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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · NASHVILLE SC 38%
CONF 22 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 10 · SUN, 26 APR · 00:30 LOCAL
NASHVILLE SC
1ST · 33 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W D D
FT
4 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
CHARLOTTE
W W L D L
· 6TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 19' Hany Mukhtar ⚽ 25' Ahmed Qasem ⚽ 60' Sam Surridge ⚽ 74' Sam Surridge
GOALS
⚽ 42' M. Agyemang ⚽ 68' Pep Biel
Sam Surridge
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Sam Surridge
Nashville SC · 52 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 3% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Nashville SC vs Charlotte
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📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.04
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.39
62%
BALL POSSESSION %
38%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
7
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
91%
PASS ACCURACY %
84%
6
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 19'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Hany Mukhtar · assist Ahmed Qasem
    NAS
  2. 25'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ahmed Qasem · assist Cristian Espinoza
    NAS
  3. 35'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Harry Toffolo · assist David Schnegg
    CHA
  4. 42'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    M. Agyemang · assist Ashley Westwood
    CHA
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Warren Madrigal · assist Sam Surridge
    NAS
  6. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Archie Goodwin · assist Idan Toklomati
    CHA
  7. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Rodolfo Aloko · assist Liel Abada
    CHA
  8. 60'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sam Surridge · assist Andy Najar
    NAS
  9. 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Pep Biel · assist Kerwin Calderón Vargas
    CHA
  10. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ahmed Qasem · assist Alex Muyl
    NAS
  11. 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sam Surridge · assist Hany Mukhtar
    NAS
  12. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Patrick Yazbek · assist E. Tagseth
    NAS
  13. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Andy Najar · assist Reed Baker-Whiting
    NAS
  14. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Brandt Bronico · assist Djibril Diani
    CHA
  15. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kerwin Calderón Vargas · assist Tyger Smalls
    CHA
  16. 78'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Alex Muyl
    NAS
  17. 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
    David Schnegg
    CHA
  18. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Cristian Espinoza · assist Shakur Mohammed
    NAS
  19. 87'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Brian Schwake
    NAS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NASHVILLE SC AVG 7.8
CHARLOTTE AVG 6.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.0
xG
1.4
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
7.0
ON TARGET
2.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
3.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
62.0%
POSSESSION %
38.0%
618.0
PASSES
374.0
91.0%
PASS ACCURACY
84.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
2.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
8.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NASHVILLE SC 7 shots
Hany Mukhtar
2/3
Sam Surridge
2/2
Ahmed Qasem
1/1
Patrick Yazbek
1/1
CHARLOTTE 3 shots
Pep Biel
1/3
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.04 – 1.39
1.1 0.8 0.6 0.3 1.4 0.0 HT 19' 25' 60' 74' 42' 68' H 1.04 A 1.39 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 58%
42% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-2-3-1
4-4-2
4-2-3-1
99
BRIAN SCH
2
DANIEL LO
3
MAXWELL W
 7.2
4
JEISSON P
31
ANDY NAJA
 8.2
37
AHMED QAS
 7.2
8
PATRICK Y
16
MATTHEW C
7
CRISTIAN
41
WARREN MA
 7.9
10
HANY MUKH
 6.5
1
KRISTIJAN
15
HARRY TOF
4
ANDREW PR
44
MORRISON
14
NATHAN BY
13
BRANDT BR
 7.2
8
ASHLEY WE
18
KERWIN CA
 7.2
16
PEP BIEL
37
RODOLFO A
7
ARCHIE GO
SUBSTITUTES · NASHVILLE SC
5
Jack Maher
D
22
Josh Bauer
D
1
Joe Willis
G
14
Shakur Moham...
M
20
E. Tagseth
M
27
Reed Baker-W...
D
19
Alex Muyl
M
9
Sam Surridge
F
6
Bryan Acosta
M
COACH: Brian Callaghan
SUBSTITUTES · CHARLOTTE
48
Aron John
M
22
Henry Kessle...
D
21
Tyler Miller
G
25
Tyger Smalls
F
28
Djibril Dian...
M
9
Idan Tokloma...
F
11
Liel Abada
F
23
David Schneg...
D
17
Luca De La T...
M
COACH: Dean Smith
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NAS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CHA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Dickerson
—
NAS MANAGER
Brian Callaghan
head coach
CHA MANAGER
Dean Smith
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
NAS WINS
2
DRAWS
3
CHA WINS
44.4%
22.2%
33.3%
11 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
2.56
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 9
11 Apr 2026
Charlotte
1 – 2
Nashville SC
W
11 May 2025
Nashville SC
2 – 1
Charlotte
W
05 Apr 2025
Charlotte
2 – 1
Nashville SC
L
11 May 2024
Charlotte
1 – 0
Nashville SC
L
17 Mar 2024
Nashville SC
2 – 1
Charlotte
W
NASHVILLE SC LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W D D
CHARLOTTE LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 4–2 · result locked
NASHVILLE SC #1
Won · already at 33 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
CHARLOTTE #6
Lost · already at 21 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 87'
    Card · Yellow Card · Brian Schwake
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Cristian Espinoza
  • 85'
    Card · Yellow Card · David Schnegg
  • 78'
    Card · Yellow Card · Alex Muyl
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kerwin Calderón Vargas
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Brandt Bronico
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Andy Najar
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Patrick Yazbek
  • 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sam Surridge
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ahmed Qasem
  • 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Pep Biel
  • 60'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sam Surridge
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Rodolfo Aloko
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Archie Goodwin
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Warren Madrigal
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 42'
    Goal · Normal Goal · M. Agyemang
  • 35'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Harry Toffolo
  • 25'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ahmed Qasem
  • 19'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Hany Mukhtar
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
NASHVILLE SC WIN
1.60
62.5% implied
↑ best 1.67
DRAW
4.01
24.9% implied
↑ best 4.30
CHARLOTTE WIN
5.33
18.8% implied
↑ best 5.71

Market favors Nashville SC. AI projects NASHVILLE SC 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NASHVILLE SC 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.58 3.95 5.50 +11.8%
888Sport 1.67 3.70 4.75 +8.9%
Bet365 1.60 4.10 5.50 +11.8%
Betano 1.65 4.15 5.70 +12.5%
Betfair 1.57 4.00 5.50 +11.8%
BetVictor 1.57 4.00 5.25 +11.0%
Dafabet 1.61 4.30 5.40 +11.5%
Marathonbet 1.58 4.05 5.20 +10.8%
Pinnacle 1.61 4.17 5.71 +12.5%
SBO 1.55 4.00 5.32 +11.2%
Unibet 1.64 3.90 5.10 +10.4%
William Hill 1.60 3.75 5.00 +10.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.22 U 4.06
2.5 O 1.74 U 2.07
3.5 O 2.82 U 1.41
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.74 9 bks
NO
1.99 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.88
Away -0.5 2.36
Away -0.75 2.09
Away -1 1.81
Away -1.25 1.60
Away -1.5 1.46
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.