' Žan Vipotnik (P)
K. McLean
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
K. McLean
Norwich · Captain · 97 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 41% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Championship: Norwich City vs Swansea
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Championship: Norwich City vs Swansea
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.95
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.18
50%
BALL POSSESSION %
50%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
8
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
78%
PASS ACCURACY %
77%
5
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 25'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Marko Stamenić
    SWA
  2. 43'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Eom Ji-Sung
    SWA
  3. 53'
    Goal · Penalty
    Žan Vipotnik
    SWA
  4. 59'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Pelle Mattsson
    NOR
  5. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Joel Ward · assist Josh Key
    SWA
  6. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Žan Vipotnik · assist Adam Idah
    SWA
  7. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Anis Ben Slimane · assist Ali Ahmed
    NOR
  8. 64'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kellen Fisher
    NOR
  9. 67'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Josh Tymon
    SWA
  10. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Gonçalo Franco · assist Liam Cullen
    SWA
  11. 69'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ali Ahmed
    NOR
  12. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Eom Ji-Sung · assist Leo Walta
    SWA
  13. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Malick Yalcouyé · assist Melker Widell
    SWA
  14. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Paris Maghoma · assist Jacob Wright
    NOR
  15. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Mohamed Touré · assist Mathias Kvistgaarden
    NOR
  16. 78'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Melker Widell
    SWA
  17. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    L. Vigouroux
    SWA
  18. 83'
    Goal · Penalty
    K. McLean
    NOR
  19. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Liam Gibbs · assist Forson Amankwah
    NOR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NORWICH AVG 7.2
SWANSEA AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.0
xG
1.2
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
8.0
ON TARGET
2.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
3.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
50.0%
POSSESSION %
50.0%
424.0
PASSES
428.0
78.0%
PASS ACCURACY
77.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
2.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
9.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
5.0
1.0
GK SAVES
8.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NORWICH 5 shots
K. McLean
2/3
Harry Darling
0/2
SWANSEA 1 shots
Žan Vipotnik
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.95 – 1.18
1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.0 0.0 HT 83' 53' H 1.95 A 1.18 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 42%
58% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
VLADAN KO
 6.9
35
KELLEN FI
33
JOSé CóRD
 7.0
6
HARRY DAR
3
JACK STAC
 7.9
23
K. MCLEAN
 7.2
7
PELLE MAT
8
LIAM GIBB
20
ANIS BEN
25
PARIS MAG
37
MOHAMED T
 7.3
22
L. VIGOUR
14
JOSH TYMO
15
CAMERON B
 7.0
5
BEN CABAN
 6.9
25
JOEL WARD
6
MARKO STA
 7.0
8
MALICK YA
10
EOM JI-SU
17
GONçALO F
35
RONALD
 7.7
9
ŽAN VIPOT
SUBSTITUTES · NORWICH
46
Errol Mundle...
F
18
Forson Amank...
M
26
Sam Field
M
16
Jacob Wright
M
21
Ali Ahmed
D
27
Jeffrey Schl...
M
15
Ruairi McCon...
D
32
Daniel Grims...
G
30
Mathias Kvis...
F
COACH: Philippe Clement
SUBSTITUTES · SWANSEA
33
Adam Idah
F
7
Melker Widel...
M
31
O. Cooper
M
4
Jay Fulton
M
21
Leo Walta
M
2
Josh Key
D
23
Ricardo
D
1
Andrew Fishe...
G
20
Liam Cullen
F
COACH: Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SWA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Thomas Parsons, England
—
NOR MANAGER
Philippe Clement
head coach
SWA MANAGER
Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
NOR WINS
2
DRAWS
5
SWA WINS
30%
20%
50%
12 – 14
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
25 Oct 2025
Swansea
2 – 1
Norwich
L
25 Jan 2025
Norwich
5 – 1
Swansea
W
14 Sep 2024
Swansea
1 – 0
Norwich
L
27 Apr 2024
Norwich
2 – 2
Swansea
D
04 Oct 2023
Swansea
2 – 1
Norwich
L
NORWICH LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W L W
SWANSEA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
NORWICH #9
Lost · already at 65 pts
SWANSEA #11
Lost · already at 64 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 +52 95
W W W D D
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 +33 84
W D D W D
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 +15 83
L D W D W
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 +26 80
W D W D D
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 +25 80
L L D D W
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 +4 73
W W D W L
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 +4 71
D L W W L
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 +8 69
L W L W L
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 +7 65
L D W W L
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 +1 64
D W W D W
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 -2 64
W D W L W
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 0 62
W L D L D
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 0 60
W L L W W
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 -7 60
L W L L W
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 -12 58
L L L L D
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 -12 57
L L L L L
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 -5 55
L L L L D
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 -15 55
D W L W W
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 -14 53
L W L D L
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 -14 52
L W D L D
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 -10 51
L D W W D
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 -14 47
L W L L W
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 -10 46
W D D L L
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 -60 0
W L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Liam Gibbs
  • 83'
    Goal · Penalty · K. McLean
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · L. Vigouroux
  • 78'
    Card · Yellow Card · Melker Widell
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Mohamed Touré
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Paris Maghoma
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Malick Yalcouyé
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Eom Ji-Sung
  • 69'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ali Ahmed
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Gonçalo Franco
  • 67'
    Card · Yellow Card · Josh Tymon
  • 64'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kellen Fisher
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Anis Ben Slimane
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Žan Vipotnik
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Joel Ward
  • 59'
    Card · Yellow Card · Pelle Mattsson
  • 53'
    Goal · Penalty · Žan Vipotnik
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 43'
    Card · Yellow Card · Eom Ji-Sung
  • 25'
    Card · Yellow Card · Marko Stamenić
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
NORWICH WIN
1.68
59.5% implied
↑ best 1.72
DRAW
3.94
25.4% implied
↑ best 4.20
SWANSEA WIN
4.72
21.2% implied
↑ best 5.00

Market favors Norwich. AI projects SWANSEA 40%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SWANSEA 40% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.68 3.80 4.70 +18.7%
1xBet 1.67 3.95 4.64 +18.4%
888Sport 1.67 3.80 4.50 +17.8%
Bet365 1.67 3.90 5.00 +20.0%
Betano 1.72 3.85 4.85 +19.4%
Betfair 1.67 4.00 4.75 +18.9%
BetVictor 1.65 4.00 5.00 +20.0%
Dafabet 1.71 4.10 4.70 +18.7%
Marathonbet 1.65 3.95 4.70 +18.7%
Pinnacle 1.71 4.16 4.68 +18.6%
SBO 1.67 3.72 4.56 +18.1%
Unibet 1.62 4.20 4.80 +19.2%
William Hill 1.70 3.80 4.50 +17.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.06
2.5 O 1.71 U 2.11
3.5 O 2.73 U 1.42
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.69 10 bks
NO
2.06 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.60
Away -0.5 2.19
Away -0.75 1.95
Away -1 1.68
Away -1.25 1.52
Away -1.5 1.41
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.