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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · MUANGTHONG UNITED 38%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Thai Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 29 · FRI, 01 MAY · 12:00 LOCAL
MUANGTHONG UNITED
14TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5:
L D W L L
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
BG PATHUM UNITED
W W D W W
· 4TH · 52 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 64' K. Khamyok
GOALS
⚽ 21' S. Sareepim
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

95%
BALL POSSESSION %
108%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
10
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
235%
PASS ACCURACY %
415%
3
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    S. Sareepim · assist W. Choolthong
    BG
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    A. Ahannach · assist K. Tasa
    MUA
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    W. Jamnongwat · assist Y. Takagi
    BG
  4. 50'
    Card · Yellow Card
    S. Sareepim
    BG
  5. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    S. Sareepim · assist R. Matsuda
    BG
  6. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    C. Songkrasin · assist E. Panya
    BG
  7. 59'
    Card · Yellow Card
    G. Notsuda
    BG
  8. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    S. Panthong · assist T. Nuntagowat
    MUA
  9. 64'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    K. Khamyok · assist K. Tasa
    MUA
  10. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    P. Gustavsson · assist T. Doi
    BG
  11. 72'
    Card · Yellow Card
    S. Phosri
    MUA
  12. 78'
    Card · Yellow Card
    W. Choolthong
    BG
  13. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    S. Phosri · assist B. Danuphon
    MUA
  14. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    M. Saric · assist P. Thodsanid
    MUA
  15. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5
    S. Yooyen · assist P. Jantawong
    BG
  16. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    M. Kempter
    MUA
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
3.0
ON TARGET
5.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
6.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
95.0%
POSSESSION %
108.0%
314.0
PASSES
498.0
235.0%
PASS ACCURACY
415.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
2.0
14.0
OFFSIDES
14.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
21.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
4.0
GK SAVES
2.0
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3
⚙ TACTICAL FORMATIONS · PRE-MATCH
4-2-3-1
MUANGTHONG U
vs
4-3-3
BG PATHUM UN

Player positions publish ~1 hour before kickoff.

HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
MUA WINS
2
DRAWS
6
BG WINS
20%
20%
60%
8 – 19
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
14 Dec 2025
BG Pathum United
3 – 0
Muangthong United
L
01 Mar 2025
BG Pathum United
2 – 0
Muangthong United
L
19 Oct 2024
Muangthong United
1 – 1
BG Pathum United
D
18 Feb 2024
Muangthong United
2 – 0
BG Pathum United
W
16 Sep 2023
BG Pathum United
5 – 2
Muangthong United
L
MUANGTHONG UNITED LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W L L
BG PATHUM UNITED LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
MUANGTHONG UNITED #14
Lost · already at 26 pts
Relegation
BG PATHUM UNITED #4
Lost · already at 52 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Buriram United 30 22 4 4 +45 70
D L L W W
2 Port FC 30 18 6 6 +36 60
W W W D W
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 +25 59
W W L W W
4 BG Pathum United 30 14 10 6 +16 52
W D W D W
5 Bangkok United 30 13 11 6 +11 50
D W D L L
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 +2 45
L W W W L
7 Chiangrai United 30 9 13 8 -1 40
W D W W D
8 Chonburi FC 30 10 9 11 -3 39
W D D L W
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 -5 37
D L W D L
10 Ayutthaya FC 30 8 8 14 -16 32
L L L L L
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 -5 31
L L D L W
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 -12 29
D D D L W
13 Sukhothai FC 30 6 10 14 -19 28
W L L D L
14 Muangthong United 30 6 8 16 -25 26
L D D W W
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 -24 24
L W L L W
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 -25 23
L D L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · M. Kempter
    Foul
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5 · S. Yooyen
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · M. Saric
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · S. Phosri
  • 78'
    Card · Yellow Card · W. Choolthong
    Foul
  • 72'
    Card · Yellow Card · S. Phosri
    Foul
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · P. Gustavsson
  • 64'
    Goal · Normal Goal · K. Khamyok
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · S. Panthong
  • 59'
    Card · Yellow Card · G. Notsuda
    Foul
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · C. Songkrasin
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · S. Sareepim
  • 50'
    Card · Yellow Card · S. Sareepim
    Foul
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · W. Jamnongwat
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · A. Ahannach
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal · S. Sareepim
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
MUANGTHONG UNITE WIN
2.40
41.7% implied
↑ best 2.52
DRAW
3.26
30.7% implied
↑ best 3.55
BG PATHUM UNITED WIN
2.62
38.2% implied
↑ best 2.95

Market favors Muangthong United. AI projects MUANGTHONG UNITED 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MUANGTHONG UNITED 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.38 3.20 2.70 -3.0%
1xBet 2.51 3.48 2.76 -0.7%
Bet365 2.50 3.00 2.62 -2.0%
Betano 2.50 3.35 2.62 -1.9%
Betfair 2.40 3.30 2.55 -2.3%
BetVictor 2.25 3.00 2.38 -5.3%
Dafabet 2.26 3.50 2.95 +0.1%
Marathonbet 2.36 3.28 2.60 -2.5%
Pinnacle 2.52 3.55 2.69 -0.2%
SBO 2.40 3.08 2.44 -3.7%
Unibet 2.30 3.25 2.60 -2.8%
William Hill 2.40 3.10 2.50 -3.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 3.57
2.5 O 1.78 U 1.93
3.5 O 2.89 U 1.34
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.59 9 bks
NO
2.11 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.66
Away -0.5 1.49
Away -0.75 1.37
Away -1 1.21
Away -1.25 1.18
Away -1.5 1.14
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.