GOALSENSE
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Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 9 · WED, 22 APR · 23:30 LOCAL
NEW YORK RED BULLS
5TH · 22 PTS · LAST 5:
W D W W L
FT
4 – 4
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
DC UNITED
D D L D W
· 9TH · 18 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 15' Julian Hall ⚽ 21' Ronald Donkor ⚽ 52' Jorge Ruvalcaba ⚽ 71' Jorge Ruvalcaba
GOALS
⚽ 37' Tai Baribo ⚽ 54' Jackson Hopkins ⚽ 59' Tai Baribo ⚽ 80' Tai Baribo
Tai Baribo
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Tai Baribo
DC United · 97 mins
⚽ 3 goals · 16% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
10.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.34
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
3.41
51%
BALL POSSESSION %
49%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
14
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
76%
3
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 15'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Julian Hall · assist Ronald Donkor
    NEW
  2. 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ronald Donkor
    NEW
  3. 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tai Baribo · assist Jackson Hopkins
    DC
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Matthew Dos Santos · assist Joyeux Masanka Bungi
    NEW
  5. 50'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Adri Mehmeti
    NEW
  6. 52'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jorge Ruvalcaba · assist Emil Forsberg
    NEW
  7. 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jackson Hopkins · assist João Peglow
    DC
  8. 59'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tai Baribo · assist João Peglow
    DC
  9. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Adri Mehmeti · assist Gustav Berggren
    NEW
  10. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Rafael Mosquera · assist Mohammed Sofo
    NEW
  11. 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jorge Ruvalcaba · assist Ronald Donkor
    NEW
  12. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Aaron Herrera · assist Caden Clark
    DC
  13. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jorge Ruvalcaba · assist Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
    NEW
  14. 80'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tai Baribo · assist Silvan Hefti
    DC
  15. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jackson Hopkins · assist Jacob Murrell
    DC
  16. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Brandon Servania · assist Nikola Markovic
    DC
  17. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matti Peltola
    DC
  18. 90'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Caden Clark
    DC
  19. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 4
    João Peglow · assist Jared Stroud
    DC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NEW YORK RED BULLS AVG 7.9
DC UNITED AVG 7.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.3
xG
3.4
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
5.0
ON TARGET
5.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
6.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
51.0%
POSSESSION %
49.0%
453.0
PASSES
421.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
76.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
3.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
13.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NEW YORK RED BULLS 6 shots
Jorge Ruvalcaba
2/3
Ronald Donkor
1/1
Julian Hall
1/1
Emil Forsberg
1/1
DC UNITED 9 shots
Tai Baribo
3/4
Jackson Hopkins
2/3
João Peglow
0/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.34 – 3.41
2.7 2 1.4 0.7 3.4 0.0 HT 15' 21' 52' 71' 37' 54' 59' 80' H 1.34 A 3.41 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
4-4-2
34
ETHAN HOR
 9.0
11
JORGE RUV
 7.7
16
JULIAN HA
79
RAFAEL MO
 6.9
10
EMIL FORS
 6.9
15
ADRI MEHM
 9.0
48
RONALD DO
56
MATTHEW D
6
ROBERT VO
12
DYLAN NEA
3
JAHKEELE
1
SEAN JOHN
6
KEISUKE K
15
KYE ROWLE
3
LUCAS BAR
 7.6
5
SILVAN HE
 6.9
7
JOãO PEGL
23
BRANDON S
 6.9
4
MATTI PEL
22
AARON HER
 10.0
9
TAI BARIB
 8.3
25
JACKSON H
SUBSTITUTES · NEW YORK RED BULLS
20
Juan Mina
D
26
Tim Parker
D
39
Nehuen Bened...
M
37
Mohammed Sof...
F
7
Cade Cowell
F
4
Gustav Bergg...
M
13
Eric Maxim C...
F
77
John McCarth...
G
23
Joyeux Masan...
M
SUBSTITUTES · DC UNITED
48
Gavin Turner
M
30
Caden Clark
M
12
Conner Antle...
D
17
Jacob Murrel...
F
77
Hosei Kijima
M
8
Jared Stroud
M
26
Alex Bono
G
24
Jordan Farr
G
27
Nikola Marko...
D
COACH: Rene Weiler
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

DC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. De Oliveira
—
NEW MANAGER
—
unannounced
DC MANAGER
Rene Weiler
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
NEW WINS
4
DRAWS
1
DC WINS
50%
40%
10%
21 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
24 May 2025
DC United
0 – 2
New York Red Bulls
W
19 Apr 2025
New York Red Bulls
1 – 2
DC United
L
29 Jun 2024
New York Red Bulls
2 – 2
DC United
D
15 May 2024
DC United
1 – 4
New York Red Bulls
W
23 Sep 2023
DC United
3 – 5
New York Red Bulls
W
NEW YORK RED BULLS LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W W L
DC UNITED LAST 5 OVERALL
D D L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 4–4 · result locked
NEW YORK RED BULLS #5
Lost · already at 22 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
DC UNITED #9
Lost · already at 18 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 4 · João Peglow
  • 90'
    Card · Yellow Card · Caden Clark
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matti Peltola
    Foul
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Brandon Servania
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jackson Hopkins
  • 80'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tai Baribo
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jorge Ruvalcaba
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Aaron Herrera
  • 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jorge Ruvalcaba
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Rafael Mosquera
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Adri Mehmeti
  • 59'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tai Baribo
  • 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jackson Hopkins
  • 52'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jorge Ruvalcaba
  • 50'
    Card · Yellow Card · Adri Mehmeti
    Foul
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Matthew Dos Santos
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tai Baribo
  • 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ronald Donkor
  • 15'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Julian Hall
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
NEW YORK RED BUL WIN
1.86
53.8% implied
↑ best 1.93
DRAW
3.69
27.1% implied
↑ best 3.85
DC UNITED WIN
3.90
25.6% implied
↑ best 4.00
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2
10Bet 1.84 3.65 3.95
888Sport 1.85 3.50 3.75
Bet365 1.85 3.75 4.00
Betano 1.93 3.85 4.00
Betfair 1.85 3.75 3.90
BetVictor 1.85 3.70 3.90
Dafabet 1.89 3.80 4.00
Marathonbet 1.84 3.66 3.92
Pinnacle 1.92 3.85 3.95
SBO 1.87 3.50 3.73
Unibet 1.82 3.80 4.00
William Hill 1.85 3.50 3.75

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.22 U 4.08
2.5 O 1.73 U 2.08
3.5 O 2.79 U 1.41
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.65 9 bks
NO
2.13 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.25
Away -0.5 1.94
Away -0.75 1.71
Away -1 1.51
Away -1.25 1.38
Away -1.5 1.32
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.