GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–0 · DRAW 48%
CONF 72 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · WED, 22 JUL · 23:30 LOCAL
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION
4TH · 34 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L L D
FT
0 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
TORONTO FC
W D W D L
· 10TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5
P. Miller
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
P. Miller
New England Revolution · 90 mins
· 18% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.93
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.23
64%
BALL POSSESSION %
36%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
13
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
91%
PASS ACCURACY %
77%
7
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 11 events
  1. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Emilio Aristizábal · assist Josh Sargent
    TOR
  2. 56'
    Card · Yellow Card
    M. Polster
    NEW
  3. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    G. Yow · assist Marcos Zambrano
    NEW
  4. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Deandre Kerr · assist Malik Henry
    TOR
  5. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jules-Anthony Vilsaint · assist T. Corbeanu
    TOR
  6. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Richard Chukwu · assist Zane Monlouis
    TOR
  7. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    M. Polster · assist L. Langoni
    NEW
  8. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    D. Turgeman · assist W. Harris
    NEW
  9. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    A. Yusuf · assist J. Yueill
    NEW
  10. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ethan Kohler · assist Brayan Ceballos
    NEW
  11. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    B. Raines
    NEW
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION AVG 7.7
TORONTO FC AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.9
xG
1.2
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
3.0
ON TARGET
1.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
2.0
BLOCKED
6.0
POSSESSION
64.0%
POSSESSION %
36.0%
523.0
PASSES
291.0
91.0%
PASS ACCURACY
77.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
8.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
13.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
1.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION 5 shots
Carles Gil
1/4
P. Miller
1/1
TORONTO FC 2 shots
J. Gilman
1/1
Josh Sargent
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.93 – 1.23
1 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.2 0.0 HT H 0.93 A 1.23 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 64%
36% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
4
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
7.9
30
M. TURNER
23
W. SANDS
 7.3
2
M. FOFANA
 7.3
22
ETHAN KOH
8
M. POLSTE
80
A. YUSUF
21
B. RAINES
7
G. YOW
 7.7
10
CARLES GI
 8.3
25
P. MILLER
11
D. TURGEM
 8.0
1
LUKA GAVR
96
RICHARD C
25
WALKER ZI
 7.9
38
J. GILMAN
 7.6
22
R. LARYEA
21
JONATHAN
 7.0
14
ALONSO CO
29
DEANDRE K
20
D. SALLOI
99
JULES-ANT
17
EMILIO AR
SUBSTITUTES · NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION
17
Marcos Zambr...
F
41
L. Langoni
F
14
J. Yueill
M
77
D. Fagundez
M
4
T. Beason
D
15
Cody Baker
D
3
Brayan Cebal...
D
33
D. Parisian
G
27
W. Harris
F
COACH: Marko Mitrovic
SUBSTITUTES · TORONTO FC
9
Josh Sargent
F
78
Malik Henry
M
7
T. Corbeanu
F
44
Raheem Edwar...
D
19
Kobe Frankli...
D
12
Zane Monloui...
D
77
Adisa De Ros...
G
23
William Yarb...
G
11
D. Etienne
F
COACH: Robin Fraser
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

TOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
S. Demianchuk
—
NEW MANAGER
Marko Mitrovic
head coach
TOR MANAGER
Robin Fraser
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
NEW WINS
5
DRAWS
2
TOR WINS
30%
50%
20%
9 – 6
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
15 Aug 2026
Toronto FC
2 – 1
New England Revolution
L
13 Sep 2025
New England Revolution
1 – 1
Toronto FC
D
03 May 2025
Toronto FC
0 – 2
New England Revolution
W
20 Apr 2024
Toronto FC
1 – 0
New England Revolution
L
03 Mar 2024
New England Revolution
0 – 1
Toronto FC
L
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L L D
TORONTO FC LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–0 · result locked
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION #4
Lost · already at 34 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
TORONTO FC #10
Lost · already at 24 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · B. Raines
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ethan Kohler
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · A. Yusuf
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · D. Turgeman
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · M. Polster
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Richard Chukwu
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jules-Anthony Vilsaint
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Deandre Kerr
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · G. Yow
  • 56'
    Card · Yellow Card · M. Polster
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Emilio Aristizábal
8 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 8 BOOKMAKERS
NEW ENGLAND REVO WIN
1.74
57.5% implied
↑ best 1.78
DRAW
3.71
27% implied
↑ best 3.80
TORONTO FC WIN
4.44
22.5% implied
↑ best 4.60

Market favors New England Revolution. AI projects DRAW 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.73 3.75 4.50 +21.3%
Bet365 1.73 3.70 4.50 +21.0%
Betano 1.78 3.80 4.50 +21.7%
Betfair 1.73 3.80 4.50 +21.7%
BetVictor 1.70 3.70 4.20 +21.0%
Dafabet 1.76 3.75 4.60 +21.3%
Marathonbet 1.74 3.64 4.50 +20.5%
William Hill 1.75 3.50 4.20 +19.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.22 U 3.97
2.5 O 1.72 U 2.07
3.5 O 2.79 U 1.41
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.67 6 bks
NO
2.08 6 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.43
Away -0.5 2.08
Away -0.75 1.82
Away -1 1.59
Away -1.25 1.46
Away -1.5 1.36
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.