GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · NORWAY 48%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · GROUP STAGE - 2 · TUE, 23 JUN · 00:00 LOCAL
NORWAY
2ND · 6 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W L W
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
SENEGAL
L W L D
· 8TH · 3 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 43' Marcus Pedersen ⚽ 48' Erling Haaland ⚽ 58' Erling Haaland
GOALS
⚽ 53' I. Sarr ⚽ 90+3' I. Sarr
Erling Haaland
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Erling Haaland
Norway · 90 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 6% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.10
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.70
42%
BALL POSSESSION %
58%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
16
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
88%
5
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 13'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Julian Ryerson · assist Marcus Pedersen
    NOR
  2. 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Marcus Pedersen
    NOR
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Fredrik Aursnes · assist Patrick Berg
    NOR
  4. 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Erling Haaland · assist M. Ødegaard
    NOR
  5. 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    I. Sarr · assist S. Mané
    SEN
  6. 54'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    E. Diouf · assist Ismail Jakobs
    SEN
  7. 54'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Pape Gueye · assist Ibrahim Mbaye
    SEN
  8. 58'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Erling Haaland · assist Patrick Berg
    NOR
  9. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    É. Mendy · assist Mory Diaw
    SEN
  10. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Lamine Camara · assist Pathé Ismaël Ciss
    SEN
  11. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Antonio Nusa · assist Andreas Schjelderup
    NOR
  12. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kalidou Koulibaly · assist Pape Matar Sarr
    SEN
  13. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Torbjørn Heggem · assist Leo Østigård
    NOR
  14. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Alexander Sørloth · assist Oscar Bobb
    NOR
  15. 90'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal
    I. Sarr · assist Nicolas Jackson
    SEN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NORWAY AVG 7.5
SENEGAL AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.1
xG
1.7
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
7.0
ON TARGET
4.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
3.0
BLOCKED
6.0
POSSESSION
42.0%
POSSESSION %
58.0%
352.0
PASSES
487.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
88.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
4.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
5.0
2.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NORWAY 7 shots
Erling Haaland
3/4
M. Ødegaard
1/2
Marcus Pedersen
1/1
SENEGAL 5 shots
I. Sarr
3/4
I. Gueye
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.10 – 1.70
1.7 1.3 0.8 0.4 2.1 0.0 HT 43' 48' 58' 53' 90' H 2.10 A 1.70 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
1
Ø. NYLAND
5
D. MøLLER
 7.0
17
TORBJøRN
3
K. AJER
26
JULIAN RY
14
FREDRIK A
8
SANDER BE
 7.2
10
M. ØDEGAA
20
ANTONIO N
 8.7
9
ERLING HA
7
ALEXANDER
16
É. MENDY
25
E. DIOUF
 7.9
19
MOUSSA NI
3
KALIDOU K
15
K. DIATTA
26
PAPE GUEY
 7.3
5
I. GUEYE
10
S. MANé
8
LAMINE CA
 8.2
18
I. SARR
11
NICOLAS J
SUBSTITUTES · NORWAY
24
Sondre Kling...
D
25
H. Falchener
D
19
Thelo Aasgaa...
M
18
Kristian Tho...
M
2
Morten Thors...
M
11
J. Strand La...
F
15
Fredrik Andr...
D
13
Egil Selvik
G
12
S. Tangvik
G
22
Oscar Bobb
M
4
Leo Østigård
D
21
Andreas Schj...
F
6
Patrick Berg
M
16
Marcus Peder...
D
23
Jens Petter...
M
COACH: Stale Solbakken
SUBSTITUTES · SENEGAL
24
Antoine Mend...
D
22
Bara Ndiaye
M
13
I. Ndiaye
F
21
H. Diarra
M
7
Assane Diao
F
9
Ahmadou Bamb...
F
4
Abdoulaye Se...
D
2
Mamadou Sarr
D
1
Y. Diouf
G
17
Pape Matar S...
M
6
Pathé Ismaël...
M
23
Mory Diaw
G
20
Ibrahim Mbay...
F
14
Ismail Jakob...
D
12
Cherif Ndiay...
F
COACH: Bouna Thiaw Pape
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SEN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Wilton Pereira Sampaio, Brazil
—
NOR MANAGER
Stale Solbakken
head coach
SEN MANAGER
Bouna Thiaw Pape
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
NOR WINS
1
DRAWS
0
SEN WINS
100%
NORWAY LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W L W
SENEGAL LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–2 · result locked
NORWAY #2
Won · already at 6 pts
Round of 32
SENEGAL #3
Lost · already at 3 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal · I. Sarr
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Alexander Sørloth
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Torbjørn Heggem
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kalidou Koulibaly
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Antonio Nusa
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Lamine Camara
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · É. Mendy
  • 58'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Erling Haaland
  • 54'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Pape Gueye
  • 54'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · E. Diouf
  • 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal · I. Sarr
  • 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Erling Haaland
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Fredrik Aursnes
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Marcus Pedersen
  • 13'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Julian Ryerson
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
NORWAY WIN
2.25
44.4% implied
↑ best 2.35
DRAW
3.39
29.5% implied
↑ best 3.50
SENEGAL WIN
3.23
31% implied
↑ best 3.50

Market favors Norway. AI projects NORWAY 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NORWAY 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.20 3.35 3.20 +2.5%
1xBet 2.34 3.48 3.34 +5.3%
888Sport 2.20 3.20 3.10 +2.5%
Bet365 2.25 3.50 3.10 +3.6%
Betano 2.35 3.45 3.25 +5.4%
Betfair 2.30 3.40 3.25 +4.5%
BetVictor 2.20 3.40 3.13 +2.5%
Dafabet 2.08 3.40 3.50 -0.1%
Marathonbet 2.31 3.44 3.30 +4.7%
Pinnacle 2.34 3.45 3.29 +5.3%
SBO 2.19 3.40 3.22 +2.3%
Superbet 2.30 3.40 3.20 +4.5%
Unibet 2.23 3.30 3.30 +3.2%
William Hill 2.25 3.25 3.10 +3.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.28 U 3.56
2.5 O 1.91 U 1.90
3.5 O 3.29 U 1.32
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.70 11 bks
NO
2.07 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.91
Away -0.5 1.67
Away -0.75 1.49
Away -1 1.31
Away -1.25 1.26
Away -1.5 1.20
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.