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Europa Conference League · 1ST QUALIFYING ROUND · THU, 16 JUL · 18:45 LOCAL
← Match Page
MORNAR
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME
ATLèTIC CLUB D'ESCALDES
⚽ 20' Jovan Dašić
GOALS
⚽ 90' David Valero Climent
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 28/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
MOR
1 – 1
ATL
most likely scoreline · 14.1% probability
AI PICKS MORNAR TO WIN 38%
FT 1 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
MOR WIN 38%
DRAW 35%
ATL WIN 27%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 73% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 73% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Only 2 minutes in with no data; treat as weak heuristic. Escaldes won 2-1 in H2H last week.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY MORNAR FAVORED
38%
Escaldes won 2-1 vs Mornar 7 days ago (away, now neutral/away again)
+20.0%
WHY ATLèTIC CLUB D'ESCALDES CHALLENGED
27%
Match at minute 2 — scoreline and momentum entirely fluid; lean on H2H
+25.0%
No season stats, form splits, or lineups available — confidence severely limited
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Match at minute 2 — scoreline and momentum entirely fluid; lean on H2H
  • No season stats, form splits, or lineups available — confidence severely limited
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 20' JOVAN DAš ⚽ 90' DAVID VALE
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.1%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.0
6.2
2.0
0.5
0.1
·
1
14.1
13.5
6.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.3
7.0
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.5
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.1%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 13.0%
2 — 0 7.3%
Top 5 = 61.4% · rest 38.6%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
5.99
27.0%
3.70
+61.7%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.35
62.0%
1.61
+45.6%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.77
35.0%
2.86
+32.0%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.21
52.0%
1.92
+14.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.10
48.0%
2.08
+0.9%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.10
73.0%
1.37
-19.7%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.21
65.0%
1.54
-21.1%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.52
38.0%
2.63
-42.4%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.