GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–1 · DRAW 38%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SUN, 09 AUG · 19:30 LOCAL
MOREIRENSE
7TH · 43 PTS · LAST 5:
D L W L W
61'
1 – 1
HT · 1-1
SC BRAGA
W W W D D
· 4TH · 59 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 8' Nile John
GOALS
⚽ 7' Fran Navarro
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · SC Braga · 57'

LIVE
SC BRAGA MOREIREN

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

MOREIREN SC BRAGA
MOREIRENSE SC BRAGA 31' 46' 61'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 61'

0.13
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.60
33%
BALL POSSESSION %
67%
4
TOTAL SHOTS
9
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
75%
PASS ACCURACY %
86%
2
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 9 events
  1. 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Fran Navarro · assist Vítor Carvalho
    SC
  2. 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Nile John · assist Alexandre Parsemain
    MOR
  3. 18'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Diogo Travassos
    SC
  4. 20'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Guilherme Liberato
    MOR
  5. 42'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Bright Arrey-Mbi · assist Adrian Bajrami
    SC
  6. 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kevyn Monteiro
    MOR
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Diogo Travassos · assist Victor Gómez
    SC
  8. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Mario Dorgeles · assist Denis Huseinbašić
    SC
  9. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ricardo Horta · assist Pau Víctor
    SC
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.1
xG
0.6
4.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
2.0
ON TARGET
3.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
1.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
33.0%
POSSESSION %
67.0%
174.0
PASSES
366.0
75.0%
PASS ACCURACY
86.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
1.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
9.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MOREIRENSE 2 shots
Nile John
1/1
Kiko
0/1
SC BRAGA 3 shots
Fran Navarro
1/1
Demir Ege Tıknaz
1/1
Diogo Travassos
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.13 – 0.60
0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.0 HT 8' 7' H 0.13 A 0.60 KO 30' 60' 61'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 33%
67% A
3
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 3-4-3
4-3-3
3-4-3
13
ANDRé FER
 6.5
27
KIKO
4
KEVYN MON
66
GILBERTO
2
LEANDRO S
21
RODRIGO A
 6.6
65
GUILHERME
 7.7
23
NILE JOHN
 6.7
11
LANDERSON
9
ALEXANDRE
 6.5
89
AFONSO VI
31
BERNARDO
26
BRIGHT AR
 7.2
6
VíTOR CAR
14
GUSTAF LA
11
GABRIEL S
 6.9
34
DEMIR EGE
29
JEAN-BAPT
 6.5
7
DIOGO TRA
21
RICARDO H
 7.5
9
FRAN NAVA
 6.6
20
MARIO DOR
SUBSTITUTES · MOREIRENSE
30
Jimi Gower
M
20
João Veloso
M
77
Koby Mottoh
F
99
Yan Maranhão
F
25
Afonso Assis
M
10
Kiko Bondoso
F
8
Mateja Stjep...
M
17
Álvaro Martí...
D
31
Pedro Jesus
D
1
Aranha
G
44
Michael Daco...
F
COACH: Vasco Costa
SUBSTITUTES · SC BRAGA
2
Victor Gómez
D
5
Leonardo Lel...
D
77
Gabriel Mart...
F
90
Luís Pinto
M
23
Denis Husein...
M
8
João Moutinh...
M
37
Adrian Leon...
D
22
Sergio Barci...
D
12
Tiago Sá
G
78
Joao Carvalh...
G
44
Adrian Bajra...
D
10
Pau Víctor
F
COACH: Carlos Vicens
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Jose Bessa, Portugal
—
MOR MANAGER
Vasco Costa
head coach
SC MANAGER
Carlos Vicens
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
MOR WINS
0
DRAWS
9
SC WINS
10%
90%
8 – 18
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
04 Apr 2026
Moreirense
0 – 1
SC Braga
L
09 Nov 2025
SC Braga
2 – 1
Moreirense
L
03 Feb 2025
Moreirense
1 – 2
SC Braga
L
25 Aug 2024
SC Braga
3 – 1
Moreirense
L
04 Feb 2024
SC Braga
1 – 0
Moreirense
L
MOREIRENSE LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W L W
SC BRAGA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W D D
LIVE IMPACT Currently 1–1 · scenario projection
MOREIRENSE #7
If loss holds: 43 pts
SC BRAGA #4
If loss holds: 59 pts
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 34 28 4 2 +48 88
W L W W W
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 +65 82
W W W D D
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 +49 80
W D D W W
4 SC Braga 34 16 11 7 +28 59
D D D L W
5 Famalicao 34 15 11 8 +13 56
W D D W D
6 GIL Vicente 34 13 11 10 +9 50
L L D W L
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 -12 43
D L W L W
8 Arouca 34 12 6 16 -17 42
W W D L W
9 Guimaraes 34 12 6 16 -12 42
L L L W W
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 -3 39
L D D L L
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 -17 39
L D L W L
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 -22 36
D L D L D
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 -9 36
L W D W D
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 -8 34
W L L W W
15 Estrela 34 6 12 16 -18 30
D D L L L
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 -26 30
D W L L L
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L W W D L
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 -40 21
D W W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ricardo Horta
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Mario Dorgeles
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Diogo Travassos
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Kevyn Monteiro
    Foul
  • 42'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Bright Arrey-Mbi
  • 20'
    Card · Yellow Card · Guilherme Liberato
    Tripping
  • 18'
    Card · Yellow Card · Diogo Travassos
    Holding
  • 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Nile John
  • 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Fran Navarro
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
MOREIRENSE WIN
5.74
17.4% implied
↑ best 6.50
DRAW
3.88
25.8% implied
↑ best 4.04
SC BRAGA WIN
1.58
63.3% implied
↑ best 1.62

Market favors SC Braga. AI projects DRAW 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 6.00 3.85 1.55 +12.0%
1xBet 5.98 4.04 1.62 +13.2%
888Sport 5.00 3.60 1.62 +10.2%
Bet365 5.75 4.00 1.57 +13.0%
Betano 6.00 3.90 1.60 +12.4%
Betfair 6.50 3.90 1.53 +12.6%
BetVictor 5.75 3.75 1.53 +11.3%
Dafabet 5.80 4.00 1.61 +13.0%
Marathonbet 5.75 3.88 1.56 +12.2%
Pinnacle 6.11 4.04 1.58 +13.2%
SBO 5.61 3.79 1.55 +11.6%
Superbet 5.65 4.00 1.60 +13.0%
Unibet 5.40 3.90 1.58 +12.4%
William Hill 5.00 3.60 1.62 +10.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.29 U 3.35
2.5 O 1.95 U 1.84
3.5 O 3.34 U 1.30
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.93 11 bks
NO
1.79 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.15
Away -0.5 1.14
Away -0.75 1.06
Away -1 1.01
Away -1.5 1.02
Away +0 1.18
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.