GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–4 · QARABAG 97% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premyer Liqa · REGULAR SEASON - 29 · SUN 26 APR · 15:00 LOCAL
NEFTCHI BAKU
LAST 5:
L L L L L
FT
1 – 5
FULL TIME HT · 1-3
QARABAG
L L L W W
· LAST 5
⚽ 21' E. Badalov
GOALS
⚽ 9' M. Qurbanly ⚽ 32' M. Qurbanly ⚽ 37' J. Montiel ⚽ 68' Leandro Andrade ⚽ 90+3' —
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap

awaiting upload
Goals, key moments, post-match interviews
Highlightly publishes 30 min – 6 h after final whistle
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    M. Qurbanly
    QAR
  2. 14'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matheus Silva
    QAR
  3. 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    E. Badalov
    NEF
  4. 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    M. Qurbanly
    QAR
  5. 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    J. Montiel
    QAR
  6. 60'
    Card · Yellow Card
    T. Bayramov
    QAR
  7. 60'
    Card · Yellow Card
    L. Ortiz
    NEF
  8. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    I. Mathew · assist J. Rezabala
    NEF
  9. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    L. Ortiz · assist M. Mammadov
    NEF
  10. 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Leandro Andrade
    QAR
  11. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    I. Faraj · assist A. Curci
    NEF
  12. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    F. Vargas · assist B. Sambou
    NEF
  13. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Pedro Bicalho · assist Kady Borges
    QAR
  14. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    M. Qurbanly · assist C. Duran
    QAR
  15. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    E. Mahmudov · assist E. Kuc
    NEF
  16. 83'
    Card · Yellow Card
    J. Rezabala
    NEF
  17. 90'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal
    QAR
MATCH STATS H vs A
Stats not yet available for this fixture.
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
Lineups will be published ~1 hour before kickoff.
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
NEF WINS
0
DRAWS
10
QAR WINS
100%
3 – 35
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
09 Nov 25
Qarabag
2 – 0
Neftchi Baku
L
19 Apr 25
Qarabag
3 – 0
Neftchi Baku
L
16 Feb 25
Neftchi Baku
0 – 1
Qarabag
L
01 Dec 24
Neftchi Baku
0 – 3
Qarabag
L
20 Sep 24
Qarabag
4 – 0
Neftchi Baku
L
NEFTCHI BAKU LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L L
QARABAG LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L W W
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal
  • 83'
    Card · Yellow Card · J. Rezabala
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · E. Mahmudov
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · M. Qurbanly
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Pedro Bicalho
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · F. Vargas
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · I. Faraj
  • 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Leandro Andrade
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · L. Ortiz
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · I. Mathew
  • 60'
    Card · Yellow Card · L. Ortiz
  • 60'
    Card · Yellow Card · T. Bayramov
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 3
  • 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal · J. Montiel
  • 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal · M. Qurbanly
  • 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal · E. Badalov
  • 14'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matheus Silva
  • 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal · M. Qurbanly
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
NEFTCHI BAKU WIN
3.46
28.9% implied
↑ best 3.70
DRAW
3.56
28.1% implied
↑ best 3.75
QARABAG WIN
1.87
53.5% implied
↑ best 1.97

Market favors Qarabag. AI projects QARABAG 97% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS QARABAG 97% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.50 3.45 1.90 +44.4%
1xBet 3.52 3.62 1.85 +42.9%
Bet365 3.50 3.70 1.80 +41.4%
Betano 3.50 3.50 1.93 +45.2%
Betfair 3.50 3.75 1.85 +42.9%
BetVictor 3.70 3.70 1.80 +41.4%
Dafabet 3.45 3.60 1.89 +44.1%
Marathonbet 3.45 3.62 1.83 +42.4%
Pinnacle 3.50 3.74 1.85 +42.9%
SBO 3.40 3.33 1.81 +41.8%
Unibet 3.05 3.35 1.97 +46.2%
William Hill 3.40 3.40 1.91 +44.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.16 U 4.31
2.5 O 1.59 U 2.19
3.5 O 2.46 U 1.45
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.51 7 bks
NO
2.31 7 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.33
Away -0.5 1.30
Away -0.75 1.16
Away -1 1.08
Away -1.25 1.07
Away -1.5 1.05
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.