GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · MONTERREY 48%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · APERTURA - 1 · SUN, 19 JUL · 01:05 LOCAL
MONTERREY
13TH · 18 PTS · LAST 5:
L W L W W
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 3-1
SANTOS LAGUNA
W L L L L
· 18TH · 12 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 20' L. Ocampos ⚽ 25' L. Ocampos ⚽ 31' J. Corona
GOALS
⚽ 40' Lucas Di Yorio ⚽ 90+6' Eduardo Aguirre
L. Ocampos
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
L. Ocampos
Monterrey · 89 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 🅰 1 assist · 29% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
10.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.87
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.38
56%
BALL POSSESSION %
44%
19
TOTAL SHOTS
9
13
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
86%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
5
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    L. Ocampos · assist D. Rossi
    MON
  2. 25'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    L. Ocampos · assist Óliver Torres
    MON
  3. 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    J. Corona · assist L. Ocampos
    MON
  4. 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Lucas Di Yorio
    SAN
  5. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lucas Di Yorio · assist Eduardo Aguirre
    SAN
  6. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Diego González · assist Fran Villalba
    SAN
  7. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    José Abella · assist Kevin Picon
    SAN
  8. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    J. Corona · assist F. Ambríz
    MON
  9. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    J. Rodríguez · assist Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa
    MON
  10. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ramiro Sordo · assist Diego Medina
    SAN
  11. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Carlos Gruezo · assist Aldo Lopez Vargas
    SAN
  12. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    L. Ocampos · assist L. Reyes
    MON
  13. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Óliver Torres · assist U. Đurđević
    MON
  14. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    D. Rossi · assist R. de la Rosa
    MON
  15. 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Eduardo Aguirre · assist Felipe Sánchez
    SAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MONTERREY AVG 7.9
SANTOS LAGUNA AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.9
xG
1.4
19.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
13.0
ON TARGET
2.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
56.0%
POSSESSION %
44.0%
516.0
PASSES
407.0
86.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
4.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
9.0
1.0
GK SAVES
10.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MONTERREY 11 shots
L. Ocampos
3/4
L. Orellano
4/4
Óliver Torres
2/2
J. Corona
1/1
SANTOS LAGUNA 2 shots
Kevin Picon
0/1
Lucas Di Yorio
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.87 – 1.38
1.5 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.9 0.0 HT 20' 25' 31' 40' 90' H 1.87 A 1.38 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
22
L. CáRDEN
3
G. ARTEAG
19
A. ACEVES
33
S. MEDINA
2
R. CHáVEZ
 7.3
30
J. RODRíG
 7.2
8
ÓLIVER TO
 10.0
7
L. OCAMPO
 7.9
17
J. CORONA
 7.3
10
L. ORELLA
9
D. ROSSI
 7.3
1
CARLOS AC
3
MAURICIO
 7.2
25
FELIPE Sá
 6.9
18
FRANCO PA
4
JOSé ABEL
11
CARLOS GR
8
SALVADOR
26
RAMIRO SO
10
EZEQUIEL
7
DIEGO GON
 7.2
9
LUCAS DI
SUBSTITUTES · MONTERREY
27
R. de la Ros...
F
194
C. Reyes
M
5
F. Ambríz
M
200
O. Galvez
M
11
Iker Jareth...
M
18
Cesar Garza
M
4
V. Guzmán
D
21
L. Reyes
D
31
César Ramos
G
32
U. Đurđević
F
COACH: Matias Almeyda
SUBSTITUTES · SANTOS LAGUNA
24
Diego Medina
M
5
Aldo Lopez V...
M
28
Jonathan Pér...
D
14
Efrain Orona
M
33
Hector Holgu...
G
19
Eduardo Agui...
F
21
Fran Villalb...
M
22
Kevin Picon
D
15
Joshua Manch...
M
COACH: Paiva Renato
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MON · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava, Mexico
—
MON MANAGER
Matias Almeyda
head coach
SAN MANAGER
Paiva Renato
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
MON WINS
1
DRAWS
3
SAN WINS
60%
10%
30%
18 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.90
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
26 Apr 2026
Santos Laguna
3 – 0
Monterrey
L
28 Sep 2025
Monterrey
1 – 0
Santos Laguna
W
03 Mar 2025
Monterrey
4 – 2
Santos Laguna
W
15 Sep 2024
Santos Laguna
0 – 2
Monterrey
W
22 Jan 2024
Santos Laguna
0 – 2
Monterrey
W
MONTERREY LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L W W
SANTOS LAGUNA LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–2 · result locked
MONTERREY #13
Won · already at 18 pts
SANTOS LAGUNA #18
Lost · already at 12 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
L D W L D
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
L D W L D
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
W D W D W
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
L W W W L
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
L L W L L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
L L W D W
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
L W W D D
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
D D L W W
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal · Eduardo Aguirre
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · D. Rossi
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Óliver Torres
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · L. Ocampos
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Carlos Gruezo
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ramiro Sordo
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · J. Rodríguez
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · J. Corona
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · José Abella
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Diego González
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lucas Di Yorio
  • HALF TIME · 3 – 1
  • 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Lucas Di Yorio
  • 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal · J. Corona
  • 25'
    Goal · Normal Goal · L. Ocampos
  • 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal · L. Ocampos
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
MONTERREY WIN
1.54
64.9% implied
↑ best 1.60
DRAW
4.39
22.8% implied
↑ best 4.65
SANTOS LAGUNA WIN
5.18
19.3% implied
↑ best 5.50

Market favors Monterrey. AI projects MONTERREY 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MONTERREY 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.55 4.35 5.10 +9.0%
1xBet 1.55 4.30 5.12 +8.7%
Bet365 1.57 4.50 5.25 +9.8%
Betano 1.60 4.65 5.50 +10.5%
Betfair 1.50 4.50 5.00 +9.8%
BetVictor 1.53 4.40 5.25 +9.3%
Dafabet 1.56 4.60 5.20 +10.3%
Marathonbet 1.53 4.30 5.20 +8.7%
Pinnacle 1.58 4.44 5.37 +9.5%
SBO 1.48 4.33 4.94 +8.9%
Superbet 1.53 4.45 5.15 +9.5%
Unibet 1.50 4.40 5.40 +9.3%
William Hill 1.53 3.90 4.80 +6.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.11 U 5.79
2.5 O 1.43 U 2.69
3.5 O 2.09 U 1.72
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.50 10 bks
NO
2.42 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.89
Away -0.5 2.42
Away -0.75 2.17
Away -1 1.91
Away -1.25 1.69
Away -1.5 1.55
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.