GOALSENSE
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Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 9 · WED, 22 APR · 23:30 LOCAL
NEW YORK CITY FC
8TH · 19 PTS · LAST 5:
L D W W L
FT
4 – 4
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
FC CINCINNATI
W D L D W
· 7TH · 20 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 20' Nicolás Fernández ⚽ 35' Nicolás Fernández ⚽ 53' Agustin Ojeda ⚽ 79' Talles Magno
GOALS
⚽ 32' Kévin Denkey ⚽ 65' Kévin Denkey ⚽ 90' Andrei Chirila ⚽ 90' Evander (P)
Nicolás Fernández
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Nicolás Fernández
New York City FC · 84 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 36% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
10.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.56
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.49
55%
BALL POSSESSION %
45%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
12
9
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
83%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
2
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 22 events
  1. 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Nicolás Fernández
    NEW
  2. 23'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    T. Hadebe · assist A. Powell
    FC
  3. 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kévin Denkey · assist Ender Echenique
    FC
  4. 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Nicolás Fernández · assist Maxi Moralez
    NEW
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    FC
  6. 50'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gilberto Flores
    FC
  7. 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Agustin Ojeda · assist Aiden O'Neill
    NEW
  8. 59'
    Var · Goal cancelled
    Evander
    FC
  9. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Gilberto Flores · assist Tah Anunga
    FC
  10. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ender Echenique · assist Gerardo Valenzuela
    FC
  11. 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kévin Denkey · assist Gerardo Valenzuela
    FC
  12. 71'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kyle Smith
    FC
  13. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Hannes Wolf · assist Keaton Parks
    NEW
  14. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Maxi Moralez · assist Talles Magno
    NEW
  15. 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Talles Magno · assist Agustin Ojeda
    NEW
  16. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Tom Barlow · assist Ayoub Jabbari
    FC
  17. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Agustin Ojeda · assist Jonathan Shore
    NEW
  18. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Nicolás Fernández · assist Arnau Farnos
    NEW
  19. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Tayvon Gray · assist Strahinja Tanasijević
    NEW
  20. 90'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Andrei Chirila · assist Pavel Bucha
    FC
  21. 90'
    Goal · Penalty
    Evander
    FC
  22. 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tah Anunga
    FC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NEW YORK CITY FC AVG 8.0
FC CINCINNATI AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
1.5
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
9.0
ON TARGET
6.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
3.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
55.0%
POSSESSION %
45.0%
555.0
PASSES
447.0
83.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
4.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
9.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
2.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NEW YORK CITY FC 8 shots
Agustin Ojeda
2/3
Nicolás Fernández
2/2
Maxi Moralez
0/2
Talles Magno
1/1
FC CINCINNATI 5 shots
Kévin Denkey
2/2
Evander
2/2
Andrei Chirila
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.56 – 1.49
1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 20' 35' 53' 79' 32' 65' 90' 90' H 1.56 A 1.49 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 41%
59% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
13
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-1-2
4-2-3-1
3-4-1-2
49
MATTHEW F
22
K. O&APOS
34
RAUL GUST
13
THIAGO MA
24
TAYVON GR
21
AIDEN O'N
 7.3
5
KAI TREWI
17
HANNES WO
 7.2
10
MAXI MORA
 7.9
26
AGUSTIN O
 10.0
7
NICOLáS F
18
ROMAN CEL
15
T. HADEBE
3
GILBERTO
 6.7
24
KYLE SMIT
17
KENJI MBO
11
SAMUEL GI
20
PAVEL BUC
66
ENDER ECH
 7.7
10
EVANDER
16
TOM BARLO
 8.3
9
KéVIN DEN
SUBSTITUTES · NEW YORK CITY FC
99
Seymour Garf...
F
2
Nico Cavallo
D
32
Jonathan Sho...
M
11
Talles Magno
F
19
Strahinja Ta...
D
29
Máximo Carri...
M
55
Keaton Parks
M
30
Tomás Romero
G
87
Arnau Farno...
F
COACH: Pascal Jansen
SUBSTITUTES · FC CINCINNATI
22
Gerardo Vale...
M
2
A. Powell
D
37
Stiven Jimen...
M
99
Ayoub Jabbar...
F
27
Tah Anunga
M
13
Evan Louro
G
88
Andrei Chiri...
D
COACH: Pat Noonan
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
S. Boiko
—
NEW MANAGER
Pascal Jansen
head coach
FC MANAGER
Pat Noonan
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
NEW WINS
2
DRAWS
4
FC WINS
40%
20%
40%
14 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
23 Aug 2025
FC Cincinnati
0 – 1
New York City FC
W
04 May 2025
New York City FC
1 – 0
FC Cincinnati
W
09 Nov 2024
FC Cincinnati
0 – 0
New York City FC
D
02 Nov 2024
New York City FC
3 – 1
FC Cincinnati
W
28 Oct 2024
FC Cincinnati
1 – 0
New York City FC
L
NEW YORK CITY FC LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W W L
FC CINCINNATI LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 4–4 · result locked
NEW YORK CITY FC #8
Lost · already at 19 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
FC CINCINNATI #7
Lost · already at 20 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card · Tah Anunga
    Foul
  • 90'
    Goal · Penalty · Evander
  • 90'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Andrei Chirila
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Tayvon Gray
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Nicolás Fernández
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Agustin Ojeda
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Tom Barlow
  • 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Talles Magno
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Maxi Moralez
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Hannes Wolf
  • 71'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kyle Smith
    Foul
  • 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kévin Denkey
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ender Echenique
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Gilberto Flores
  • 59'
    Var · Goal cancelled · Evander
  • 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Agustin Ojeda
  • 50'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gilberto Flores
    Foul
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Nicolás Fernández
  • 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kévin Denkey
  • 23'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · T. Hadebe
  • 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Nicolás Fernández
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
NEW YORK CITY FC WIN
1.87
53.5% implied
↑ best 1.93
DRAW
3.83
26.1% implied
↑ best 4.03
FC CINCINNATI WIN
3.72
26.9% implied
↑ best 4.10
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2
10Bet 1.84 3.95 3.65
888Sport 1.85 3.60 3.60
Bet365 1.90 3.80 3.90
Betano 1.91 3.90 3.70
Betfair 1.85 3.90 3.75
BetVictor 1.87 3.90 3.60
Dafabet 1.93 3.90 3.75
Marathonbet 1.83 3.84 3.76
Pinnacle 1.91 4.03 3.79
SBO 1.90 3.66 3.48
Unibet 1.77 3.85 4.10
William Hill 1.85 3.60 3.60

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 5.12
2.5 O 1.55 U 2.40
3.5 O 2.34 U 1.57
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.50 9 bks
NO
2.42 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.24
Away -0.5 1.94
Away -0.75 1.72
Away -1 1.51
Away -1.25 1.40
Away -1.5 1.34
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.