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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · NASHVILLE SC 92% · Value: Over 2.5 85%
CONF 84 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · SUN, 24 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
NASHVILLE SC
1ST · 49 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W D L
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
NEW YORK CITY FC
D L L D W
· 7TH · 27 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 17' Jeison Palacios ⚽ 49' Maxwell Woledzi
GOALS
J. Palacios
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
J. Palacios
Nashville SC · 93 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 60% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Nashville SC vs New York City FC
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

91%
BALL POSSESSION %
86%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
7
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
395%
PASS ACCURACY %
426%
6
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 17'
    Goal · 1-0
    Jeison Palacios · assist Cristian Espinoza
    NAS
  2. 23'
    Penalty · 1-1
    Nicolás Fernández Mercau
    NEW
  3. 26'
    Card
    Kai Trewin
    NEW
  4. 35'
    Var · Video review
    NEW
  5. 49'
    Goal · 2-1
    Maxwell Woledzi · assist Bryan Acosta
    NAS
  6. 66'
    Subst
    Hannes Wolf · assist Malachi Jones
    NEW
  7. 66'
    Card
    Ahmed Qasem
    NAS
  8. 66'
    Subst
    Jonathan Shore · assist Arnau Farnós
    NEW
  9. 71'
    Subst
    Sam Surridge · assist Ahmed Qasem
    NAS
  10. 78'
    Subst
    Máximo Carrizo · assist Andrés Perea
    NEW
  11. 79'
    Subst
    Charles-Emile Brunet · assist Bryan Acosta
    NAS
  12. 80'
    Subst
    Alex Muyl · assist Warren Madrigal
    NAS
  13. 85'
    Subst
    Seymour Reid · assist Nico Cavallo
    NEW
  14. 85'
    Subst
    Kevin Pierre Jr. · assist Kai Trewin
    NEW
  15. 86'
    Card
    Cristian Espinoza
    NAS
  16. 89'
    Subst
    Josh Bauer · assist Cristian Espinoza
    NAS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NASHVILLE SC AVG 7.5
NEW YORK CITY FC AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
6.0
ON TARGET
4.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
3.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
91.0%
POSSESSION %
86.0%
448.0
PASSES
490.0
395.0%
PASS ACCURACY
426.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
3.0
11.0
OFFSIDES
14.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
12.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NASHVILLE SC 3 shots
J. Palacios
1/1
M. Woledzi
1/1
M. Corcoran
0/1
NEW YORK CITY FC 0 shots

No shots recorded.

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
7.0
99
B. SCHWAK
2
D. LOVITZ
 7.9
3
M. WOLEDZ
 8.3
4
J. PALACI
27
R. BAKER-
37
A. QASEM
 7.6
16
M. CORCOR
 6.9
6
B. ACOSTA
41
WARREN MA
10
H. MUKHTA
7
C. ESPINO
49
M. FREESE
2
NICO CAVA
34
RAUL GUST
13
THIAGO MA
24
T. GRAY
8
A. PEREA
 6.9
5
KAI TREWI
 7.3
88
M. JONES
87
ARNAU FA
26
A. OJEDA
7
N. FERNáN
SUBSTITUTES · NASHVILLE SC
9
S. Surridge
F
14
S. Mohammed
M
12
Charles-Emil...
M
19
A. Muyl
M
23
Jordan Knigh...
D
22
J. Bauer
D
5
J. Maher
D
1
J. Willis
G
17
Woobens Paci...
F
COACH: Brian Callaghan
SUBSTITUTES · NEW YORK CITY FC
32
J. Shore
M
71
Peter Molina...
M
15
Kevin Pierre
M
17
H. Wolf
F
29
Máximo Carri...
M
45
Kamran Acito
D
19
Strahinja Ta...
D
30
T. Romero
G
99
Seymour Garf...
F
COACH: Pascal Jansen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NAS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Da Silva
—
NAS MANAGER
Brian Callaghan
head coach
NEW MANAGER
Pascal Jansen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
NAS WINS
2
DRAWS
3
NEW WINS
44.4%
22.2%
33.3%
13 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
2.67
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 9
17 Aug 2025
New York City FC
2 – 1
Nashville SC
L
31 May 2025
Nashville SC
2 – 2
New York City FC
D
06 Oct 2024
New York City FC
3 – 1
Nashville SC
L
23 Jun 2024
Nashville SC
1 – 0
New York City FC
W
15 Apr 2023
New York City FC
2 – 1
Nashville SC
L
NASHVILLE SC LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W D L
NEW YORK CITY FC LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
NASHVILLE SC #1
Won · already at 49 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
NEW YORK CITY FC #7
Lost · already at 27 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Subst · Josh Bauer
    9th Substitution
  • 86'
    Card · Cristian Espinoza
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 85'
    Subst · Kevin Pierre Jr.
    7th Substitution
  • 85'
    Subst · Seymour Reid
    8th Substitution
  • 80'
    Subst · Alex Muyl
    6th Substitution
  • 79'
    Subst · Charles-Emile Brunet
    5th Substitution
  • 78'
    Subst · Máximo Carrizo
    4th Substitution
  • 71'
    Subst · Sam Surridge
    3rd Substitution
  • 66'
    Subst · Jonathan Shore
    1st Substitution
  • 66'
    Card · Ahmed Qasem
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 66'
    Subst · Hannes Wolf
    2nd Substitution
  • 49'
    Goal · 2-1 · Maxwell Woledzi
    2nd Goal
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 35'
    Var · Video review
    Goal Disallowed
  • 26'
    Card · Kai Trewin
    1st Yellowcard
  • 23'
    Penalty · 1-1 · Nicolás Fernández Mercau
    1st Penalty
  • 17'
    Goal · 1-0 · Jeison Palacios
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
NASHVILLE SC WIN
1.75
57.1% implied
↑ best 1.78
DRAW
3.79
26.4% implied
↑ best 4.05
NEW YORK CITY FC WIN
4.48
22.3% implied
↑ best 4.85

Market favors Nashville SC. AI projects NASHVILLE SC 92% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NASHVILLE SC 92% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.73 3.75 4.50 +34.2%
888Sport 1.73 3.60 4.33 +34.2%
Bet365 1.75 4.00 4.33 +34.9%
Betano 1.75 4.05 4.85 +34.9%
Betfair 1.75 3.80 4.50 +34.9%
BetVictor 1.73 3.75 4.50 +34.2%
Dafabet 1.78 3.90 4.50 +35.8%
Marathonbet 1.73 3.74 4.40 +34.2%
Pinnacle 1.78 3.89 4.62 +35.8%
SBO 1.75 3.57 4.27 +34.9%
Superbet 1.78 3.75 4.50 +35.8%
Unibet 1.71 3.85 4.60 +33.5%
William Hill 1.73 3.60 4.33 +34.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.24 U 3.85
2.5 O 1.80 U 2.00
3.5 O 2.98 U 1.37
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.72 10 bks
NO
2.02 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.48
Away -0.5 2.09
Away -0.75 1.85
Away -1 1.59
Away -1.25 1.46
Away -1.5 1.36
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.