GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–2 · CHARLOTTE 93%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · SAT, 25 JUL · 22:30 LOCAL
NEW YORK RED BULLS
8TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5:
D L L W L
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-2
CHARLOTTE
W D W L D
· 5TH · 32 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 7' Pep Biel ⚽ 12' A. Westwood
K. Kahlina
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
K. Kahlina
Charlotte · 91 mins
· 27% pass acc
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.33
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.27
65%
BALL POSSESSION %
35%
23
TOTAL SHOTS
3
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
89%
PASS ACCURACY %
77%
5
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Pep Biel · assist L. Abada
    CHA
  2. 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    A. Westwood · assist Kerwin Calderón Vargas
    CHA
  3. 48'
    Card · Yellow Card
    L. Abada
    CHA
  4. 56'
    Card · Yellow Card
    J. Ruvalcaba
    NEW
  5. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Harry Toffolo · assist Will Cleary
    CHA
  6. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    C. Cowell · assist M. Sofo
    NEW
  7. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    D. Nealis · assist Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
    NEW
  8. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    E. Forsberg · assist M. Jimenez
    NEW
  9. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    L. de la Torre · assist D. Diani
    CHA
  10. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    L. Abada · assist Tyger Smalls
    CHA
  11. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Adri Mehmeti
    NEW
  12. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Idan Toklomati Jorno · assist Archie Goodwin
    CHA
  13. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Pep Biel · assist B. Bronico
    CHA
  14. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    M. Dos Santos · assist O. Valencia
    NEW
  15. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    J. Ruvalcaba · assist Andy Rojas
    NEW
  16. 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
    O. Valencia
    NEW
  17. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Justin Che
    NEW
  18. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Adri Mehmeti
    NEW
  19. 90'+3
    Card · Red Card
    Adri Mehmeti
    NEW
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NEW YORK RED BULLS AVG 7.1
CHARLOTTE AVG 7.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.3
xG
0.3
23.0
TOTAL SHOTS
3.0
6.0
ON TARGET
3.0
11.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
6.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
65.0%
POSSESSION %
35.0%
633.0
PASSES
346.0
89.0%
PASS ACCURACY
77.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
1.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
5.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NEW YORK RED BULLS 6 shots
J. Ruvalcaba
1/3
Adri Mehmeti
1/2
Ronald Donkor
0/1
CHARLOTTE 2 shots
A. Westwood
1/1
Pep Biel
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.33 – 0.27
1.9 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.3 0.0 HT 7' 12' H 2.33 A 0.27 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 58%
42% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
34
ETHAN HOR
 7.0
56
M. DOS SA
14
JULIáN BA
 6.9
2
JUSTIN CH
12
D. NEALIS
10
E. FORSBE
 7.2
15
ADRI MEHM
 7.7
48
RONALD DO
 6.9
11
J. RUVALC
16
J. HALL
7
C. COWELL
 8.2
1
K. KAHLIN
15
HARRY TOF
22
H. KESSLE
 7.3
44
MORRISON
14
N. BYRNE
17
L. DE LA
 7.9
8
A. WESTWO
11
L. ABADA
 7.7
16
PEP BIEL
 7.3
18
KERWIN CA
9
IDAN TOKL
SUBSTITUTES · NEW YORK RED BULLS
70
Andy Rojas
F
80
Nathan Worth
M
37
M. Sofo
F
4
Gustav Bergg...
M
3
Jahkeele Mar...
D
5
O. Valencia
D
26
Tim Parker
D
77
John McCarth...
G
91
M. Jimenez
F
SUBSTITUTES · CHARLOTTE
25
Tyger Smalls
F
37
R. Aloko
F
13
B. Bronico
M
28
D. Diani
M
3
T. Ream
D
35
Will Cleary
D
4
A. Privett
D
21
T. Miller
G
7
Archie Goodw...
F
COACH: Dean Smith
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CHA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
R. Mendoza
—
NEW MANAGER
—
unannounced
CHA MANAGER
Dean Smith
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
NEW WINS
3
DRAWS
3
CHA WINS
40%
30%
30%
19 – 18
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
21 Mar 2026
Charlotte
6 – 1
New York Red Bulls
L
24 Aug 2025
Charlotte
1 – 0
New York Red Bulls
L
28 May 2025
New York Red Bulls
4 – 2
Charlotte
W
24 Aug 2024
Charlotte
1 – 1
New York Red Bulls
D
29 May 2024
New York Red Bulls
3 – 1
Charlotte
W
NEW YORK RED BULLS LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L W L
CHARLOTTE LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–2 · result locked
NEW YORK RED BULLS #8
Lost · already at 26 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
CHARLOTTE #5
Won · already at 32 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Card · Red Card · Adri Mehmeti
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Adri Mehmeti
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Justin Che
  • 85'
    Card · Yellow Card · O. Valencia
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · J. Ruvalcaba
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · M. Dos Santos
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Pep Biel
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Idan Toklomati Jorno
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card · Adri Mehmeti
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · L. Abada
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · L. de la Torre
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · E. Forsberg
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · D. Nealis
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · C. Cowell
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Harry Toffolo
  • 56'
    Card · Yellow Card · J. Ruvalcaba
  • 48'
    Card · Yellow Card · L. Abada
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 2
  • 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal · A. Westwood
  • 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Pep Biel
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
NEW YORK RED BUL WIN
2.20
45.5% implied
↑ best 2.26
DRAW
3.83
26.1% implied
↑ best 4.00
CHARLOTTE WIN
2.89
34.6% implied
↑ best 3.00

Market favors New York Red Bulls. AI projects CHARLOTTE 93%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CHARLOTTE 93% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.18 4.00 2.76 +56.8%
Bet365 2.20 3.90 2.90 +58.5%
Betano 2.22 4.00 2.85 +57.9%
Betfair 2.20 3.80 2.88 +58.3%
BetVictor 2.15 3.90 2.88 +58.3%
Dafabet 2.26 3.90 2.95 +59.1%
Marathonbet 2.17 3.80 2.88 +58.3%
Pinnacle 2.23 3.95 3.00 +59.7%
SBO 2.20 3.69 2.76 +56.8%
Superbet 2.25 3.80 2.92 +58.8%
Unibet 2.18 3.65 3.00 +59.7%
William Hill 2.15 3.60 2.88 +58.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.12 U 6.08
2.5 O 1.42 U 2.79
3.5 O 2.05 U 1.75
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.38 9 bks
NO
2.83 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.88
Away -0.5 1.67
Away -0.75 1.51
Away -1 1.35
Away -1.25 1.29
Away -1.5 1.23
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.