GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · NECAXA 38%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · APERTURA - 1 · FRI, 17 JUL · 01:00 LOCAL
NECAXA
15TH · 18 PTS · LAST 5:
D L L W L
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
ATLANTE FC
L D W D
· LAST 5
⚽ 80' Julián Carranza (P) ⚽ 90+3' Miguel Pedroza
GOALS
⚽ 47' E. Pizzuto
PREDICTIONS
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 42'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Raúl Martínez
    NEC
  2. 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    E. Pizzuto · assist L. Calzadilla
    ATL
  3. 54'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Agustín Oliveros · assist Francisco Méndez
    NEC
  4. 54'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Carlos Vargas · assist Emilio Rodriguez
    NEC
  5. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    A. Escobar · assist W. Clar
    ATL
  6. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Juan Torres · assist Rogelio Cortéz Pineda
    NEC
  7. 69'
    Card · Yellow Card
    J. N. Carrera
    ATL
  8. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    E. Pizzuto · assist D. Gonzalez
    ATL
  9. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    L. Calzadilla · assist L. Mejia
    ATL
  10. 80'
    Goal · Penalty
    Julián Carranza
    NEC
  11. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Lorenzo Faravelli · assist Miguel Pedroza
    NEC
  12. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    E. Tercero · assist Axl Padilla
    ATL
  13. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    L. Puente · assist J. Charcopa
    ATL
  14. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    W. Portales
    ATL
  15. 90'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Miguel Pedroza · assist Julián Carranza
    NEC
MATCH STATS H vs A
Final stats for this fixture were not recorded.
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
12
LUIS JIME
9
JULIáN CA
10
JAVIER RU
11
JUAN TORR
88
CARLOS VA
8
LORENZO F
6
DANNY LEY
30
RICARDO M
3
AGUSTíN O
4
ALEXIS PE
33
RAúL MART
1
O. JIMENE
7
JHOJAN JU
9
L. PUENTE
19
L. CALZAD
25
MARTíN FE
8
E. PIZZUT
27
A. ESCOBA
3
L. SANCHE
4
E. TERCER
6
J. N. CAR
29
W. PORTAL
SUBSTITUTES · NECAXA
20
Francisco Mé...
90
Juan Valenci...
21
Matías Espín...
14
Mauro Zaleta
27
Miguel Pedro...
2
E. Martínez
16
Pedro Pedraz...
17
Rogelio Cort...
1
Christopher...
99
Emilio Rodri...
COACH: Martin Varini
SUBSTITUTES · ATLANTE FC
16
D. Gonzalez
17
L. Mejia
20
G. Adame
21
Javier Ibarr...
23
Axl Padilla
13
M. Garcia Pa...
15
J. Charcopa
37
W. Clar
22
Roberto Barr...
184
Rubén Couber...
COACH: Ernesto Herrera Aguirre Miguel
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ATL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Y. Peinaldo Aguirre
—
NEC MANAGER
Martin Varini
head coach
ATL MANAGER
Ernesto Herrera Aguirre Miguel
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
NEC WINS
1
DRAWS
0
ATL WINS
100%
NECAXA LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L W L
ATLANTE FC LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W D
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
L D W L D
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
L D W L D
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
W D W D W
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
L W W W L
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
L L W L L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
L L W D W
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
L W W D D
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
D D L W W
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal · Miguel Pedroza
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · W. Portales
    Foul
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · L. Puente
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · E. Tercero
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Lorenzo Faravelli
  • 80'
    Goal · Penalty · Julián Carranza
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · L. Calzadilla
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · E. Pizzuto
  • 69'
    Card · Yellow Card · J. N. Carrera
    Foul
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Juan Torres
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · A. Escobar
  • 54'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Carlos Vargas
  • 54'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Agustín Oliveros
  • 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal · E. Pizzuto
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 42'
    Card · Yellow Card · Raúl Martínez
    Foul
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
NECAXA WIN
1.89
52.9% implied
↑ best 1.95
DRAW
3.60
27.8% implied
↑ best 3.78
ATLANTE FC WIN
3.78
26.5% implied
↑ best 4.10

Market favors Necaxa. AI projects NECAXA 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NECAXA 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.90 3.70 3.65 +8.0%
1xBet 1.90 3.56 3.75 +6.9%
Bet365 1.85 3.60 4.10 +7.2%
Betano 1.95 3.75 4.00 +8.3%
Betfair 1.87 3.70 3.80 +8.0%
BetVictor 1.87 3.70 3.75 +8.0%
Dafabet 1.92 3.65 3.90 +7.6%
Marathonbet 1.88 3.56 3.75 +6.9%
Pinnacle 1.94 3.78 3.83 +8.5%
SBO 1.91 3.26 3.35 +4.3%
Superbet 1.90 3.60 3.80 +7.2%
Unibet 1.84 3.60 3.95 +7.2%
William Hill 1.85 3.40 3.50 +5.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.10
2.5 O 1.70 U 2.10
3.5 O 2.69 U 1.42
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.61 10 bks
NO
2.17 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.18
Away -0.5 1.90
Away -0.75 1.68
Away -1 1.48
Away -1.25 1.37
Away -1.5 1.30
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.