GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–2 · TELSTAR 90% · Value: Over 2.5 72%
CONF 81 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SAT, 08 AUG · 14:30 LOCAL
NEC NIJMEGEN
3RD · 59 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L D D
87'
1 – 2
HT · 0-2
TELSTAR
W W D W L
· 14TH · 37 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 83' Kaj Sierhuis
GOALS
⚽ 1' Patrick Brouwer ⚽ 24' Rui Mendes
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · NEC Nijmegen · 83'

LIVE
TELSTAR NEC NIJM

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

NEC NIJM TELSTAR
⚽ 83' NEC NIJMEG TELSTAR 57' 72' 87'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 87'

1.66
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.46
70%
BALL POSSESSION %
30%
22
TOTAL SHOTS
8
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
72%
10
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 1'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Patrick Brouwer · assist Abdelnour Soualhia
    TEL
  2. 24'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Rui Mendes · assist Patrick Brouwer
    TEL
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Darko Nejašmić · assist Kaj Sierhuis
    NEC
  4. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Rui Mendes · assist Emirhan Demircan
    TEL
  5. 57'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Brayann Pereira
    NEC
  6. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Soufiane Hetli · assist Prince Aning
    TEL
  7. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Nils Rossen · assist Noach Shenkman
    TEL
  8. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Gerald Alders · assist Isaiah Ahmed
    TEL
  9. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Tjaronn Chery · assist Bryan Linssen
    NEC
  10. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jamiro Monteiro · assist Philippe Sandler
    NEC
  11. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Noe Lebreton · assist Willum Thor Willumsson
    NEC
  12. 68'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Isak Hansen Aarøen
    NEC
  13. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Tyrone Owusu · assist Gabi Caschili
    TEL
  14. 74'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Isaiah Ahmed
    TEL
  15. 78'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ronald Koeman Jr
    TEL
  16. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Sami Ouaissa · assist Emre Mor
    NEC
  17. 83'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kaj Sierhuis · assist Dušan Tadić
    NEC
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.7
xG
1.5
22.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
3.0
ON TARGET
3.0
9.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
10.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
70.0%
POSSESSION %
30.0%
489.0
PASSES
219.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
72.0%
SET PIECES
10.0
CORNERS
3.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
12.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NEC NIJMEGEN 4 shots
Sami Ouaissa
0/2
Noe Lebreton
0/1
Clement Bischoff
0/1
TELSTAR 3 shots
Patrick Brouwer
1/1
Marvin Peersman
0/1
Rui Mendes
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.66 – 1.46
1.3 1 0.7 0.3 1.7 0.0 HT 83' 1' 24' H 1.66 A 1.46 KO 30' 60' 87'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
1
GONZALO C
24
DEVERON F
 7.0
6
DARKO NEJ
2
BRAYANN P
 7.2
99
CLEMENT B
8
ISAK HANS
35
JAMIRO MO
 7.5
25
SAMI OUAI
 7.2
20
NOE LEBRE
9
TJARONN C
10
DUšAN TAD
 7.5
1
RONALD KO
2
JEFF HARD
 7.3
43
MARVIN PE
 7.5
4
ABDELNOUR
3
GERALD AL
10
TYRONE OW
17
NILS ROSS
11
SOUFIANE
 7.7
27
PATRICK B
 7.2
7
RUI MENDE
9
JELANI SE
SUBSTITUTES · NEC NIJMEGEN
7
Emre Mor
F
11
Willum Thor...
M
14
Kaj Sierhuis
F
34
Kevin Kers
F
19
Adam Tahaui
F
3
Philippe San...
D
37
Merijn van d...
M
5
Thomas Ouwej...
D
21
Tobias Storm
D
38
Joep Geneste
G
36
Freek Entius
G
30
Bryan Linsse...
F
COACH: Dick Schreuder
SUBSTITUTES · TELSTAR
28
Rojendro Oud...
D
8
Emirhan Demi...
F
14
Harrie Kuste...
M
23
Noach Shenkm...
M
6
Isaiah Ahmed
M
15
Nigel Ogidi...
D
18
Gabi Caschil...
D
5
Prince Aning
M
13
Finn Mulder
G
20
Daan Reizige...
G
21
Fofin Turay
F
COACH: Henk Brugge
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

TEL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. Vos
—
NEC MANAGER
Dick Schreuder
head coach
TEL MANAGER
Henk Brugge
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
NEC WINS
4
DRAWS
2
TEL WINS
40%
40%
20%
26 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
4.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 2 / 10
02 May 2026
NEC Nijmegen
1 – 1
Telstar
D
13 Dec 2025
Telstar
2 – 2
NEC Nijmegen
D
NEC NIJMEGEN LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L D D
TELSTAR LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D W L
LIVE IMPACT Currently 1–2 · scenario projection
NEC NIJMEGEN #3
If loss holds: 59 pts
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
TELSTAR #14
If win holds: 40 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 27 3 4 +56 84
W W D W W
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 +26 65
W D W W D
3 NEC Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 +24 59
W L D D D
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 +19 58
L W D D W
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 +21 56
D L D W W
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 +13 53
W W W L W
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 +7 52
D D D D W
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 +4 51
D L W W L
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 +4 48
W W L L D
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 -22 43
L L D L L
11 Fortuna Sittard 34 11 6 17 -14 39
L W L L D
12 GO Ahead Eagles 34 8 14 12 +1 38
L L D D D
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 -13 38
W D W W D
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 -6 37
W W D W L
15 PEC Zwolle 34 9 10 15 -27 37
L L W L D
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 -20 32
L D L W L
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 -23 29
D W L L D
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 -50 19
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 83'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kaj Sierhuis
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Sami Ouaissa
  • 78'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ronald Koeman Jr
    Delay of game
  • 74'
    Card · Yellow Card · Isaiah Ahmed
    Tripping
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Tyrone Owusu
  • 68'
    Card · Yellow Card · Isak Hansen Aarøen
    Roughing
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Noe Lebreton
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jamiro Monteiro
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Tjaronn Chery
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Gerald Alders
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Nils Rossen
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Soufiane Hetli
  • 57'
    Card · Yellow Card · Brayann Pereira
    Tripping
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Rui Mendes
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Darko Nejašmić
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 2
  • 24'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Rui Mendes
  • 1'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Patrick Brouwer
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
NEC NIJMEGEN WIN
1.46
68.5% implied
↑ best 1.52
DRAW
4.75
21.1% implied
↑ best 5.00
TELSTAR WIN
5.87
17% implied
↑ best 6.22

Market favors NEC Nijmegen. AI projects TELSTAR 90% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS TELSTAR 90% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.46 4.70 5.80 +72.8%
1xBet 1.48 4.84 6.22 +73.9%
888Sport 1.44 4.40 5.50 +71.8%
Bet365 1.48 4.75 6.00 +73.3%
Betano 1.52 4.90 6.10 +73.6%
Betfair 1.44 4.60 5.50 +71.8%
BetVictor 1.45 5.00 6.00 +73.3%
Dafabet 1.47 5.00 6.20 +73.9%
Marathonbet 1.43 4.80 6.05 +73.5%
Pinnacle 1.47 4.88 6.20 +73.9%
SBO 1.39 4.42 5.42 +71.5%
Superbet 1.49 4.85 5.65 +72.3%
Unibet 1.43 4.90 6.00 +73.3%
William Hill 1.44 4.40 5.50 +71.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.10 U 6.14
2.5 O 1.40 U 2.83
3.5 O 2.04 U 1.76
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.52 11 bks
NO
2.38 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.32
Away -0.5 2.67
Away -0.75 2.38
Away -1 2.11
Away -1.25 1.84
Away -1.5 1.65
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.